Saturday, July 27, 2013

"I Was Misinformed"

One of my favorite movies of all time has to be Casablanca.  It is such a great story, has very snappy dialogue and then wonderful actors, both at the leads and the character actors.

A great scene is when Renault is asking Rick why he came to Casablanca:

Captain Renault: What in heaven's name brought you to Casablanca?
Rick: My health. I came to Casablanca for the waters.
Captain Renault: The waters? What waters? We're in the desert.
Rick: I was misinformed.

I don't know why, but I find that answer hysterical.  I feel a bit like that today.  I just traveled to Switzerland for a business trip, expecting to have some nice cool mountain air.  I just checked Google, it is 94 degrees.  I guess I was misinformed.

First Ever IPO Participation

As a frequent trader with Fidelity and the holder of several accounts (brokerage, IRAs, College Funds); they do invite me to participate in IPOs from time to time.  I think Fidelity does not always get the best IPOs, so one has to be selective.  I had shown interest last year on a couple IPOs, (DKE and SXE) but with an IPO after you show interest, you get assigned a number of shares and then you have to authorize.  I got busy that day and just plain forgot.  Since then, those two stocks have to up a cumulative 25%.

I have a new one this week that looks interesting.  I will not say the IPO until after the offering.  But I did put down a sizable interest and have written three calendar reminder/alerts to myself to make sure I finalize.  We will see how it works out.

Update

I am beating the Russell 3000 by 1.5% so far this year. and am up a very nice 21 2/3%.  I did do some major selling this week (FCX and CIM) and I did rebuy back into my SAI position (that was a mistake to sell). So I am 24% cash.

Dividend Portfolio

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AAPL             213        495.23        440.99        1,041.93 -10.0% 17.2% -27.2%
AOD       18,816            3.95             4.03        2,125.45 4.8% 10.3% -5.5%
BBEP         3,490          15.38           17.99                     -   17.0% 3.7% 13.3%
CSCO         4,356          17.30           25.50        3,479.34 52.0% 27.2% 24.8%
CSQ         5,706            8.36           10.37        7,945.68 40.7% 43.5% -2.8%
INTC         3,389          22.21           23.26        2,891.61 8.6% 23.4% -14.9%
NSU       10,000            3.03             3.39                     -   11.9% 1.1% 10.9%
O             569          19.92           44.30        8,074.49 193.5% 95.6% 97.9%
OIBAX         4,023            4.97             6.15        7,388.76 60.7% 97.7% -36.9%
RIG         1,413          51.46           47.69            700.00 -6.4% 8.0% -14.4%
SAI         3,000          14.84           14.90                     -   0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
SLCA         3,018          20.29           23.54            375.00 16.6% 3.2% 13.4%
STO         2,211          22.97           21.79        3,024.82 0.8% 24.9% -24.1%
TC-PT         5,500          15.43           16.81        4,468.20 14.2% 8.5% 5.7%
TCRD         4,200          14.73           16.14                     -   9.6% 3.9% 5.7%
TGONF         2,500          10.38           10.70                     -   3.1% 6.5% -3.4%
           
           
           
           
Total Open            41,515 14.5% 16.7% -2.2%
Closed 13.9% 10.0% 3.9%
Combined 14.0% 11.5% 2.5%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 17.1%
2013 Gain 13.4%

Stock Shares Ann Dividend / Share Yield Projected Dividend Sector Worth
AAPL             213  $      12.20 2.8%              2,602 Consumer         94,036
AOD       18,816  $        0.32 8.0%              6,096 Hybrid         75,829
BBEP         3,490  $        1.90 10.6%              6,631 Resources         62,785
CSCO         4,356  $        0.68 2.7%              2,962 Tech       111,070
CSQ         5,706  $        0.84 8.1%              4,793 Hybrid         59,171
INTC         3,389  $        0.90 3.9%              3,050 Tech         78,835
NSU       10,000  $        0.14 4.1%              1,400 Resources         33,900
O             569  $        2.17 4.9%              1,236 Services         25,225
OIBAX         4,023  $        0.29 4.7%              1,167 Bond         24,743
RIG         1,413  $        2.24 4.7%              3,165 Services         67,386
SAI         3,000  $        0.48 3.2%              1,440 Services         44,700
SLCA         3,018  $        0.50 2.1%              1,509 Services         71,047
STO         2,211  $        1.16 5.3%              2,567 Resources         48,167
TC-PT         5,500  $        1.60 9.5%              8,800 Resources         92,455
TCRD         4,200  $        1.36 8.4%              5,712 Hybrid         67,788
TGONF         2,500  $        0.54 5.0%              1,350 Finance         26,760
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
Total       5.5%            54,481   

MFI Portfolio

Going great!

8/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
DLB $34.43 $33.01 $4.00 7.5% 23.9%
KFY $13.98 $19.71 $0.00 41.0% 23.9%
MSFT $30.19 $31.62 $0.69 7.0% 23.9%
NSU $3.62 $3.39 $0.12 -2.9% 23.9%
UIS $19.96 $25.81 $0.00 29.3% 23.9%
Totals 16.4% 23.9%
11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $440.99 $5.70 -16.9% 27.8%
ABC $40.21 $58.47 $0.42 46.5% 27.8%
LPS $23.89 $32.76 $0.30 38.4% 27.8%
VIAB $49.12 $73.04 $0.83 50.4% 27.8%
WU $12.77 $16.96 $0.38 35.7% 27.8%
Totals 30.8% 27.8%
2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $440.99 $5.70 -0.9% 13.2%
GA $6.10 $8.36 $0.42 44.0% 13.2%
STRZA $16.06 $23.13 $0.00 44.0% 13.2%
CA $25.07 $29.68 $0.50 20.4% 13.2%
NUS $41.94 $81.96 $0.60 96.9% 13.2%
Totals 40.9% 13.2%
5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $11.17 $0.00 -2.0% 5.6%
CYOU $29.24 $41.07 $0.00 40.5% 5.6%
RDA $9.74 $11.23 $0.00 15.4% 5.6%
NVDA $13.85 $14.20 $0.08 3.1% 5.6%
CF $183.97 $181.00 $0.40 -1.4% 5.6%
Totals 11.1% 5.6%
Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment        25,000          25,000        25,000           25,000       100,000
Percent Gain 16.4% 30.8% 40.9% 11.1% 24.8%
Current Balance        29,101          32,707        35,218           27,773       124,799
R3K Gain 23.9% 27.8% 13.2% 5.6% 17.6%
R3K Balance        30,981          31,954        28,293           26,400       117,626
Annualized IRR 41.5%

That February tranche is smoking!

Discretionary Portfolio

Stock Gain Cost Price
GNW 86.8%           7.10         13.27
GTAT 39.8%           3.39           4.74
ACAS 6.4%         12.75         13.57
KLIC 0.2%         11.15         11.17
BAC-WTA 23.5%           5.10           6.29
HIG-WT 16.8%         19.21         22.44
Grand Total 38.4%

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