Wow, is it cold outside! -6 degrees Fahrenheit as I type this blog. We got 5 or 6 inches of snow Thursday night. The weatherman was almost enjoying it, I am sure their job is more interesting in January here than August.
Relatively, I am off to an ok start in the first two trading days. I am down 25 basis points overall while the R3K is off about 80 points. I have been a bit active on the transaction front this week, selling ATHM (35.03), HIMX (14.12) and 1/3 of my GA (10.69). As is often the case, I would have been better (so far) having not made those trades, though not by a lot.
The 4 tranches so far this year are down 143 basis points. The GA debacle hurt some. Also NUS tumbled pretty sharply as the FTC announced they will be looking into dietary claims (Herbalife, Nu Skin Fall As FTC Eyes Weight-Loss Ads). The MFI index was down 31 basis points, EGL was the big winner in first two trading days, up over 8%.
I will continue to trudge along with my tranches. The countdown is on for my February 1st 2013 tranche, really no idea what I will buy as replacements.
| 2/1/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| $450.60 | $540.98 | $8.75 | 22.0% | 24.0% | |
| GA | $6.10 | $10.93 | $0.65 | 89.9% | 24.0% |
| STRZA | $16.06 | $29.39 | $0.00 | 83.0% | 24.0% |
| CA | $25.07 | $33.11 | $1.00 | 36.1% | 24.0% |
| $41.94 | $132.41 | $1.20 | 218.6% | 24.0% | |
| Totals | 89.9% | 24.0% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $11.40 | $13.13 | $0.00 | 15.2% | 15.8% | |
| CYOU | $29.24 | $31.46 | $0.00 | 7.6% | 15.8% |
| $9.74 | $17.88 | $0.10 | 84.7% | 15.8% | |
| $13.85 | $15.67 | $0.24 | 14.8% | 15.8% | |
| CF | $183.97 | $232.08 | $1.80 | 27.1% | 15.8% |
| Totals | 29.9% | 15.8% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| CF | $187.26 | $232.08 | $1.00 | 24.5% | 11.5% |
| $66.06 | $79.15 | $0.32 | 20.3% | 11.5% | |
| AGX | $15.60 | $27.29 | $0.75 | 79.7% | 11.5% |
| $11.29 | $13.13 | $0.00 | 16.3% | 11.5% | |
| RPXC | $15.92 | $16.87 | $0.00 | 6.0% | 11.5% |
| Totals | 29.4% | 11.5% | |||
| 11/15/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $17.22 | $16.95 | $0.00 | -1.6% | 2.5% |
| $17.71 | $18.29 | $0.00 | 3.3% | 2.0% | |
| GA | $9.04 | $10.93 | $0.23 | 23.5% | 2.0% |
| RPXC | $17.04 | $16.87 | $0.00 | -1.0% | 2.0% |
| $48.01 | $50.51 | $0.00 | 5.2% | 2.0% | |
| Totals | 5.9% | 2.1% | |||
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | 29.4% | 5.9% | 89.9% | 29.9% | 38.4% |
| Previous Tranche | 14.1% | 43.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.9% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 47.5% | 52.2% | 89.9% | 29.9% | 54.9% |
| Current Balance | 36,885 | 38,050 | 47,476 | 32,471 | 154,882 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 11.5% | 36.7% | 24.0% | 15.8% | 22.0% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 36.2% | 36.7% | 24.0% | 15.8% | 28.2% |
| R3K Balance | 34,044 | 34,170 | 31,012 | 28,947 | 128,173 |
| Annualized IRR | 32.3% | 44.6% | 100.2% | 48.0% | 56.3% |
My dividend portfolio is off to a decent start, down 11 basis points so far. I do intend to add an MFI dividend component in 2014, just have not gotten around to it. CSCO did go x dividend this week. A couple of my others actually accelerated their dividends into the end of 2013 (such as CSQ). While this is not a sexy portfolio, I suggest that in any balanced portfolio that dividends have a place and they give me great comfort in a falling market in their ability to buy more shares cheaper.
| Stock | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Dividends Received | Pct Change | R3K Change | Diff |
| AOD | 21,343 | 3.96 | 4.21 | 4,533.38 | 11.6% | 18.6% | -7.0% |
| BBEP | 4,675 | 16.13 | 20.42 | 3,422.22 | 31.2% | 10.0% | 21.2% |
| 4,389 | 17.34 | 21.98 | 4,965.98 | 33.3% | 38.0% | -4.8% | |
| CSQ | 6,675 | 8.59 | 10.86 | 10,529.20 | 44.8% | 48.3% | -3.5% |
| 3,754 | 22.25 | 25.78 | 4,490.84 | 21.2% | 31.8% | -10.6% | |
| O | 583 | 20.37 | 37.73 | 8,703.29 | 158.5% | 108.1% | 50.5% |
| 4,082 | 4.98 | 6.06 | 7,808.22 | 59.9% | 113.1% | -53.2% | |
| 6,211 | 9.54 | 10.77 | - | 12.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | |
| TC-PT | 4,000 | 15.39 | 13.94 | 4,061.80 | -2.8% | 15.9% | -18.7% |
| TGONF | 7,000 | 10.27 | 10.00 | 1,317.50 | -0.8% | 11.7% | -12.6% |
| Total Open | 49,832 | 23.0% | 27.5% | -4.5% | |||
| Closed | 12.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% | ||||
| Combined | 14.4% | 12.8% | 1.6% | ||||
| Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 | 17.6% | ||||||
| 2013 Gain | -0.1% | ||||||
Discretionary Portfolio
As I mentioned in a previous blog, I have created an approach (very similar to my dividend approach) for tracking my discretionary purchases. It is essentially a parallel purchase of the R3K whenever I buy a discretionary stock.
In the table below, open positions are pretty self explanatory. Closed positions are only stocks bought 1/1/13 and forward as I did not have the energy to go through all my transactions. As in all my tables, the share counts are multiplied by a factor for privacy.
| Stock | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Dividends Received | Pct Change | R3K Change | Diff |
| BAC-WTA | 6,000 | 5.35 | 6.90 | - | 29.0% | 16.4% | 12.6% |
| CS | 1,800 | 28.75 | 30.65 | - | 6.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% |
| GNW | 7,000 | 6.82 | 15.39 | - | 125.7% | 40.2% | 85.5% |
| GTAT | 21,000 | 5.23 | 9.32 | - | 78.1% | 8.5% | 69.6% |
| HIG-WT | 1,650 | 21.24 | 26.90 | - | 26.7% | 11.8% | 14.8% |
| 3,500 | 11.15 | 13.13 | - | 17.8% | 15.9% | 1.9% | |
| Total Open | - | 55.4% | 14.5% | 40.9% | |||
| Closed | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | ||||
| Combined | 17.9% | 5.9% | 11.7% | ||||
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2 comments:
Marshall, Question if you don't mind. Why do you use IWV for comparison versus SPY? It seems to me they are the same. I looked thru a bunch of older posts, but gave up trying to find the answer. Thanks for your patience, Karl
Karl - iwv is the Russell 3000 and has more a mixture of small and large stocks. I felt that matched my approach better.
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