Saturday, September 07, 2013

Weekend Update - Are You Ready For Some Football?

Are You Ready For Some Football?

I am.  Actually I am typing this morning in my Indiana Sweatshirt.  In part because I am excited about our game against Navy this evening (recall we scored 73 points in opener last week) and in part because it is cool this morning in New England (47 degrees!).  Tomorrow I will have to pull out my Tony Romo jersey.

It was another very solid week for my portfolios. All four days were up nicely and I was +2.8% on the week.  That compares to 1.5% for the Russell 3000.  For the year I am up 24.8%, which is 6.8 points better than the benchmark.  Generally when my portfolio has this much euphoria, it is due for a crash.  Hopefully not this time.

MFI Portfolio

The figures for this portfolio are getting to be Herculean.  Check out the table below that shows how it has fared as a differential to the benchmark month by month:

Date Differential
12/1/2012 -2.20%
1/1/2013 -1.78%
2/1/2013 -2.26%
3/1/2013 -2.23%
4/1/2013 -0.43%
5/1/2013 2.00%
6/1/2013 4.75%
7/1/2013 4.29%
8/1/2013 6.91%
9/1/2013 10.46%
Current 13.27%

So as of last week, it had beaten the R3K by 10.46 points.  That got stretched this week to 13.27 points, even as the R3K was up 1.5 points. Whoa.  Like cleaning stables dude.  My August 15th trancheis off to a roaring start.  And the May tranche was solid as well.  RDA popped about 6.3% yesterday.  I think there was a fire at a large Chinese semiconductor factory and that will reduce supply and increase prices (How a Plant Fire Helps Micron and SanDisk).

11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $498.22 $8.75 -5.7% 25.8%
ABC $40.21 $58.24 $0.63 46.4% 25.8%
LPS $23.89 $32.27 $0.40 36.8% 25.8%
VIAB $49.12 $80.29 $0.85 65.2% 25.8%
WU $12.77 $18.06 $0.38 44.4% 25.8%
Totals 37.4% 25.8%
2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $498.22 $8.75 12.5% 11.4%
GA $6.10 $8.13 $0.42 40.2% 11.4%
STRZA $16.06 $25.79 $0.00 60.6% 11.4%
CA $25.07 $29.60 $0.75 21.1% 11.4%
NUS $41.94 $88.14 $0.90 112.3% 11.4%
Totals 49.3% 11.4%
5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $11.48 $0.00 0.7% 4.0%
CYOU $29.24 $29.74 $0.00 1.7% 4.0%
RDA $9.74 $12.55 $0.10 29.9% 4.0%
NVDA $13.85 $14.88 $0.15 8.5% 4.0%
CF $183.97 $194.19 $0.80 6.0% 4.0%
Totals 9.4% 4.0%
8/15/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CF $187.26 $194.19 $0.00 3.7% 0.0%
FLR $66.06 $64.58 $0.16 -2.0% 0.0%
AGX $15.60 $19.16 $0.00 22.8% 0.0%
KLIC $11.29 $11.48 $0.00 1.7% 0.0%
RPXC $15.92 $16.16 $0.00 1.5% 0.0%
Totals 5.5% 0.0%
Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment   25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 5.5% 37.4% 49.3% 9.4% 24.8%
Previous Tranche 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5%
MFI Overall Gain 20.4% 37.4% 49.3% 9.4% 29.1%
Current Balance   30,095       34,353     37,333      27,343    129,124
R3K Current Tranche 0.0% 25.8% 11.4% 4.0% 10.3%
R3K Overall Gain 22.2% 25.8% 11.4% 4.0% 15.9%
R3K Balance   30,550       31,460     27,853      25,988    115,851
Annualized IRR 49.0%

I am sure pleased that I re-instituted my MFI investing in August of 2012!

Dividend Portfolio

As mentioned during the week, I did sell my SLCA and I bought more SBS and INTC   SBS actually had a terrific week and really helped this portfolio, up 15% on the week (I should note I sold SLCA too early as it is up over 4% since I sold).

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AAPL             115        461.49        498.22            817.31 9.5% 12.6% -3.2%
AOD       18,945            3.95             3.94        2,569.84 3.1% 8.5% -5.4%
BBEP         3,584          15.44           17.37        1,675.20 15.5% 1.9% 13.6%
CSCO         4,356          17.30           23.55        3,479.34 40.7% 25.2% 15.5%
CSQ         5,746            8.37             9.96        8,342.51 36.3% 40.9% -4.6%
INTC         3,718          22.24           22.67        3,654.19 6.3% 19.6% -13.2%
O             572          20.02           39.13        8,282.19 167.8% 91.7% 76.1%
OIBAX         4,049            4.98             5.96        7,540.66 57.2% 93.8% -36.6%
RIG         1,413          51.46           46.47        1,491.28 -7.6% 6.3% -14.0%
SBS         6,211            9.54             9.80                     -   2.7% -1.8% 4.5%
STO         2,211          22.97           22.40        3,024.82 3.5% 22.9% -19.5%
TC-PT         5,500          15.43           19.75        4,468.20 33.3% 6.8% 26.5%
TCRD         4,200          14.73           15.86                     -   7.7% 2.3% 5.4%
TGONF         5,000          10.38           10.10            337.50 -2.1% 2.4% -4.5%
           
           
           
           
           
           
Total Open            45,683 16.2% 15.2% 1.0%
Closed 13.4% 9.7% 3.7%
Combined 14.0% 10.8% 3.2%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 16.3%
2013 Gain 15.0%

TGONF has been a bit of a laggard, I still think they are a $15 to $17 stock.  Sometimes I think about re-buying ABR or CIM.  I may have been hasty selling them.

Discretionary Portfolio

This portfolio continues to truck along.  I do not have the nifty stats on it as I have not bothered, but trust me when I say it is doing well, on both a relative and absolute basis.

Stock Gain Cost Price
GNW 70.7%           7.10         12.13
GTAT 100.6%           3.39           6.80
ACAS 2.8%         12.70         13.05
KLIC 3.0%         11.15         11.48
BAC-WTA 16.8%           5.35           6.25
HIG-WT 5.0%         20.89         21.94
QEPM 8.0%         21.00         22.69

Obviously GTAT being up 100.6% (and actually up 149% excluding a short term sell) really helps this portfolio.

All 2013 Transactions

Here are all the stocks I have bought in 2013.  You can see the three GTAT purchases making 4.5%, 25% and now 100.6%.  The results are very solid (34% IRR) even with the NUGT and NEM fiascoes.

Have a great weekend everyone!

Stock Start price Current Dividend % Gain Status
SD                  6.39             6.89                    -   7.9%   Closed
CIM                  2.61             2.93                0.18 19.1%   Closed
GTAT                  3.53             3.68                    -   4.5%   Closed
NUGT                10.14          10.19                    -   0.5%   Closed
GNW                  8.10          12.13                    -   49.8%   Open
SCO                39.46          38.84                    -   -1.6%   Closed
CIM                  2.80             2.93                0.18 11.0%   Closed
CDE                23.85          24.42                    -   2.4%   Closed
AOD                  3.90             3.94                0.19 6.0%   Open
VECO                33.27          32.85                    -   -1.3%   Closed
NUGT                  8.09             8.23                    -   1.7%   Closed
NUGT                  7.76             7.87                    -   1.5%   Closed
AAPL             450.60        498.22                8.75 12.5%   Open
GA                  6.10             8.13                0.42 40.2%   Open
STRZA                16.06          25.79                    -   60.6%   Open
CA                25.07          29.60                0.75 21.1%   Open
NUS                41.94          88.14                0.90 112.3%   Open
CIM                  3.08             2.91                0.18 0.3%   Closed
ABR                  7.18             6.05                0.24 -12.4%   Closed
SD                  5.74             5.93                    -   3.3%   Closed
FCX                32.12          28.75                1.63 -5.4%   Closed
AOD                  3.97             3.94                0.16 3.3%   Open
NUGT                30.69             7.75                    -   -74.7% Closed
NEM                41.18          29.57                0.78 -26.3%   Closed
GTAT                  2.73             3.41                    -   25.0%   Closed
RIG                52.65          46.47                1.12 -9.6%   Open
SD                  5.89             4.94                    -   -16.1%   Closed
SD                  5.64             4.94                    -   -12.4%   Closed
SD                  5.58             4.94                    -   -11.4%   Closed
FSYS                17.90          16.07                    -   -10.2%   Closed
CDE                18.05          14.42                    -   -20.1%   Closed
TC-PT                16.02          19.75                0.81 28.4%   Open
SD                  5.02             4.94                    -   -1.5%   Closed
RIG                49.96          46.47                1.12 -4.7%   Open
TC-PT                15.90          19.75                0.81 29.3%   Open
NEM                39.36          29.57                0.35 -24.0%   Closed
TC-PT                15.80          19.75                0.81 30.1%   Open
NEM                36.71          29.57                0.35 -18.5%   Closed
SD                  4.92             4.94                    -   0.4%   Closed
TC-PT                15.15          19.75                0.81 35.7%   Open
AAPL             422.63        498.22                6.10 19.3%   Open
GNW                  9.54          12.13                    -   27.1%   Open
GTAT                  3.39             6.80                    -   100.6%   Open
AAPL             407.67        498.22                6.10 23.7%   Open
BAC-WTA                  5.10             6.25                    -   22.7%   Open
ABR                  7.25             6.05                0.12 -14.9%   Closed
TC-PT                13.99          19.75                0.81 47.0%   Open
FCX                28.30          28.75                1.31 6.2%   Closed
STO                23.49          22.40                1.16 0.3%   Open
KLIC                11.40          11.48                    -   0.7%   Open
CYOU                29.24          29.74                    -   1.7%   Open
RDA                  9.74          12.55                0.10 29.9%   Open
NVDA                13.85          14.88                0.15 8.5%   Open
CF             183.97        194.19                0.80 6.0%   Open
SLW                21.95          22.36                0.12 2.4%   Closed
ABR                  6.98             6.05                    -   -13.3%   Closed
AOD                  4.25             3.94                    -   -7.3%   Open
SLCA                20.29          23.05                0.13 14.2%   Closed
HILL                  2.07             2.16                    -   4.4%   Closed
TCRD                14.73          15.86                    -   7.7%   Open
TGONF                10.38          10.10                0.14 -1.4%   Open
ACAS                12.75          13.05                    -   2.4%   Open
KLIC                11.15          11.48                    -   3.0%   Open
CIM                  2.98             2.91                0.09 0.8%   Closed
FCX                28.11          28.75                0.31 3.4%   Closed
INTC                24.22          22.67                0.23 -5.5%   Open
HIG-WT                19.21          21.94                    -   14.2%   Open
AOD                  3.88             3.94                0.05 3.0%   Open
STO                20.68          22.40                    -   8.3%   Open
BBEP                15.23          17.37                0.48 17.2%   Open
BBEP                16.28          17.37                0.48 9.6%   Open
INTC                23.17          22.67                0.23 -1.2%   Open
RIG                48.95          46.47                0.56 -3.9%   Open
NSU                  3.03             3.33                    -   10.0%   Closed
SAI                14.84          15.60                    -   5.1%   Closed
HIG-WT                22.01          21.94                    -   -0.3%   Open
SBS                  9.85             9.80                    -   -0.5%   Open
QEPM                21.00          22.69                    -   8.0%   Open
CF             187.26        194.19                    -   3.7%   Open
FLR                66.06          64.58                0.16 -2.0%   Open
AGX                15.60          19.16                    -   22.8%   Open
KLIC                11.29          11.48                    -   1.7%   Open
RPXC                15.92          16.16                    -   1.5%   Open
ACAS                12.53          13.05                    -   4.2%   Open
SBS                  8.80             9.80                    -   11.4%   Open
TGONF                10.38          10.10                    -   -2.7%   Open
GAME                  4.50             3.91                    -   -13.1%   Closed
HIG-WT                21.24          21.94                    -   3.3%   Open
BAC-WTA                  5.86             6.25                    -   6.7%   Open
INTC                22.59          22.67                    -   0.4%   Open
ACAS                12.87          13.05                    -   1.4%   Open
SBS                  9.37             9.80                    -   4.6%   Open
Totals 7.4%
Annualized IRR 34.5%
Average Days Held                85

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