Sunday, October 06, 2013

A Little This-a and A Little That-a

Rainy morning in Dear Connecticut. Good news is that my Hoosiers beat Penn State in football for the first time "ev-er".  We will see how my Cowboys fare today against Peyton and the Broncos, at least it'll be on TV here in Patriot-world.  I wanted to throw up a couple of tables and charts that I find interesting:

Performance Since May 2nd

I took a snap shot of my holdings on May 2nd.  I pick that date as that was really the date people started talking about "taper".  At that point, precious metals really started to drop as did anything that felt bond-like.

Stock May 2nd price Dividends Current Change
O                       51.09                          0.91                40.61 -20.5%
NEM                       32.66                          0.60                27.40 -16.1%
BHK                       14.95                          0.37                13.29 -11.1%
NSU                          3.64                          0.07                  3.27 -10.2%
RIG                       52.33                          1.68                47.13 -9.9%
KMF                       35.15                          0.46                32.39 -7.9%
ABR                          7.43                          0.25                  6.88 -7.4%
JQC                       10.38                          0.31                  9.65 -7.0%
OIBAX                          6.62                          0.10                  6.21 -6.2%
INTC                       24.11                          0.45                23.26 -3.5%
CIM                          3.29                          0.18                  3.18 -3.3%
CSQ                       10.64                          0.35                10.46 -1.7%
AOD                          4.17                          0.14                  4.20 0.6%
PRE                       92.48                          1.28                93.86 1.5%
STO                       23.45                          1.16                23.87 1.8%
MSFT                       33.16                          0.46                34.34 3.6%
KLIC                       11.08                              -                  11.54 4.2%
IWV                       94.88                          0.85             101.63 7.1%
PGR                       25.12                              -                  27.35 8.9%
AAPL                     445.52                          6.10             489.13 9.8%
CA                       27.23                          0.50                30.07 10.4%
DLB                       31.61                              -                  35.29 11.6%
CSCO                       20.73                          0.17                23.19 11.9%
NVDA                       13.74                          0.15                15.74 14.6%
ABC                       54.85                          0.42                62.89 14.7%
FCX                       30.34                          1.31                35.09 15.7%
SD                          5.18                              -                    6.08 17.4%
BAC-WTA                          5.25                              -                    6.16 17.4%
CF                     183.58                          1.60             217.98 18.7%
TC-PT                       15.60                          0.41                18.62 19.4%
STRZA                       23.91                              -                  28.60 19.6%
LPS                       27.28                          0.20                33.41 22.5%
WU                       15.53                          0.25                19.03 22.5%
VIAB                       67.25                          0.30                83.50 24.2%
GNW                       10.33                              -                  12.89 24.8%
GA                          7.63                          0.42                  9.70 27.1%
KFY                       15.99                              -                  21.77 36.1%
UIS                       18.60                              -                  26.08 40.2%
CYOU                       28.00                              -                  40.00 42.9%
RDA                          9.62                              -                  15.28 58.8%
NUS                       54.28                          0.60             100.10 84.4%
GTAT                          3.67                              -                    9.07 147.1%


As you can see, the R3K is up 7% since then (I am up almost 16%, so it has been a good run).  You can see that O (a REIT with a 5.5% dividend) has been the worst performer, down 20%. NEM, a gold miner is down 16%. Interestingly, FCX, which one thinks of as gold and copper mining is up 16%. They took a lot of sh*t for diversfying last fall and buying two oil & gas companies, but that is looking pretty savvy now. I was surprised to see SD about $6 again.  I was definitely wrong to sell them around $4.95.  Sometimes it is so easy to lose conviction in your picks.  You read one counter-argument and you get worried.

Chart of Quarterly Dividends



As one can see, the past quarter was my best third quarter for dividends ever, even though I have been moving a bit away from my dividend portfolio. I am projecting the 4th quarter to be a bit lower with my sale of CIM, some TC-PT and the fact that the 3rd quarter had the benefit of annual STO dividend.

2013 Purchases

Here is a table showing all my purchases in 2013.

Stock Start price Current Dividend % Gain Status
SD                  6.39             6.89                    -   7.9%   Closed
CIM                  2.61             2.93                0.18 19.1%   Closed
GTAT                  3.53             3.68                    -   4.5%   Closed
NUGT                10.14          10.19                    -   0.5%   Closed
GNW                  8.10          12.89                    -   59.1%   Open
SCO                39.46          38.84                    -   -1.6%   Closed
CIM                  2.80             2.93                0.18 11.0%   Closed
CDE                23.85          24.42                    -   2.4%   Closed
AOD                  3.90             4.06                0.22 9.7%   Open
VECO                33.27          32.85                    -   -1.3%   Closed
NUGT                  8.09             8.23                    -   1.7%   Closed
NUGT                  7.76             7.87                    -   1.5%   Closed
AAPL             450.60        483.03                8.75 9.1%   Open
GA                  6.10             9.28                0.42 59.1%   Open
STRZA                16.06          28.60                    -   78.1%   Open
CA                25.07          29.57                0.75 20.9%   Open
NUS                41.94          99.50                0.90 139.4%   Open
CIM                  3.08             2.91                0.18 0.3%   Closed
ABR                  7.18             6.05                0.24 -12.4%   Closed
SD                  5.74             5.93                    -   3.3%   Closed
FCX                32.12          28.75                1.63 -5.4%   Closed
AOD                  3.97             4.06                0.19 7.0%   Open
NUGT                30.69             7.75                    -   -74.7% Closed
NEM                41.18          29.57                0.78 -26.3%   Closed
GTAT                  2.73             3.41                    -   25.0%   Closed
RIG                52.65          45.45                1.12 -11.5%   Open
SD                  5.89             4.94                    -   -16.1%   Closed
SD                  5.64             4.94                    -   -12.4%   Closed
SD                  5.58             4.94                    -   -11.4%   Closed
FSYS                17.90          16.07                    -   -10.2%   Closed
CDE                18.05          14.42                    -   -20.1%   Closed
TC-PT                16.02          19.25                0.81 25.2%   Closed
SD                  5.02             4.94                    -   -1.5%   Closed
RIG                49.96          45.45                1.12 -6.8%   Open
TC-PT                15.90          19.25                0.81 26.2%   Closed
NEM                39.36          29.57                0.35 -24.0%   Closed
TC-PT                15.80          18.21                0.81 20.4%   Open
NEM                36.71          29.57                0.35 -18.5%   Closed
SD                  4.92             4.94                    -   0.4%   Closed
TC-PT                15.15          18.21                0.81 25.6%   Open
AAPL             422.63        483.03                6.10 15.7%   Open
GNW                  9.54          12.89                    -   35.1%   Open
GTAT                  3.39             9.07                    -   167.6%   Open
AAPL             407.67        483.03                6.10 20.0%   Open
BAC-WTA                  5.10             6.16                    -   21.0%   Open
ABR                  7.25             6.05                0.12 -14.9%   Closed
TC-PT                13.99          18.21                0.81 36.0%   Open
FCX                28.30          28.75                1.31 6.2%   Closed
STO                23.49          22.71                1.16 1.6%   Open
KLIC                11.40          11.54                    -   1.2%   Open
CYOU                29.24          40.00                    -   36.8%   Open
RDA                  9.74          15.28                0.10 58.0%   Open
NVDA                13.85          15.59                0.15 13.6%   Open
CF             183.97        216.38                0.80 18.1%   Open
SLW                21.95          22.36                0.12 2.4%   Closed
ABR                  6.98             6.05                    -   -13.3%   Closed
AOD                  4.25             4.06                    -   -4.4%   Open
SLCA                20.29          23.05                0.13 14.2%   Closed
HILL                  2.07             2.16                    -   4.4%   Closed
TCRD                14.73          15.53                0.42 8.3%   Open
TGONF                10.38             9.95                0.14 -2.8%   Open
ACAS                12.75          13.73                    -   7.7%   Open
KLIC                11.15          11.54                    -   3.5%   Open
CIM                  2.98             2.91                0.09 0.8%   Closed
FCX                28.11          28.75                0.31 3.4%   Closed
INTC                24.22          22.81                0.23 -4.9%   Open
HIG-WT                19.21          22.79                    -   18.6%   Open
AOD                  3.88             4.06                0.08 6.8%   Open
STO                20.68          22.71                    -   9.8%   Open
BBEP                15.23          18.14                0.48 22.3%   Open
BBEP                16.28          18.14                0.48 14.4%   Open
INTC                23.17          22.81                0.23 -0.6%   Open
RIG                48.95          45.45                0.56 -6.0%   Open
NSU                  3.03             3.33                    -   10.0%   Closed
SAI                14.84          15.60                    -   5.1%   Closed
HIG-WT                22.01          22.79                    -   3.5%   Open
SBS                  9.85          10.10                    -   2.5%   Open
QEPM                21.00          22.47                    -   7.0%   Open
CF             187.26        216.38                    -   15.6%   Open
FLR                66.06          71.87                0.16 9.0%   Open
AGX                15.60          21.52                    -   37.9%   Open
KLIC                11.29          11.54                    -   2.2%   Open
RPXC                15.92          17.71                    -   11.2%   Open
ACAS                12.53          13.73                    -   9.6%   Open
SBS                  8.80          10.10                    -   14.8%   Open
TGONF                10.38             9.95                    -   -4.2%   Open
GAME                  4.50             3.91                    -   -13.1%   Closed
HIG-WT                21.24          22.79                    -   7.3%   Open
BAC-WTA                  5.86             6.16                    -   5.2%   Open
INTC                22.59          22.81                    -   1.0%   Open
ACAS                12.87          13.73                    -   6.7%   Open
SBS                  9.37          10.10                    -   7.8%   Open
RIG                46.12          45.45                    -   -1.5%   Open
IP                47.13          43.70                    -   -7.3%   Open
ABR                  6.90             6.63                    -   -3.9%   Open
Totals 10.3%
Annualized IRR 43.2%
Average Days Held                99

As you can see, I have had failures and successes.  I have also had positions I have sold too early.  But all-in-all to have a 43% annualized IRR is strong.  My dollar gain on all of these transactions (using my multiplier) is $222,000.

Current Portfolio

Here is my overall current portfolio (in descending order of total worth - note share counts are with multiplier. Also, there should be 2,000 more TGONF shares, which I will fix next week):

Stock Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Gain per Share Sum of Shares
GTAT          3.39                   9.07                   -                        5.68 14,000
GNW          7.10                 12.89                   -                        5.79 9,000
CSCO       17.30                 23.02              0.80                      6.52 4,356
AAPL     473.41              483.03              7.78                    17.41 196
INTC       22.24                 22.81              0.98                      1.55 3,718
KLIC       11.25                 11.54                   -                        0.29 7,269
RIG       50.48                 45.45              0.86                    (4.17) 1,730
AOD          3.95                   4.06              0.16                      0.27 18,945
TCRD       14.73                 15.53              0.42                      1.22 4,200
BBEP       15.44                 18.14              0.47                      3.17 3,584
SBS          9.54                 10.10                   -                        0.56 6,211
ACAS       12.71                 13.73                   -                        1.02 4,518
CSQ          8.38                 10.11              1.52                      3.24 5,785
TC-PT       14.98                 18.21              0.81                      4.04 3,000
STO       22.97                 22.71              1.37                      1.10 2,211
TGONF       10.38                   9.95              0.07                    (0.36) 5,000
CF     185.70              216.38              0.38                    31.06 228
NUS       41.94                 99.50              0.90                    58.46 480
IP       47.13                 43.70                   -                      (3.43) 1,000
ABR          6.90                   6.63                   -                      (0.27) 6,000
BAC-WTA          5.35                   6.16                   -                        0.81 6,000
STRZA       16.06                 28.60                   -                      12.54 1,248
VIAB       49.14                 83.20              1.15                    35.21 407
GA          6.18                   9.28              0.40                      3.50 3,462
AGX       15.60                 21.52                   -                        5.92 1,480
ABC       40.24                 62.47              0.63                    22.86 502
RDA          9.74                 15.28              0.10                      5.65 2,051
WU       12.78                 18.78              0.50                      6.50 1,585
LPS       23.89                 33.21              0.40                      9.72 843
CYOU       29.24                 40.00                   -                      10.76 680
HIG-WT       20.89                 22.79                   -                        1.90 1,150
RPXC       15.92                 17.71                   -                        1.79 1,430
OIBAX          4.98                   6.11              1.86                      3.00 4,049
FLR       66.06                 71.87              0.16                      5.97 344
CA       25.07                 29.57              0.75                      5.24 806
O       20.11                 39.70            14.42                    34.01 574
NVDA       13.85                 15.59              0.15                      1.89 1,445

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