Sunday, May 19, 2013

Tough Week

Very difficult week on a personal level.  Our 13 year-old daughter was diagnosed with Type 1 Diabetes on Monday.  While it is a disease that can be controlled, it does require a real lifestyle change with a regimen of injections, finger pricks and dietary thoughtfulness.

We will deal with it as a family.  But it is daunting and overwhelming.  And I am sure no father wants to see their daughter in distress or having to insist that things be done which at the very least cause discomfort.

On top of that, we traveled back to Indiana for the weekend as we had a Memorial for my father, who passed away 2 1/2 months ago.  That was very emotional for me.  So I am ready to take a deep breath, and move through this new phase of our family's life.  I will likely mention the JDRF more here and I intend on becoming active in our local chapter.  I feel the strong need to do something.

On the portfolio front, while I have my successes, I could have definitely saved some effort this year so far just by buying an ETF.  It is a dead heat, I am up 18.1% versus 17.7% for the R3K.  My dividend portfolio is under-performing a bit, up about 13.7%.  AAPL, STO and NEM continue to be the slackers.

 
Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AAPL             213        495.23        433.26        1,041.93 -11.5% 15.3% -26.9%
ABR         5,867            7.21             7.22        1,244.06 3.1% 9.0% -5.9%
AOD       13,140            3.92             4.27            972.60 10.9% 11.3% -0.4%
CIM       20,000            2.77             3.31        1,800.00 22.6% 12.9% 9.7%
CSCO         4,328          17.24           24.24        2,743.60 44.2% 25.4% 18.8%
CSQ         5,629            8.34           10.95        7,160.13 46.6% 41.9% 4.7%
FCX         2,060          31.23           32.68            831.20 5.9% 13.8% -7.9%
INTC         1,996          20.99           24.04        2,891.61 21.4% 35.6% -14.2%
NEM         1,408          39.84           30.63            340.00 -22.5% 8.8% -31.3%
O             565          19.73           55.09        7,868.96 249.9% 94.2% 155.7%
OIBAX         3,972            4.95             6.57        7,149.69 69.1% 96.0% -26.9%
PGR         2,118          20.56           26.19        2,596.23 33.3% 23.4% 9.9%
PRE             540          67.59           89.38        1,974.05 37.7% 23.7% 14.0%
RIG         1,250          51.79           54.03                     -   4.3% 7.0% -2.6%
SLW         2,000          21.95           21.77                     -   -0.8% 1.0% -1.8%
STO         1,640          23.70           22.41        3,024.82 2.4% 28.9% -26.5%
TC-PT         5,500          15.43           17.96        2,234.10 19.0% 6.7% 12.3%

           



           



           


Total Open

           43,873 17.2% 19.3% -2.1%
Closed



15.5% 9.9% 5.6%
Combined



15.9% 12.3% 3.6%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10

18.4%

2013 Gain



13.9%


My MFI portfolio is a bit ahead (my average tranche is beating their benchmarks by about a point). 

 
8/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
DLB $34.43 $34.43 $4.00 11.6% 21.4%
KFY $13.98 $17.98 $0.00 28.6% 21.4%
MSFT $30.19 $34.87 $0.69 17.8% 21.4%
NSU $3.62 $3.30 $0.05 -7.3% 21.4%
UIS $19.96 $18.96 $0.00 -5.0% 21.4%
Totals


9.1% 21.4%






11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $433.26 $5.70 -18.4% 25.2%
ABC $40.21 $54.99 $0.42 37.8% 25.2%
LPS $23.89 $29.55 $0.20 24.5% 25.2%
VIAB $49.12 $69.72 $0.55 43.1% 25.2%
WU $12.77 $16.65 $0.25 32.3% 25.2%
Totals


23.9% 25.2%






2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $433.26 $5.70 -2.6% 10.9%
GA $6.10 $8.08 $0.42 39.4% 10.9%
STRZA $16.06 $22.70 $0.00 41.3% 10.9%
CA $25.07 $27.69 $0.25 11.4% 10.9%
NUS $41.94 $61.23 $0.30 46.7% 10.9%
Totals


27.3% 10.9%






5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $11.60 $0.00 1.8% 3.4%
CYOU $29.24 $30.12 $0.00 3.0% 3.4%
RDA $9.74 $10.27 $0.00 5.5% 3.4%
NVDA $13.85 $14.87 $0.00 7.4% 3.4%
CF $183.97 $190.52 $0.40 3.8% 3.4%
Totals


4.3% 3.4%

The MFI Index is up 20% year-to-date, which is obviously very strong. It has picked up steam a lot in past month and I am seeing it in my 12 open tracking portfolios, where the most recent 11 portfolios are all ahead of the benchmark with an average lead of 3 points.  I think MFI is starting to work again.  In fact, since I spoke about getting into For Profit Education stocks in early May (but did not have the courage), they have gone up a lot.  Here are my MFI Index stocks year-to-date and since May 3rd:


Index Stock Start Last Week Current YTD Change        Weekly    Change      Shares
1 APOL      20.92         17.57         21.35 2.1% 21.5%         11.14
2 AGX      18.00         17.57         16.63 -7.6% -5.4%         12.95
3 BAH      13.92         15.56         16.61 19.3% 6.7%         16.75
4 CA      21.98         27.98         27.94 27.1% -0.1%         10.61
5 CPLA      28.23         36.25         44.47 57.5% 22.7%           8.26
6 CF    203.16      184.20       190.72 -6.1% 3.5%           1.15
7 CSCO      19.65         21.00         24.41 24.2% 16.2%         11.86
8 DELL      10.14         13.39         13.48 32.9% 0.7%         22.99
9 DLX      32.24         37.23         39.54 22.6% 6.2%           7.23
10 DMRC      20.70         23.27         25.41 22.8% 9.2%         11.26
11 DLB      29.33         32.34         34.43 17.4% 6.5%           7.95
12 GME      25.09         37.45         40.36 60.9% 7.8%           9.29
13 GNI      67.20         74.06         70.25 4.5% -5.1%           3.47
14 GTAT         3.03           3.84            4.52 49.2% 17.7%         76.93
15 HLF      32.94         41.30         44.74 35.8% 8.3%           7.08
16 HFC      46.55         51.26         50.14 7.7% -2.2%           5.01
17 IDCC      41.09         44.82         47.81 16.4% 6.7%           5.67
18 INTX         9.48           9.86         10.43 10.0% 5.8%         24.59
19 ESI      17.31         17.73         25.75 48.8% 45.2%         13.47
20 JCOM      30.60         41.54         40.68 33.0% -2.1%           7.62
21 KLIC      11.99         11.39         11.60 -3.3% 1.8%         19.44
22 LPS      24.62         28.19         29.65 20.4% 5.2%           9.47
23 MANT      25.94         28.32         28.06 8.2% -0.9%           8.99
24 MSFT      26.71         33.72         35.10 31.4% 4.1%           8.73
25 NATR      14.48         14.54         15.41 6.4% 6.0%         16.10
26 NSU         4.28           3.67            3.30 -22.9% -10.1%         54.47
27 NTI      25.44         26.70         28.20 10.8% 5.6%           9.16
28 NUS      37.05         54.61         61.53 66.1% 12.7%           6.29
29 PDLI         7.04           7.98            8.37 18.9% 4.9%         33.11
30 PETS      11.10         13.34         13.31 19.9% -0.2%         21.00
31 PBI      10.64         15.77         15.54 46.1% -1.4%         21.91
32 POOSF         1.42           0.01            0.01 -99.4% 0.0%      164.63
33 POZN         5.01           4.91            4.90 -2.2% -0.2%         46.53
34 QCOR      26.72         34.45         37.84 41.6% 9.8%           8.72
35 RTN      57.56         63.59         67.44 17.2% 6.1%           4.05
36 RPXC         9.04         15.23         15.37 70.0% 0.9%         25.79
37 SAI      11.32         15.03         15.59 37.7% 3.7%         20.59
38 STX      30.42         41.23         41.47 36.3% 0.6%           7.66
39 SVLC         2.52           2.18            1.64 -34.9% -24.8%         92.51
40 SAVE      17.73         27.72         28.50 60.7% 2.8%         13.15
41 STRA      56.17         45.63         54.98 -2.1% 20.5%           4.15
42 TNAV         7.99           5.15            5.17 -35.3% 0.4%         29.18
43 TZOO      18.99         27.35         28.62 50.7% 4.6%         12.28
44 UIS      17.30         18.93         18.96 9.6% 0.2%         13.47
45 USMO      11.68         13.67         13.85 18.5% 1.3%         19.96
46 USNA      32.93         56.73         65.46 98.8% 15.4%           7.08
47 EGY         8.65           7.08            6.36 -26.5% -10.2%         26.95
48 VCI      25.78         24.77         26.08 1.2% 5.3%           9.04
49 VG         2.37           2.87            2.75 16.0% -4.2%         98.36
50 WCRX      12.04         14.62         19.21 59.6% 31.4%         19.36

Total    11,656      13,244       13,982 20.0% 5.6%

See how CPLA, STRA and APOL are all up about 21% and ESI is up 42% (I profiled them, but did not have the courage).

My really big winners have been in my discretionary portfolio.  GTAT is up 33% since I re-bought them.  If you cancel out my sale of them (when they were up 25%) as I re-bought the same number of shares at a slightly lower price, I have gained 65% cumulatively.  Then GNW is up 43% since the start of the year.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

Hello Marshall, I look forward to read your updates everyday. I am sorry to hear that your little girl's illness but the positive side of it is that it is going to be healthy eating for everybody in the family.

take care!

Lynn