Saturday, May 04, 2013

Weekend Update From Switzerland

In Switzerland for the weekend and the rest of next week. Have not really decided what I will do today. Not quite as warm as I was hoping for.  I will probably take a hike (I am told to do that often enough).

It was the second consecutive strong week for my overall portfolio, up a snappy 3.3%.  That means in the past two weeks, +7.7%!  I do not know about the rest of you, but I can not think of many times I have gained 7.7% in two weeks.  Of course it helps to have a wind at your back, and the Russell 3000 was up 3.8% over that stretch.

Dividend Portfolio


Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AAPL             211        495.59        449.98            397.50 -8.8% 11.5% -20.3%
ABR         5,867            7.21             7.42            540.00 4.3% 5.3% -1.0%
AOD       13,140            3.92             4.19            972.60 8.9% 7.5% 1.4%
CIM       20,000            2.77             3.28        1,800.00 21.5% 9.0% 12.5%
CSCO         4,328          17.24           20.83        2,743.60 24.5% 21.1% 3.4%
CSQ         5,593            8.32           10.66        6,771.23 42.7% 37.3% 5.3%
FCX         2,076          31.22           31.13            831.20 1.0% 9.9% -8.9%
INTC         1,996          20.99           23.96        2,442.56 20.0% 30.9% -10.9%
NEM         1,408          39.84           33.00            340.00 -16.6% 5.1% -21.6%
O             563          19.61           51.78        7,767.11 234.4% 88.3% 146.1%
OIBAX         3,972            4.95             6.64        7,066.27 70.0% 89.2% -19.2%
PGR         2,118          20.56           25.05        2,596.23 27.8% 19.2% 8.6%
PRE             540          67.59           92.62        1,628.69 41.5% 19.4% 22.1%
RIG         1,250          51.79           53.24                     -   2.8% 3.3% -0.5%
SAI         4,764          12.84           14.91        2,505.42 20.2% 14.4% 5.8%
STO         1,640          23.70           23.89        1,121.00 3.7% 24.4% -20.7%
TC-PT         5,500          15.43           16.20        2,234.10 7.6% 3.1% 4.5%

           



























































           



           



           










Total Open

           41,758 14.3% 14.5% -0.2%
Closed



15.3% 9.8% 5.6%
Combined



15.1% 11.0% 4.1%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10

17.7%

2013 Gain



11.5%


The 11.5% gain for 2013 is solid, if not spectacular (compared with index).  You will note my open positions are trailing ever so slightly.  That is really because I have taken some major profits in 2013 (HFC, MPC, BHK, JQC and KMF to name a few).  So those gains have shofted from the open bucket to the closed bucket (up a nice 5.6 points). Note I also calculate an annual IRR, which at 17.7% is quite decent.

Expected Dividends

 Here are my expected annual dividends (as a reminder, all value are multiplied by a factor for privacy reasons) on the current portfolio (I find this to be a critical metric):


Stock Shares Ann Dividend / Share Yield Projected Dividend Sector Worth
AAPL             211  $      12.20 2.7%              2,578 Consumer         95,076
ABR         5,867  $        0.48 6.5%              2,816 Real Estate         43,534
AOD       13,140  $        0.32 7.7%              4,257 Hybrid         55,058
CIM       20,000  $        0.36 11.0%              7,200 Real Estate         65,600
CSCO         4,328  $        0.68 3.3%              2,943 Tech         90,149
CSQ         5,593  $        0.84 7.9%              4,698 Hybrid         59,619
FCX         2,076  $        1.25 4.0%              2,595 Resources         64,627
INTC         1,996  $        0.90 3.8%              1,796 Tech         47,818
NEM         1,408  $        1.40 4.2%              1,972 Resources         46,471
O             563  $        2.17 4.2%              1,221 Services         29,138
OIBAX         3,972  $        0.29 4.4%              1,152 Bond         26,376
PGR         2,118  $        0.41 1.6%                  869 Insurance         53,067
PRE             540  $        2.56 2.8%              1,381 Insurance         49,981
RIG         1,250  $        2.24 4.2%              2,800 Services         66,550
SAI         4,764  $        0.48 3.2%              2,287 Services         71,038
STO         1,640  $        0.98 4.1%              1,607 Resources         39,175
TC-PT         5,500  $        1.60 9.9%              8,800 Resources         89,100

     
  
  

     
  
  
Total       5.1%            50,972
  


MFI Portfolio

As I noted during the week, this portfolio has finally moved ahead of the indices.  That is very exciting for me as I do believe in the MFI approach still. And it is streaky. It would be nice to have a two year streak to the good!


8/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
DLB $34.43 $32.34 $4.00 5.5% 17.3%
KFY $13.98 $16.64 $0.00 19.0% 17.3%
MSFT $30.19 $33.49 $0.46 12.5% 17.3%
NSU $3.62 $3.67 $0.05 2.9% 17.3%
UIS $19.96 $18.93 $0.00 -5.2% 17.3%
Totals


7.0% 17.3%






11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $449.98 $2.65 -15.8% 21.0%
ABC $40.21 $54.57 $0.21 36.2% 21.0%
LPS $23.89 $28.09 $0.20 18.4% 21.0%
VIAB $49.12 $67.27 $0.55 38.1% 21.0%
WU $12.77 $15.64 $0.25 24.4% 21.0%
Totals


20.3% 21.0%






2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $449.98 $2.65 0.5% 7.1%
GA $6.10 $7.66 $0.00 25.6% 7.1%
STRZA $16.06 $24.12 $0.00 50.2% 7.1%
CA $25.07 $27.73 $0.25 11.6% 7.1%
NUS $41.94 $54.31 $0.30 30.2% 7.1%
Totals


23.6% 7.1%

Discretionary Portfolio

I also buy stocks that do not fit in either bucket.  These have historically been a mish-mash of ideas, but now it is supposed to be deep value stocks.  They might not qualify for MFI due to income issues. But may trade at discount to book.  Some may be MFI stocks I really like, but do not want to be held to one year constraint I place on MFI holdings.


Stock Gain Cost Price
GNW 40.0%           7.48         10.47
SD -1.4%           5.33           5.26
GTAT 13.3%           3.39           3.84
CDE -15.4%         18.05         15.27

2013 Purchases

Then, the final table (I promise) looks at all my transactions in 2013.


Stock Start price Current Dividend % Gain Status
CIM                  2.61             3.28                0.09 29.2%  Open
GTAT                  3.53             3.68                    -   4.5%  Closed
NUGT                10.14          10.19                    -   0.5%  Closed
GNW                  8.10          10.47                    -   29.3%  Open
SCO                39.46          38.84                    -   -1.6%  Closed
CIM                  2.80             3.28                0.09 20.4%  Open
CDE                23.85          24.42                    -   2.4%  Closed
AOD                  3.90             4.19                0.08 9.6%  Open
VECO                33.27          32.85                    -   -1.3%  Closed
NUGT                  8.09             8.23                    -   1.7%  Closed
NUGT                  7.76             7.87                    -   1.5%  Closed
AAPL             450.60        449.98                2.65 0.5%  Open
GA                  6.10             7.66                    -   25.6%  Open
STRZA                16.06          24.12                    -   50.2%  Open
CA                25.07          27.73                0.25 11.6%  Open
NUS                41.94          54.31                0.30 30.2%  Open
CIM                  3.08             3.28                0.09 9.4%  Open
ABR                  7.18             7.42                0.12 5.0%  Open
SD                  5.74             5.93                    -   3.3%  Closed
FCX                32.12          31.13                0.31 -2.1%  Open
AOD                  3.97             4.19                0.05 6.9%  Open
NUGT                30.69          11.94                    -   -61.1%  Open
NEM                41.18          33.00                0.43 -18.8%  Open
GTAT                  2.73             3.41                    -   25.0%  Closed
RIG                52.65          53.24                    -   1.1%  Open
SD                  5.89             5.26                    -   -10.7%  Open
SD                  5.64             5.26                    -   -6.7%  Open
SD                  5.58             5.26                    -   -5.7%  Open
FSYS                17.90          16.07                    -   -10.2%  Closed
CDE                18.05          15.27                    -   -15.4%  Open
TC-PT                16.02          16.20                0.41 3.7%  Open
SD                  5.02             5.26                    -   4.9%  Open
RIG                49.96          53.24                    -   6.6%  Open
TC-PT                15.90          16.20                0.41 4.4%  Open
NEM                39.36          33.00                    -   -16.2%  Open
TC-PT                15.80          16.20                0.41 5.1%  Open
NEM                36.71          33.00                    -   -10.1%  Open
SD                  4.92             5.26                    -   6.9%  Open
TC-PT                15.15          16.20                0.41 9.6%  Open
AAPL             422.63        449.98                    -   6.5%  Open
GNW                  9.54          10.47                    -   9.7%  Open
GTAT                  3.39             3.84                    -   13.3%  Open
AAPL             407.67        449.98                    -   10.4%  Open
BAC-WTA                  5.10             5.32                    -   4.4%  Open
ABR                  7.25             7.42                    -   2.4%  Open
TC-PT                13.99          16.20                0.41 18.7%  Open
FCX                28.30          31.13                    -   10.0%  Open
STO                23.49          23.89                    -   1.7%  Open












Totals


3.9%
Average Days Held

               44

As you can see, generally successful.

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