How about European stocks? I know, I know, Europe is in a recession. But guess what? The US was in a recession in 2009 and that actually turned out to be the best possible time to buy stocks in US companies. Barron's made their case this weekend (Europe's Economy Will Rebound).
So if you believe this thesis, who should you buy? Well, I guess a quick place to look is financials. Certainly many of the US Financials were at their very bottom in 2009. If we think about price to book value, the following financials look inexpensive:
IRE: 0.61
DB: 0.58
RBS: 0.50
BCS: 0.69
SAN: 0.70
If we think about MFI, here are top 50 European per my last analysis:
Ticker | Rank | Stock Price | Market Cap | Earnings Yield | ROIC | Dividend Yield | Country |
1 | 49.58 | 61,975 | 13% | 142% | 5.7% | Europe | |
2 | 59.36 | 2,657 | 17% | 108% | 0.0% | Europe | |
3 | 46.68 | 17,225 | 15% | 102% | 3.0% | Europe | |
WCRX | 4 | 19.93 | 5,006 | 10% | 396% | 22.8% | Europe |
CTCM | 5 | 12.41 | 1,963 | 12% | 103% | 4.6% | Europe |
6 | 22.69 | 317 | 12% | 90% | 1.6% | Europe | |
AVG | 7 | 20.83 | 1,138 | 8% | 778% | 0.0% | Europe |
FWLT | 8 | 21.91 | 2,293 | 11% | 65% | 0.0% | Europe |
ITRN | 9 | 16.99 | 356 | 10% | 71% | 4.9% | Europe |
10 | 75.52 | 53,996 | 8% | 469% | 2.2% | Europe | |
11 | 21.43 | 68,186 | 42% | 37% | 5.4% | Europe | |
12 | 54.15 | 10,970 | 7% | 2000% | 0.0% | Europe | |
TI | 13 | 6.51 | 12,594 | 14% | 39% | 3.8% | Europe |
LYB | 14 | 70.00 | 40,460 | 12% | 39% | 6.4% | Europe |
15 | 105.61 | 102,917 | 7% | 128% | 3.9% | Europe | |
IOSP | 16 | 42.67 | 1,025 | 9% | 52% | 4.7% | Europe |
17 | 81.80 | 7,836 | 10% | 42% | 2.4% | Europe | |
18 | 27.96 | 551 | 16% | 30% | 0.0% | Europe | |
MBT | 19 | 20.07 | 19,960 | 11% | 35% | 4.8% | Europe |
VIP | 20 | 10.38 | 16,805 | 12% | 34% | 19.1% | Europe |
TEVA | 21 | 39.56 | 33,863 | 10% | 44% | 2.9% | Europe |
LXFR | 22 | 16.70 | 467 | 13% | 30% | 1.2% | Europe |
ENL | 23 | 35.44 | 13,150 | 7% | 16301% | 3.4% | Europe |
COV | 24 | 59.52 | 28,332 | 8% | 51% | 1.5% | Europe |
TOT | 25 | 50.47 | 114,594 | 18% | 23% | 6.0% | Europe |
TKC | 26 | 14.72 | 12,954 | 10% | 30% | 0.0% | Europe |
SNN | 27 | 59.00 | 10,726 | 8% | 45% | 2.2% | Europe |
E | 28 | 42.08 | 76,224 | 22% | 21% | 6.6% | Europe |
EVAC | 29 | 8.30 | 937 | 9% | 38% | 0.0% | Europe |
30 | 90.63 | 24,517 | 6% | 159% | 2.4% | Europe | |
31 | 9.76 | 972 | 10% | 29% | 0.0% | Europe | |
32 | 52.96 | 128,349 | 7% | 66% | 4.4% | Europe | |
IR | 33 | 59.09 | 17,875 | 7% | 55% | 1.3% | Europe |
34 | 75.16 | 89,816 | 6% | 242% | 1.5% | Europe | |
35 | 164.65 | 89,685 | 6% | 135% | 1.9% | Europe | |
BBL | 36 | 54.11 | 144,420 | 12% | 21% | 4.1% | Europe |
ERIC | 37 | 12.07 | 39,276 | 8% | 39% | 3.6% | Europe |
DLPH | 38 | 54.93 | 17,323 | 8% | 38% | 0.6% | Europe |
39 | 42.85 | 1,802 | 9% | 28% | 2.8% | Europe | |
TEL | 40 | 47.46 | 20,123 | 8% | 38% | 1.9% | Europe |
PSO | 41 | 18.95 | 15,266 | 6% | 86% | 3.6% | Europe |
ABB | 42 | 22.53 | 51,887 | 8% | 41% | 3.3% | Europe |
TS | 43 | 43.10 | 25,441 | 9% | 27% | 2.0% | Europe |
FMS | 44 | 32.71 | 20,142 | 8% | 35% | 1.5% | Europe |
BT | 45 | 51.36 | 42,161 | 9% | 24% | 2.7% | Europe |
SI | 46 | 107.33 | 91,419 | 7% | 40% | 3.6% | Europe |
MLNX | 47 | 51.66 | 2,216 | 5% | 99% | 0.0% | Europe |
CBI | 48 | 61.30 | 6,345 | 6% | 63% | 0.3% | Europe |
IHG | 49 | 29.74 | 8,684 | 6% | 57% | 0.0% | Europe |
RDWR | 50 | 14.94 | 702 | 4% | 196% | 0.0% | Europe |
Now one needs to look at this list with a keen eye. Many companies here are not traditional European companies that would be leveraged to a rebound in Europe. STX (Seagate) and ACN (Accenture) are obviously more global/US Centric companies.
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