Before I think about the new tranche, we should tip our cap to the retiring tranche:
|Start||Current||Dividend||Pct Gain||R3K Gain|
You have got to be pleased with a 39% gain over a year. RPXC was the clear mistake, but AGX with a 128% gain makes up for a lot of mistakes.
A lot of my recent studies have been showing that larger cap MFI stocks (say $900m and greater) from the over $100m screen have outperformed. Not sure why that is, one thought is that is typically a more stable universe of stocks. Another thought might be that they have been an attractive alternative to treasuries during this stretch of unprecedented low fixed income rates. If it is #2, that could make it more of a function of current environment and subject to change if/when rates normalize.
Here are some quick stock ideas:
AGX - hey, they are up 128%, but they still look cheap. Great balance sheet, in a nice profitable niche (building natural gas power plants), earnings about $2 per share. They are shareholder friendly, paying a special dividend most years.
CTCM - yes I know they are Russian. But they pay a dividend approaching 7%. They are profitable and reasonably cheap.
TNH - I am really tempted here. This is a fertilizer MLP that pays a dividend based on earnings. I love the agriculture business.
COH - this has been on my watch list two or three straight quarters and in hindsight I am glad I have not pulled the trigger. But some of the biggest gains are made from out of favor stocks. COH has dropped from $57 to $34.
RGR - gun manufacturers do seem to have uneven earnings. RGR has dropped from over $80 at the start of this year to $50 currently. They look REALLY tempting at that price. they have a 3% dividend as well (though that flucuates with earnings). Strong balance sheet. I am very tempted.
NUS - talk about out of favor. They were $140 earlier this year and now tip the scale just over $59. It will be extremely interesting to see what their earnings look like next week. If I was a true gambler, I would buy right now pre-earnings. Of course you do have the HLF drama in the background, if the FTC has negative report on them, could splash over industry. But that seems somewhat priced in. Again, a bit risky but they could become a $80 to $90 stock.
NSR - I bought in May and am awaiting FTC ruling. While I do think they are still undervalued, I have to think hard about how many eggs I want in this basket as the outcome may be binary.
CSCO _would be a safe pair of hands in my view. Very tempting.
HRB - see CSCO.
CA - quite a few of these decent dividend stocks out there.
AVG - cheap by most metrics. I do already have a largish position.
HSII - this is actually a very interesting stock to bubble onto my watchlist. I owned them a long time ago, they are a competitor with KFY. They are a recruiting firm and if employment does pick up in 2015, could be a solid pick. They also pay a 2.9% dividend. Very interesting.