Wednesday, August 15, 2018

New MFI Select Tranche - 8/15/18

New MFI Select Tranche - 8/15/18

Should have probably waited another day to start this tranche.  It definitely started on the wrong foot.


8/15/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AGX  $39.45 $38.65 $0.00 -2.0% -0.8%
 AMCX  $60.97 $60.46 $0.00 -0.8% -0.8%
 CJREF  $3.08 $3.00 $0.00 -2.6% -0.8%
 GME  $15.50 $15.43 $0.00 -0.5% -0.8%
 SGH  $31.12 $29.29 $0.00 -5.9% -0.8%
 Totals  -2.4% -0.8%

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Final Results For 8/15/17 MFI Select Tranche

Final Results For 8/15/17 MFI Select Tranche

As George Harrison told us (while his guitar gently weeps) that all things must pass - so it is with my most recent MFI Select tranche from August 15th, 2017.  I now call the tranche closed.  I sold GHC today and will sell the other 4 names on Thursday to assure LG capital gains treatment.  But for bookkeeping, i will use today's closing prices as fini.

This is my 21st MFI Select tranche to close.  The average closed tranche is up 22.6%, which is pretty darned impressive (if I may say so myself). 

I am pretty sure I know my five stocks I'll be adding tomorrow: AGX, AMCX, CJREF, GME and SGH.  But more on that in a later post.

The Tranche

8/15/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 GHC  $591.10 $556.55 $5.08 -5.0% 17.8%
 ICHR  $19.80 $22.72 $0.00 14.7% 17.8%
 MD  $43.00 $48.14 $0.00 12.0% 17.8%
 SIMO  $43.05 $58.54 $1.20 38.8% 17.8%
 RHI  $44.15 $77.87 $1.04 78.7% 17.8%
 Totals  27.8% 17.8%


So a solid win here.  Up at the end 27.8%, a 10 point stomp of the Russell 3000.  

  • RHI was clearly the big story.  These boring stocks often seem to do the best.  
  • GHC was even more boring, I doubt it was ever up or down more than 7% the entire year. 
  • ICHR was all over the place. It traded between $19 and $35 in past 52 weeks.  So I got it at close to the bottom.  
  • MD was pushing $56 and be rumored to be bought 6 months ago.  Then Jim Chanos announced he was short and it dropped to $43.  Decent finish down the stretch.
  • SIMO was like ICHR, all over the board. It dropped from $54 to $44 during the late January/early February sell off.  But is now near 52 week high.
I also like to do a look back at the stocks I considered but didn't buy (CBDB).  They were great.  Up 37%. HSII was the huge winner, up 132%.  FOXA was up 64% (thanks to DIS).

Past Closed Tranches

Here is a listing of every tranche that has closed since I started this in August 2012:


 8/15/12 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 DLB  $34.43 $33.04 $4.00 7.6% 22.1%
 KFY  $13.98 $18.95 $0.00 35.6% 22.1%
 MSFT  $30.19 $31.92 $0.92 8.8% 22.1%
 NSU  $3.62 $3.33 $0.12 -4.6% 22.1%
 UIS  $19.96 $24.52 $0.00 22.8% 22.1%
 Totals  14.1% 22.1%
 11/15/12 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AAPL  $537.62 $527.28 $8.75 -0.3% 36.7%
 ABC  $40.21 $69.23 $0.86 74.3% 36.7%
 LPS  $23.89 $34.26 $0.40 45.1% 36.7%
 VIAB  $49.12 $80.94 $1.15 67.1% 36.7%
 WU  $12.77 $16.40 $0.50 32.3% 36.7%
 Totals  43.7% 36.7%
 2/1/13 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AAPL  $450.60 $500.66 $8.75 13.1% 21.1%
 GA  $6.10 $11.01 $0.65 91.2% 21.1%
 STRZA  $16.06 $27.98 $0.00 74.2% 21.1%
 CA  $25.07 $32.08 $1.00 32.0% 21.1%
 NUS  $41.94 $116.59 $1.20 180.8% 21.1%
 Totals  78.3% 21.1%
 5/6/2013   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 KLIC  $11.40 $14.44 $0.00 26.7% 18.9%
 CYOU  $29.24 $28.02 $0.00 -4.2% 18.9%
 RDA  $9.74 $16.79 $0.10 73.5% 18.9%
 NVDA  $13.85 $18.43 $0.32 35.4% 18.9%
 CF  $183.97 $243.22 $2.80 33.7% 18.9%
 Totals  33.0% 18.9%
 8/15/2013   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CF  $187.26 $247.43 $4.50 34.5% 19.4%
 FLR  $66.06 $73.03 $0.53 11.4% 19.4%
 AGX  $15.60 $36.71 $0.75 140.1% 19.4%
 KLIC  $11.29 $14.26 $0.00 26.3% 19.4%
 RPXC  $15.92 $15.09 $0.00 -5.2% 19.4%
 Totals  41.4% 19.4%
 11/15/13 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AVG  $17.22 $19.21 $0.00 11.6% 14.5%
 ATVI  $17.71 $20.10 $0.20 14.6% 14.5%
 GA  $9.04 $11.90 $0.23 34.2% 14.5%
 RPXC  $17.04 $13.91 $0.00 -18.4% 14.5%
 SYNA  $48.01 $61.90 $0.00 28.9% 14.5%
 Totals  14.2% 14.5%
 2/1/14 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 ATVI  $17.13 $20.90 $0.20 23.1% 12.9%
 KLAC  $61.47 $61.47 $18.40 29.9% 12.9%
 RPXC  $16.22 $12.35 $0.00 -23.9% 12.9%
 SNDK  $69.55 $75.91 $0.83 10.3% 12.9%
 WNR  $39.11 $37.13 $3.04 2.7% 12.9%
 Totals  8.5% 12.9%
 5/6/2014   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AVG  $19.57 $23.27 $0.00 18.9% 12.9%
 CA  $29.54 $31.41 $1.00 9.7% 12.9%
 CSCO  $22.79 $28.89 $0.78 30.2% 12.9%
 NSR  $25.82 $30.69 $0.00 18.9% 12.9%
 RCII  $28.78 $31.77 $0.94 13.7% 12.9%
 Totals  18.3% 12.9%
 8/15/2014   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CSCO  $24.40 $28.95 $0.80 21.9% 8.8%
 AGX  $36.71 $40.69 $0.70 12.7% 8.8%
 ITRN  $21.32 $25.11 $0.87 21.9% 8.8%
 BRCD  $9.34 $10.15 $0.15 10.3% 8.8%
 CBI  $58.25 $51.70 $0.21 -10.9% 8.8%
 Totals  11.2% 8.8%
 11/15/2014   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 FLR  $64.80 $47.46 $0.84 -25.5% 0.8%
 IPCM  $38.45 $80.03 $0.00 108.1% 0.8%
 VIAB  $72.29 $50.69 $1.46 -27.9% 0.8%
 NHTC  $12.19 $51.46 $0.06 322.6% 0.8%
 AWRE  $4.40 $3.07 $0.00 -30.2% 0.8%
 Totals  69.4% 0.8%
 2/1/2015   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VEC  $28.00 $19.76 $0.00 -29.4% -2.6%
 QCOM  $62.73 $45.34 $1.86 -24.8% -2.6%
 VIAB  $63.91 $44.90 $1.53 -27.4% -2.6%
 UIS  $22.03 $10.87 $0.00 -50.7% -2.6%
 NHTC  $12.44 $19.95 $0.05 60.8% -2.6%
 Totals  -14.3% -2.6%
 5/6/2015   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CBI  $50.38 $38.23 $0.14 -23.8% -0.9%
 PSDV  $4.12 $2.87 $0.00 -30.4% -0.9%
 TSRA  $38.94 $30.46 $0.80 -19.7% -0.9%
 KORS  $62.24 $50.87 $0.00 -18.3% -0.9%
 DEPO  $23.50 $15.51 $0.00 -34.0% -0.9%
 Totals  -25.2% -0.9%
8/17/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VDSI  $18.66 $17.45 $0.00 -6.5% 5.3%
 SALE  $9.34 $11.75 $0.00 25.8% 5.3%
 CSCO  $28.95 $31.20 $0.94 11.0% 5.3%
 TGNA  $25.30 $21.37 $0.56 -13.3% 5.3%
 HSII  $20.14 $19.19 $0.39 -2.8% 5.3%
 Totals  2.8% 5.3%
11/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 LCI  $34.01 $24.25 $0.00 -28.7% 8.1%
 SAVE  $34.48 $53.39 $0.00 54.9% 8.1%
 PPC  $18.98 $19.46 $2.75 17.0% 8.1%
 VEC  $23.60 $22.25 $0.00 -5.7% 8.1%
 VNCE  $3.99 $4.10 $0.00 2.8% 8.1%
 Totals  8.0% 8.1%
2/1/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VEC  $19.64 $22.54 $0.00 14.8% 21.4%
 QCOM  $45.18 $53.43 $2.07 22.9% 21.4%
 PERI  $2.45 $1.86 $0.00 -24.1% 21.4%
 DEPO  $15.34 $18.09 $0.00 17.9% 21.4%
 TDC  $24.02 $29.36 $0.00 22.2% 21.4%
 Totals  10.7% 21.4%
5/6/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BRCD  $7.97 $12.57 $0.17 59.8% 20.0%
 CBI  $37.82 $29.30 $0.28 -21.8% 20.0%
 HSII  $18.51 $21.65 $0.52 19.8% 20.0%
 RHI  $38.51 $46.91 $0.90 24.1% 20.0%
 UTHR  $107.99 $122.84 $0.00 13.8% 20.0%
 Totals  19.1% 20.0%
8/15/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CSCO  $31.20 $31.84 $1.10 5.6% 14.6%
 GNC  $19.79 $9.62 $0.38 -49.5% 14.6%
 VLO  $54.73 $66.79 $2.70 27.0% 14.6%
 MSGN  $16.68 $20.40 $0.00 22.3% 14.6%
 GILD  $79.33 $72.81 $1.98 -5.7% 14.6%
 Totals  -0.1% 14.6%
11/15/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 MPAA  $26.55 $25.51 $0.00 -3.9% 20.3%
 ATHM  $22.61 $60.02 $0.00 165.5% 20.3%
 AMGN  $145.14 $170.13 $3.15 19.4% 20.3%
 RHI  $43.23 $53.51 $0.94 26.0% 20.3%
 CA  $31.11 $32.31 $0.77 6.3% 20.3%
 Totals  42.6% 20.3%
2/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AKRX  $19.10 $30.00 $5.43 85.5% 24.7%
 YY  $41.08 $132.96 $0.00 223.7% 24.7%
 KLAC  $85.11 $109.80 $2.26 31.7% 24.7%
 WNC  $17.65 $25.83 $0.24 47.7% 24.7%
 RGR  $52.75 $52.95 $1.36 3.0% 24.7%
 Totals  74.9% 24.7%
5/6/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 WSTC  $24.15 $23.50 $0.00 -2.7% 11.5%
 TGNA  $25.75 $19.83 $0.28 -21.9% 11.5%
 TIME  $15.05 $18.50 $0.08 23.5% 11.5%
 MSGN  $23.55 $20.63 $0.00 -12.4% 11.5%
 QCOM  $54.93 $50.32 $2.28 -4.2% 11.5%
 Totals  -3.6% 11.5%


Good to bounce back with a solid winner after the May 2017 stink bomb.  On the three open tranches, November also looks really good.  But February and May have some work to do.  But in 6 months, a lot can happen.