Sunday, February 09, 2014

Top 200 List - February 7th, 2014

Top 200 List

I decided to use this weekend to update my list.  It is never too early to start looking forward to my next tranche (May 6th, 2014) as I approach new tranche.  We had a surprising amount of snow here this past week, a bit over a foot.. As my readers know, I like to replicate the official MFI site (Magic Formula Investing) every now and then.  I add a few extra elements such as (1) country, (2) yahoo yield, (3) my calculated stats, (4) ranking and (5) 200 stocks.

If anyone could think of any other stats that might be interesting, then let me know.  I did add this time price to book value.  The data is from FINVIZ.  I would actually prefer price to tangible book, if anyone knows where to get that (I am too lazy to calculate it) then please let me know.

I think my approach is pretty darned accurate.  I use Compustat as well and formulas that were devised by a team on the Yahoo Groups board and detailed in my blog (MFI Diary: The Calculation).  I also cross reference my list with the official top 50 and they are almost always within my top 100 (I have more on my list as I do not exclude some stocks the official site excludes, such as some stocks in other countries).

Be aware that this is all formula driven, the dividend yields should definitely be verified as they come from Yahoo Finance which is not always reliable.  The main financials (from Compustat) have seemed very reliable to me.

Ticker Rank  Stock Price  Market Cap Earnings Yield ROIC Dividend Yield P/B Country
PDLI 1           8.39        1,297 30% 828081% 7.5%    22.7   USA
TTWO 2         18.65        2,085 31% 1283% 0.0%      3.1   USA
AGX 3         27.56            396 21% 1367% 2.7%      2.7   USA
GAME 4           6.47        1,736 14% 757% 0.0%      1.5   China
TNH 5      159.08        2,943 19% 271% 0.0%    11.4   USA
EBIX 6         14.12            543 13% 812% 0.5%      1.3   USA
MYGN 7         32.23        2,476 14% 447% 0.0%      2.5   USA
USMO 8         13.88            304 18% 202% 3.6%      1.2   USA
CYOU 9         29.95        1,598 29% 149% 0.0%      2.0   China
PFMT 10           7.76            385 16% 212% 0.0%      8.1   USA
WTW 11         29.08        1,643 12% 548% 1.8%        -     USA
AVG 12         16.40            904 12% 682% 0.0%    36.9   Netherlands
CSCO 13         22.67    123,098 12% 359% 3.0%      2.0   USA
USNA 14         66.03            952 14% 197% 0.0%      4.3   USA
RPXC 15         15.49            837 11% 1461% 0.0%      2.1   USA
RCII 16         25.49        1,357 11% 422% 3.4%      1.3   USA
GME 17         35.50        4,193 16% 133% 3.1%      2.7   USA
APOL 18         33.18        3,781 18% 119% 0.0%      2.7   USA
ESI 19         29.39            688 26% 100% 0.0%      4.1   USA
BAH 20         18.34        2,730 12% 194% 13.2%      6.9   USA
BPI 21         17.25            973 18% 113% 0.0%      1.7   USA
UIS 22         32.10        1,647 15% 119% 0.0%        -     USA
MSFT 23         36.56    306,921 11% 248% 2.7%      3.8   USA
QCOR 24         65.01        4,036 10% 1198% 1.8%      8.1   USA
NTES 25         72.83        9,592 11% 532% 0.0%      3.3   China
AAPL 26      519.68    468,467 11% 318% 2.4%      4.0   USA
RGR 27         73.96        1,475 12% 164% 3.0%      9.4   USA
CTCM 28         11.44        1,786 13% 115% 5.5%      3.0   Russia
COH 29         47.56      13,390 12% 143% 2.8%      6.7   USA
GTIV 30         10.71            338 13% 119% 0.0%      8.5   USA
STRA 31         36.11            381 22% 85% 0.0%      6.3   USA
LO 32         49.52      18,410 10% 666% 4.5%        -     USA
BKE 33         44.03        2,113 13% 106% 1.8%      6.7   USA
NSR 34         34.99        2,239 11% 166% 0.0%      5.0   USA
IQNT 35         11.03            359 14% 100% 13.2%      3.4   USA
LQDT 36         24.61            804 10% 604% 0.0%      2.3   USA
SWHC 37         12.52            764 19% 82% 2.0%      6.1   USA
HLF 38         67.37        7,261 10% 284% 1.8%    17.3   Cayman Islands
CHE 39         79.70        1,476 10% 189% 1.0%      3.3   USA
MO 40         35.30      70,318 10% 399% 5.3%    19.0   USA
NUS 41         71.83        4,418 11% 129% 1.7%    10.5   USA
SNDK 42         71.61      16,672 10% 141% 0.0%      2.4   USA
NOC 43      114.97      25,891 11% 111% 2.1%      2.8   USA
MANT 44         28.43        1,057 15% 75% 3.0%      0.9   USA
NTI 45         25.00        2,298 14% 78% 14.4%      5.6   USA
SAIC 46         36.52        1,753 12% 84% 0.0%      4.9   USA
CRUS 47         18.02        1,178 19% 68% 0.0%      2.1   USA
CA 48         32.17      14,412 9% 472% 3.2%      2.6   USA
GA 49         11.13        2,757 9% 375% 5.8%      4.7   China
PRSC 50         25.52            359 10% 134% 0.0%      2.5   USA
WNR 51         37.54        3,856 22% 64% 1.4%      3.7   USA
DHX 52           6.71            362 9% 243% 0.0%      2.2   USA
RAI 53         48.76      26,557 9% 275% 5.2%      5.3   USA
XLS 54         19.25        3,711 14% 71% 2.2%      2.7   USA
ETM 55           9.47            361 11% 103% 0.0%      1.4   USA
ORCL 56         37.19    171,074 9% 475% 1.0%      3.9   USA
VLO 57         48.82      26,460 14% 70% 1.8%      1.5   USA
DGX 58         50.80        7,417 11% 103% 2.4%      2.1   USA
ATVI 59         19.64      14,867 9% 994% 1.1%      1.7   USA
EGL 60         39.30            698 13% 73% 0.0%      1.5   USA
APEI 61         42.31            756 11% 84% 0.0%      3.7   USA
ALDW 62         14.53            908 23% 59% 18.8%      7.8   USA
FLR 63         77.21      12,728 10% 114% 0.8%      3.4   USA
VGR 64         18.15        1,656 9% 302% 8.6%        -     USA
CF 65      234.06      13,458 17% 58% 1.0%      2.6   USA
HPQ 66         29.07      56,396 12% 71% 2.0%      2.0   USA
K 67         58.36      21,243 11% 77% 3.1%      7.7   USA
EXPR 68         17.19        1,454 16% 58% 0.0%      3.9   USA
PM 69         80.25    128,240 9% 201% 4.6%        -     USA
TDC 70         40.95        6,732 9% 217% 0.0%      3.9   USA
BR 71         37.19        4,615 9% 222% 2.2%      5.6   USA
REV 72         22.81        1,194 9% 120% 0.0%        -     USA
PBI 73         25.47        5,174 9% 147% 3.7% #####   USA
CPLA 74         62.10            782 9% 142% 0.6%      4.5   USA
VIAB 75         81.92      37,192 9% 220% 1.5%      7.8   USA
FRAN 76         18.98            835 10% 92% 0.0%    10.6   USA
TEO 77         15.63        3,055 32% 48% 2.1%      1.8   Argentina
SYMC 78         20.90      14,672 9% 127% 0.0%      2.9   USA
CRWN 79           2.97        1,068 9% 121% 0.0%      3.4   USA
HRS 80         70.92        7,610 10% 74% 2.3%      4.5   USA
NSP 81         32.40            806 10% 78% 2.1%      3.6   USA
BBBY 82         64.11      13,612 13% 55% 0.0%      4.2   USA
IGT 83         14.74        3,763 11% 72% 2.6%      3.6   USA
HFC 84         44.97        8,972 23% 47% 7.3%      1.6   USA
PBH 85         27.38        1,436 8% 261% 0.0%      3.4   USA
STRZA 86         28.87        3,479 9% 109% 0.0%    35.4   USA
HRB 87         29.66        8,124 8% 236% 2.7%      8.4   USA
SCSS 88         16.65            921 11% 70% 0.0%      5.2   USA
MED 89         26.67            371 10% 73% 0.0%      3.2   USA
NDZ 90           9.61            596 11% 59% 0.0%      1.4   Canada
UTHR 91         97.66        5,243 9% 100% 0.0%      4.3   USA
CATO 92         27.79            799 16% 48% 0.7%      2.4   USA
RTN 93         94.27      30,129 8% 151% 1.8%      3.2   USA
TZOO 94         22.14            334 8% 294% 0.0%      9.1   USA
FF 95         15.56            675 16% 47% 4.5%      2.2   USA
TUP 96         77.15        3,973 9% 137% 3.3%    17.6   USA
JCOM 97         45.92        2,126 8% 539% 2.2%      3.4   USA
MDP 98         44.33        2,022 9% 113% 3.7%      2.7   USA
JOY 99         54.79        5,809 14% 48% 1.3%      2.1   USA
TWX 100         63.91      59,072 9% 105% #VALUE!      2.1   USA
BBY 101         24.55        8,565 17% 45% 2.9%      3.7   USA
STX 102         49.52      17,134 10% 71% 0.0%      5.5   Ireland
FCN 103         36.20        1,415 11% 59% 0.0%      1.5   USA
THO 104         52.40        2,793 9% 83% 0.0%      3.4   USA
SAVE 105         46.00        3,358 8% 151% 0.0%      4.8   USA
DOX 106         43.34        7,014 8% 122% 1.2%      2.0   Channel Islands
REGI 107         10.34            352 60% 42% 0.0%      0.7   USA
CSGS 108         26.88            909 9% 81% 1.7%      2.6   USA
ITRN 109         21.65            454 9% 80% 3.8%      5.2   Israel
KFY 110         22.72        1,109 9% 89% 0.0%      1.8   USA
SGU 111           5.53            318 16% 44% 0.0%      1.2   USA
WDC 112         84.68      20,577 11% 57% 1.3%      2.4   USA
CO 113           3.98            291 21% 42% 0.0%      1.5   Hong Kong
DPS 114         48.89      10,008 9% 94% 3.2%      4.2   USA
SYNT 115         82.34        3,449 8% 128% 0.0%      6.0   USA
OSK 116         53.66        4,654 11% 56% 0.3%      2.0   USA
CODI 117         17.63            852 11% 51% 8.2%      1.8   USA
SPLS 118         13.07        8,561 15% 44% 0.0%      1.7   USA
LH 119         89.15        7,872 10% 68% 0.0%      3.2   USA
ROST 120         69.36      14,899 9% 73% 1.0%      8.1   USA
GDOT 121         21.63            828 9% 87% 0.0%      2.3   USA
EMC 122         24.49      51,772 8% 120% 1.2%      2.3   USA
LXK 123         39.44        2,512 14% 42% 3.0%      1.7   USA
KLAC 124         62.24      10,469 9% 77% 2.8%      3.0   USA
NCI 125         17.55            891 10% 62% 0.0%      1.6   USA
FL 126         38.67        5,781 13% 45% 2.1%      2.5   USA
IILG 127         27.07        1,570 8% 248% 1.2%      5.4   USA
LMT 128      155.13      50,619 8% 97% 3.2%    37.0   USA
NCR 129         32.07        5,478 10% 59% 0.0%      3.7   USA
PIR 130         18.89        1,978 11% 49% 1.1%      4.6   USA
WHR 131      136.55      10,910 11% 47% 1.8%      2.7   USA
MSI 132         64.60      16,874 8% 97% 1.8%      6.5   USA
ACN 133         80.58      56,243 7% 491% 2.2%    10.5   Ireland
ERIC 134         12.41      40,469 10% 54% 3.5%      1.9   Sweden
IPG 135         16.60        7,073 8% 135% 1.8%      3.6   USA
EXLS 136         25.45            864 8% 94% 0.0%      2.5   USA
SAP 137         76.69      91,721 7% 280% 1.5%      4.9   Germany
CBZ 138           8.50            417 10% 57% #VALUE!      1.2   USA
MDT 139         55.59      56,113 9% 74% 2.0%      3.1   USA
TRW 140         72.87        9,050 12% 43% #VALUE!      2.3   USA
OMC 141         74.20      19,285 7% 247% 2.2%      5.7   USA
BTI 142         96.99      93,207 8% 111% 4.4%      8.9   United Kingdom
CSC 143         60.06        8,971 11% 45% 1.4%      2.5   USA
SEM 144         10.27        1,405 11% 49% 3.8%      2.0   USA
LEA 145         74.88        6,208 12% 42% 0.9%      2.3   USA
NVDA 146         15.87        9,343 8% 84% 2.0%      2.1   USA
MLHR 147         26.91        1,586 9% 73% 1.9%      5.1   USA
PETM 148         64.93        6,802 10% 54% 1.1%      6.2   USA
CVRR 149         21.21        3,131 21% 36% 15.2%      2.0   USA
MAN 150         75.69        6,116 10% 50% 1.2%      2.4   USA
RIOM 151           2.23            396 23% 35% 0.0% #N/A   Canada
HITT 152         54.88        1,711 9% 71% 0.0%      3.1   USA
PLT 153         42.13        1,821 10% 55% 1.0%      2.9   USA
PRIS 154           2.13            538 8% 80% 0.0%      0.2   Spain
WSTC 155         23.38        1,989 10% 54% 3.9%        -     USA
ENDP 156         69.49        8,357 8% 145% 0.0%      5.8   USA
FWLT 157         30.43        3,001 8% 79% 0.0%      4.3   Switzerland
VMI 158      145.58        3,919 12% 40% 0.8%      2.6   USA
EC 159         35.04      72,036 15% 37% 9.1%      2.5   Colombia
TJX 160         59.43      43,034 8% 87% 0.0%    11.0   USA
CACI 161         71.96        1,820 9% 70% 0.0%      1.4   USA
CROX 162         15.17        1,349 12% 41% 0.0%      2.1   USA
HSNI 163         54.95        2,988 9% 64% 1.4%      6.9   USA
LHCG 164         23.60            405 10% 47% 0.0%      1.4   USA
LNN 165         92.93        1,204 10% 53% 0.6%      2.8   USA
GSK 166         52.84    128,956 8% 81% 4.6%    12.3   United Kingdom
NCMI 167         18.30        1,041 7% 336% 4.8%        -     USA
CHRW 168         52.39        7,918 8% 88% 2.7%      9.1   USA
ZUMZ 169         21.84            661 13% 37% 0.0%      2.4   USA
AGCO 170         51.02        5,087 17% 35% 0.8%      1.5   USA
MAT 171         36.94      12,678 9% 60% 3.9%      5.4   USA
YONG 172           6.63            336 53% 33% 2.3%      0.6   China
MBT 173         18.08      17,981 13% 38% 5.3%      5.4   Russia
ARDNA 174      126.44            388 9% 68% 0.8%      6.8   USA
RECN 175         13.21            523 9% 57% 2.0%      1.7   USA
DTV 176         70.28      38,303 9% 58% 0.0%        -     USA
ACM 177         28.79        2,810 10% 45% 0.0%      1.4   USA
QLGC 178         11.23            979 11% 40% 0.0%      1.5   USA
FICO 179         51.00        1,827 7% 216% 0.2%      4.1   USA
STO 180         25.40      80,780 29% 33% 0.0%      1.4   Norway
ICFI 181         33.76            681 9% 57% 0.0%      1.5   USA
BRCD 182           9.45        4,349 8% 71% 0.0%      1.7   USA
KLIC 183         11.49            872 19% 34% 0.0%      1.4   USA
GEOS 184         70.97            923 12% 38% 0.0%      4.1   USA
USPH 185         30.67            372 8% 95% 1.3%      3.3   USA
CDW 186         23.55        3,928 8% 76% 0.2%      5.9   USA
MHFI 187         79.97      22,232 7% 617% 1.5%    21.7   USA
SWK 188         78.80      12,545 9% 65% 0.0%      1.8   USA
IGTE 189         31.86        1,928 8% 66% 0.0%    97.8   USA
NTL 190         16.97        1,809 42% 32% 7.0%      2.1   Argentina
ACET 191         17.79            506 11% 42% 1.1%      3.1   USA
PRGS 192         24.05        1,266 7% 138% 0.0%      2.7   USA
ICON 193         37.25        2,153 7% 385% 0.0%      2.2   USA
GPN 194         65.96        4,796 7% 109% 0.1%      4.6   USA
DEST 195         26.33            357 12% 38% 2.8%      3.3   USA
VIV 196         18.99      14,089 17% 33% 5.7%      1.2   Brazil
CAH 197         67.54      23,369 8% 71% 1.3%      3.6   USA
PLUS 198         57.04            455 13% 35% 0.0%      1.8   USA
TGA 199           7.19            544 30% 31% 0.0%      1.3   Canada
AVD 200         23.50            679 10% 43% 0.9%      2.7   USA



The price to book (in my opinion) is interesting.  Note that some pretty highly rated stocks such as WTW and LO actually have a "-", meaning they have a book value below 0.  I do not know about other people here, but I have trouble owning a company with a negative book value.

Here is the Cross Reference List.  This is always a difficult time of year to run these calculations as we're in the midst of earnings season, so data in Compustat can be changing significantly daily. After a couple of runs where I had a few mis matches, this one looks perfect!  I think #64 (NSR) is the highest, and a "50" would be perfect.

Ticker Mkt Cap Date My Ranking
ATVI 13,649.80 7-Feb 59
MO 70,369.84 7-Feb 40
APEI 748.00 7-Feb 61
APOL 3,738.96 7-Feb 18
AAPL 463,786.90 7-Feb 26
AGX 391.27 7-Feb 3
BAH 2,649.89 7-Feb 20
BKE 2,127.93 7-Feb 33
CA 14,256.81 7-Feb 48
CHE 1,397.70 7-Feb 39
CRUS 1,132.63 7-Feb 47
CSCO 121,919.30 7-Feb 13
COH 13,200.37 7-Feb 29
DHX 365.71 7-Feb 52
EBIX 536.40 7-Feb 6
EGL 676.79 7-Feb 60
ETM 366.83 7-Feb 55
XLS 3,634.40 7-Feb 54
FLR 12,605.46 7-Feb 63
GME 4,125.10 7-Feb 17
GTIV 336.18 7-Feb 30
HLF 6,824.58 7-Feb 38
IQNT 355.07 7-Feb 35
ESI 686.84 7-Feb 19
LQDT 792.44 7-Feb 36
LO 18,272.88 7-Feb 32
MANT 1,056.72 7-Feb 44
MSFT 303,448.00 7-Feb 23
MYGN 2,681.28 7-Feb 7
NSR 2,134.39 7-Feb 34
NOC 25,017.36 7-Feb 43
NUS 4,202.06 7-Feb 41
PDLI 1,422.72 7-Feb 1
PFMT 373.71 7-Feb 10
PRSC 343.86 7-Feb 50
DGX 7,178.04 7-Feb 58
QCOR 3,950.53 7-Feb 24
RTN 29,666.77 7-Feb 93
RAI 26,380.53 7-Feb 53
RPXC 844.81 7-Feb 15
SNDK 16,130.30 7-Feb 42
SAIC 1,789.48 7-Feb 46
SWHC 700.24 7-Feb 37
STRA 391.87 7-Feb 31
RGR 1,430.90 7-Feb 27
TTWO 1,892.96 7-Feb 2
USMO 300.53 7-Feb 8
USNA 915.18 7-Feb 14
WTW 1,640.00 7-Feb 11
WNR 3,733.84 7-Feb 51

In the totally trivial category, I did decide to upgrade to Pandora One this weekend.  I like to have music streaming in the background.  I thought Itunes Radio was the answer for me as I already have iCloud.  But they repeated the same songs way too often.  After a day and a half, I am pretty pleased with Pandora One. At first, like many people, I am so used to not paying for my music that I didn't want to upgrade.  But $36 a year? I do not think I will miss that.  Then I did buy a Slingbox today.  It works unbelievably well. The picture/sound quality was very good. And it was a snap to set up. I can now watch any of my cable TV channels on my iPad or computer as long as I am somewhere with a decent wifi.

I subscribe to PCWorld magazine.  It has gone from being a tangible magazine to being fully digital through

Zinio.


I just read the February issue.  I always find it thought provoking as there are a number of articles about the future of technology. And while none of it is earth-shattering, it can make you think a bit about the intersection of technology and investing.  When I look at it, it seems clear connectivity is just going to keep increasing.

Smart watches are one very interesting area.  When I first heard about these, I just laughed, thinking about Dick Tracey, or nerds with Casio watches that have calculator functions. But as phones get larger, many times it is easier just to lift up your wrist to check out something. And I am sure some one, somewhere, is working on making them stylish. So I expect they may simply be an extension of your smartphone.

Cars are going to become much more tech-integrated. GM is going to build 4g LTE connectivity into most 2015 models.  That is just around the corner.  That has to be good for Verizon, AT&T etc.  They will have an entire new market to sell their data to.  It will also continue to push the need for bandwidth.  So cell phone towers and networks will be ever-expanding. And both the watches and cars will surely need chips, touch screens etc. Has to be something there for INTC and SYNA.

Phones and computers are going more biometric. Get away from passwords.  Fingerprint sensors, voice or eye scans will become more commonplace. Recall that is the segment that AWRE is involved in. I was way to quick (kicking myself) in selling them.

Google is aggressively building out Google Fiber.  I think this has the potential to change the landscape of broadband.  Google does not do things in a small way.  They are pushing 100 mps speed and forcing other providers to upgrade or lose.  Consumers will be the winner.  But have dependable and very fast internet could change many other things.  It will certainly put the US a step closer to "cutting the cord". I'd think long and hard before buying stock in a cable provider.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

I tried to calculate the EY and ROC for TTWO and come up with dramatically different different numbers. Can you tell me where I'm going wrong?

OI (467,902) - D (334,406) = Operating Income after Depreciation of 133,496

DSO 111,812
xPrice 18.65
MC 2,085,293

+PC 0
+LTD 448,737
-Cah+S+I-Working Cash=852,176
EV= 1,681,854


+PPE 38,768
+Receivables 189,519
+Inventories 45,035
+OCA 338,932
+WC 119,994
-AP 641,287
-OCL 52,193
=Invested Capital 38,768

133,496/1,681,854=.079=EY
133,496/38,768=ROC=344%