Monday, September 16, 2013

A Great eXample

Wow, my MFI tranches continues to rocket upwards.  Good thing as my dividend portfolio has been slacking off.  But overall on MFI (recall I started with 4 100K tranches (using my factor) in Aug 2012, Nov 2012, Feb 2013 and May 2013) has gone from $400k to $536k, a 34% gain (and most money has not been invested even a full year).

AGX is a stock I added literally at the 24th hour in my most recent August 2013 tranche.  Recall I was bullish on the US and wanted stocks that were perhaps growth candidates, with perhaps a little less focus on value. AGX is a smallish construction business.  I was already buying FLR, as I felt construction was going to be a beneficiary of build out in USA.  I was going to buy IQNT, but got a bit worried about some of the allegations against them, so switched to AGX at 24th hour.

AGX is up about 6% today and is up 35% in the month I have owned them.  NUS is up 2% today and is starting to near the century mark, which I predicted based on their momentum after last earnings.  I know I commented that if I was not in MFI, I would probably lock in their gains (127%), but I am really trying to follow the rules and not my instincts (which are often wrong).

11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $453.60 $8.75 -14.0% 29.4%
ABC $40.21 $60.86 $0.63 52.9% 29.4%
LPS $23.89 $32.39 $0.40 37.3% 29.4%
VIAB $49.12 $83.38 $1.15 72.1% 29.4%
WU $12.77 $18.93 $0.50 52.2% 29.4%
Totals 40.1% 29.4%
2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $453.60 $8.75 2.6% 14.6%
GA $6.10 $8.67 $0.42 49.0% 14.6%
STRZA $16.06 $26.46 $0.00 64.8% 14.6%
CA $25.07 $30.57 $0.75 24.9% 14.6%
NUS $41.94 $94.56 $0.90 127.6% 14.6%
Totals 53.8% 14.6%
5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $11.54 $0.00 1.2% 6.9%
CYOU $29.24 $31.55 $0.00 7.9% 6.9%
RDA $9.74 $13.57 $0.10 40.4% 6.9%
NVDA $13.85 $15.84 $0.15 15.5% 6.9%
CF $183.97 $200.20 $0.80 9.3% 6.9%
Totals 14.9% 6.9%
8/15/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CF $187.26 $200.20 $0.00 6.9% 2.9%
FLR $66.06 $68.71 $0.16 4.2% 2.9%
AGX $15.60 $21.19 $0.00 35.8% 2.9%
KLIC $11.29 $11.54 $0.00 2.2% 2.9%
RPXC $15.92 $17.53 $0.00 10.1% 2.9%
Totals 11.9% 2.9%
Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment   25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 11.9% 40.1% 53.8% 14.9% 29.5%
Previous Tranche 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5%
MFI Overall Gain 27.6% 40.1% 53.8% 14.9% 34.1%
Current Balance   31,897       35,025     38,448      28,713    134,083
R3K Current Tranche 2.9% 29.4% 14.6% 6.9% 13.5%
R3K Overall Gain 25.7% 29.4% 14.6% 6.9% 19.2%
R3K Balance   31,432       32,356     28,651      26,736    119,176
Annualized IRR 57.8%

Look at the continued acceleration of the out performance of MFI month by month over Russell 3000.  It is stunning.

Date Differential
12/1/2012 -2.20%
1/1/2013 -1.78%
2/1/2013 -2.26%
3/1/2013 -2.23%
4/1/2013 -0.43%
5/1/2013 2.00%
6/1/2013 4.75%
7/1/2013 4.29%
8/1/2013 6.91%
9/1/2013 10.46%
Current 14.91%

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