Should be a fun Super Bowl. I do think the best two teams got in. At the start of the playoffs, I thought the Seahawks would win. But after watching the playoffs, the Broncos seem to me the better team. I am not really rooting for anyone, except a close game.
It was a weird week for the markets. After a year that had very little volatility, the fear factor seems to be returning. I was actually up 1.1% on the week, though it did not feel that way. The Russell 3000 (omen for Russell Wilson?) was down 40 basis points.
MFI Update
So with the closing of a tranche, a new tranche begins. I bought the positions yesterday, but for bookkeeping purposes will use their closing prices as starting point. I did think long and hard about my five picks. The selections were:
- ATVI - I also have this stock in my November 2013 tranche. I like that they have spun-off from VIV.PA and I like that senior management has put a lot of their own money in.
- RPXC - This is a patent company. This is the third straight tranche I have bought them, so they are getting to be one of my largest overall holdings (#7).
- WNR - I owned this refiner several years ago. Refineries are largely a function of crack spreads. Abbey Cohen was bullish on HFC in her Barron's round table, and that was the final straw that made my decision (also they just bumped their dividend and meet my MFI-dividend stock qualification).
- SNDK - I think flash memory space will continue to flourish, and Sandisk is a premier player here. Like WNR, I owned SNDK once before.
- KLAC - this is a semi conductor manufacturer that is just barely on the list. They pay a nice dividend and like KLIC I think will benefit from what I see as increased cap-ex spending in the Semi space.
I expect as interesting as my five picks are, it is also interesting what is not there. I did not renew my AAPL. With Google selling Motorola Mobility, I just think this space is going to be so competitive. I may continue to hold my shares and move into dividend portfolio, but we'll see.
Here are tables showing all my MFI tranches ever.
| 8/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| DLB | $34.43 | $33.04 | $4.00 | 7.6% | 22.1% |
| $13.98 | $18.95 | $0.00 | 35.6% | 22.1% | |
| $30.19 | $31.92 | $0.92 | 8.8% | 22.1% | |
| NSU | $3.62 | $3.33 | $0.12 | -4.6% | 22.1% |
| $19.96 | $24.52 | $0.00 | 22.8% | 22.1% | |
| Totals | 14.1% | 22.1% | |||
| 11/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| $537.62 | $527.28 | $8.75 | -0.3% | 36.7% | |
| $40.21 | $69.23 | $0.86 | 74.3% | 36.7% | |
| LPS | $23.89 | $34.26 | $0.40 | 45.1% | 36.7% |
| VIAB | $49.12 | $80.94 | $1.15 | 67.1% | 36.7% |
| WU | $12.77 | $16.40 | $0.50 | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| Totals | 43.7% | 36.7% | |||
| 2/1/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| $450.60 | $500.66 | $8.75 | 13.1% | 21.1% | |
| GA | $6.10 | $11.01 | $0.65 | 91.2% | 21.1% |
| STRZA | $16.06 | $27.98 | $0.00 | 74.2% | 21.1% |
| CA | $25.07 | $32.08 | $1.00 | 32.0% | 21.1% |
| $41.94 | $116.59 | $1.20 | 180.8% | 21.1% | |
| Totals | 78.3% | 21.1% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $11.40 | $11.64 | $0.00 | 2.1% | 13.0% | |
| CYOU | $29.24 | $30.03 | $0.00 | 2.7% | 13.0% |
| $9.74 | $18.13 | $0.10 | 87.3% | 13.0% | |
| $13.85 | $15.70 | $0.24 | 15.1% | 13.0% | |
| CF | $183.97 | $230.86 | $1.80 | 26.5% | 13.0% |
| Totals | 26.7% | 13.0% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| CF | $187.26 | $230.86 | $1.00 | 23.8% | 8.8% |
| $66.06 | $75.96 | $0.32 | 15.5% | 8.8% | |
| AGX | $15.60 | $28.41 | $0.75 | 86.9% | 8.8% |
| $11.29 | $11.64 | $0.00 | 3.1% | 8.8% | |
| RPXC | $15.92 | $16.22 | $0.00 | 1.9% | 8.8% |
| Totals | 26.2% | 8.8% | |||
| 11/15/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $17.22 | $16.59 | $0.00 | -3.7% | 0.0% |
| $17.71 | $17.13 | $0.00 | -3.3% | 0.0% | |
| GA | $9.04 | $11.01 | $0.23 | 24.4% | 0.0% |
| RPXC | $17.04 | $16.22 | $0.00 | -4.8% | 0.0% |
| $48.01 | $58.36 | $0.00 | 21.6% | 0.0% | |
| Totals | 6.8% | 0.0% | |||
| 2/1/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| $17.13 | $17.13 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| $61.47 | $61.47 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| RPXC | $16.24 | $16.22 | $0.00 | -0.1% | 0.0% |
| $69.55 | $69.55 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| WNR | $39.12 | $39.11 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 0.0% | 0.0% | |||
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | 26.2% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 26.7% | 15.3% |
| Previous Tranche | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 0.0% | 30.6% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 44.0% | 53.6% | 78.2% | 26.7% | 50.6% |
| Current Balance | 35,996 | 38,393 | 44,550 | 31,679 | 150,619 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 8.8% | 36.7% | 21.1% | 13.0% | 19.9% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 32.9% | 36.7% | 21.1% | 13.0% | 25.9% |
| R3K Balance | 33,232 | 34,170 | 30,278 | 28,259 | 125,939 |
| Annualized IRR | 28.2% | 42.4% | 78.1% | 37.5% | 44.5% |
Discretionary Portfolio
By definition, this is my most active portfolio as I will buy stocks here for shorter term speculation. This week I bought and then sold TWM. While it was just a small gain (under a percentage point), it was about a $1,900 gain with my multiplier as it was out-sized. I also bought MBUU yesterday. This is a continuation of my after market IPO purchases. I have now purchase 5 stocks this way and have a total gain of a smidgen over $22,000 (with my factor). So it has worked very well.
GTAT continued to soar this past week. I continue to hold for long term.
| Stock | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Dividends Received | Pct Change | R3K Change | Diff |
| BAC-WTA | 6,000 | 5.35 | 7.21 | - | 34.8% | 13.6% | 21.2% |
| C | 1,500 | 51.52 | 47.43 | - | -7.9% | -2.4% | -5.5% |
| CS | 1,800 | 28.75 | 30.15 | - | 4.9% | 0.5% | 4.3% |
| GNW | 7,000 | 6.82 | 14.75 | - | 116.3% | 36.8% | 79.5% |
| GTAT | 21,000 | 5.23 | 10.27 | - | 96.2% | 5.9% | 90.3% |
| HIG-WT | 1,650 | 21.24 | 24.98 | - | 17.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| 5,500 | 11.46 | 11.64 | - | 1.5% | 7.4% | -5.9% | |
| MBUU | 4,000 | 17.50 | 17.75 | - | 1.4% | 0.0% | 1.4% |
| RIOM | 15,000 | 2.26 | 1.97 | - | -12.8% | -3.0% | -9.9% |
| 15,000 | 3.73 | 3.58 | - | -4.0% | -1.8% | -2.2% | |
| Total Open | - | 29.5% | 5.7% | 23.9% | |||
| Closed | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | ||||
| Combined | 12.3% | 3.3% | 9.1% | ||||
Dividend Portfolio
My dividend portfolio, which has been the slacker for me, actually gained some ground this week. It helped that TGONF spiked 9% yesterday. I also had TC-PT go x dividend.
| Stock | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Dividends Received | Pct Change | R3K Change | Diff |
| AOD | 10,745 | 7.93 | 8.07 | 5,581.79 | 8.3% | 15.6% | -7.3% |
| BBEP | 4,713 | 16.16 | 20.55 | 4,188.93 | 32.7% | 7.2% | 25.5% |
| 4,421 | 17.38 | 21.91 | 4,965.98 | 32.5% | 34.3% | -1.8% | |
| CSQ | 6,718 | 8.60 | 10.77 | 10,529.20 | 43.4% | 44.3% | -0.9% |
| 3,754 | 22.25 | 24.54 | 4,490.84 | 15.6% | 28.7% | -13.0% | |
| NTC | 6,629 | 12.00 | 11.99 | - | -0.1% | -3.2% | 3.1% |
| O | 585 | 20.46 | 40.78 | 8,810.32 | 172.9% | 102.1% | 70.8% |
| 4,093 | 4.99 | 6.00 | 7,808.22 | 58.5% | 107.6% | -49.1% | |
| 6,211 | 9.54 | 9.13 | - | -4.3% | 5.9% | -10.2% | |
| TC-PT | 4,000 | 15.39 | 14.59 | 5,686.40 | 4.1% | 13.1% | -9.1% |
| TGONF | 7,000 | 10.27 | 10.75 | 1,317.50 | 6.5% | 9.1% | -2.6% |
| Total Open | 53,379 | 19.3% | 21.1% | -1.8% | |||
| Closed | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | ||||
| Combined | 13.9% | 12.1% | 1.9% | ||||
| Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 | 17.2% | ||||||
| 2014 Gain | -0.7% | ||||||
I think that is a wrap for now. It will likely be a busy blogging weekend as my January 2013 portfolio will be wrapped up.
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