Wednesday, September 25, 2013

Pinch Me

I have been investing a long time.  I have not had a portfolio go parabolic like it is recently since 1999.  That thought alone should be a little frightening.  I am up over 30% now on the year.  My MFI investment is up almost 37%, and recall that was only 50% invested at start of year with 25% added in February and another 25% in May.  I am beating the R3K by over 9 points now.  And my MFI tranches are beating the R3K by a staggering 18.9%!  Pinch me.

Date Differential
12/1/2012 -2.20%
1/1/2013 -1.78%
2/1/2013 -2.26%
3/1/2013 -2.23%
4/1/2013 -0.43%
5/1/2013 2.00%
6/1/2013 4.75%
7/1/2013 4.29%
8/1/2013 6.91%
9/1/2013 10.46%
Current 18.94%

This table shows the differential month by month between MFI and R3K. Look at the acceleration in past quarter!  Back in 1999, I thought this kind of stuff could go on forever.  Now I am older but wiser.  I know there will be some sort of reversion to the mean at some point.  But it is sure fun right now.

11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $484.54 $8.75 -8.2% 29.1%
ABC $40.21 $60.96 $0.63 53.2% 29.1%
LPS $23.89 $33.19 $0.40 40.6% 29.1%
VIAB $49.12 $83.05 $1.15 71.4% 29.1%
WU $12.77 $18.74 $0.50 50.7% 29.1%
Totals 41.5% 29.1%
2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $484.54 $8.75 9.5% 14.3%
GA $6.10 $9.16 $0.42 57.1% 14.3%
STRZA $16.06 $27.35 $0.00 70.3% 14.3%
CA $25.07 $30.36 $0.75 24.1% 14.3%
NUS $41.94 $97.36 $0.90 134.3% 14.3%
Totals 59.0% 14.3%
5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $11.57 $0.00 1.5% 6.7%
CYOU $29.24 $33.05 $0.00 13.0% 6.7%
RDA $9.74 $14.10 $0.10 45.9% 6.7%
NVDA $13.85 $15.79 $0.15 15.1% 6.7%
CF $183.97 $215.19 $0.80 17.4% 6.7%
Totals 18.6% 6.7%
8/15/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CF $187.26 $215.19 $0.00 14.9% 2.6%
FLR $66.06 $71.99 $0.16 9.2% 2.6%
AGX $15.60 $21.86 $0.00 40.1% 2.6%
KLIC $11.29 $11.57 $0.00 2.5% 2.6%
RPXC $15.92 $17.82 $0.00 11.9% 2.6%
Totals 15.7% 2.6%
Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment   25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 15.7% 41.5% 59.0% 18.6% 33.1%
Previous Tranche 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5%
MFI Overall Gain 32.0% 41.5% 59.0% 18.6% 37.8%
Current Balance   33,001       35,384     39,762      29,642    137,789
R3K Current Tranche 2.6% 29.1% 14.3% 6.7% 13.2%
R3K Overall Gain 25.4% 29.1% 14.3% 6.7% 18.9%
R3K Balance   31,346       32,269     28,573      26,663    118,851
Annualized IRR 64.5%

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