Wednesday, January 08, 2014

Slip Sliding Along

Been traveling today.  Had a frustrating day in and out of airports as my initial plane had mechanical problems.  But now safe and sound in the Big Apple and about to go get some tacos and beer.

My portfolio continues to trudge successfully along. Up another 45 basis points, so I am up almost 1% for the year while the R3K is down about 45 basis points for the year.  I continue to struggle with what to do with my cash.  I did toy around with some covered calls.  I also spent some time looking at Municipal Bond Close End Funds that are trading at about an 8% discount.  Still cannot pull the trigger on anything.

One good call I made back in August was to go long on Construction stocks.  Both AGX (+95%) and FLR (+20%) have FLouRished (see what I did there?).  CYOU is another stock that has been rising quite a bit.  After they forecast lower margins back in November (recall they dropped into the 27s) they have bounced back nicely at 33.70 today.  That is a bit more than a 20% rise.

Here are deciles 7 & 8:

Stock  Initial Price   End Price  Percent Change
NIHD                5.31             2.65 -50.1%
NEOG              30.82           44.34 43.9%
HAIN              58.19           90.68 55.8%
KAMN              34.88           39.11 12.1%
GGG              50.20           76.99 53.4%
ASCA              19.96           26.50 32.8%
LKQ              21.47           32.26 50.3%
BCO              28.09           34.13 21.5%
CBT              37.11           51.05 37.6%
LPNT              36.24           53.36 47.2%
CASY              49.03           68.58 39.9%
SLAB              41.83           42.46 1.5%
AIRM              34.95           57.85 65.5%
AMKR                4.36             6.12 40.4%
SLGN              43.87           48.38 10.3%
PAC              50.73           50.56 -0.3%
OII              53.28           78.02 46.4%
GSM              13.78           18.12 31.5%
VHI              11.88           15.84 33.3%
FDP              25.49           28.13 10.4%
CMC              13.04           20.13 54.4%
HCSG              23.04           28.02 21.6%
UTIW              12.83           17.30 34.8%
PRLB              35.56           73.02 105.3%
MG              21.99           20.95 -4.7%
FSL                9.44           15.37 62.8%
MCHP              29.43           44.54 51.3%
ASTE              29.37           37.16 26.5%
CRL              38.47           53.46 39.0%
ANDE              40.61           88.65 118.3%
IRG              12.87           13.03 1.2%
URBN              36.97           37.99 2.8%
CEC              30.65           44.61 45.5%
MEOH              30.53           57.72 89.1%
XRAY              38.90           48.19 23.9%
GTLS              62.46           94.25 50.9%
WNC                8.45           12.34 46.0%
AIN              21.33           35.84 68.0%
ULTI              91.99         151.88 65.1%
PHI              59.50           58.53 -1.6%
EPL              21.44           28.16 31.3%
IMO              43.41           43.64 0.5%
WSO              70.93           95.23 34.3%
RGC              15.11           19.56 29.5%
PKG              34.72           62.97 81.4%
JBHT              58.20           77.29 32.8%
LL              51.80         103.07 99.0%
EW              91.12           67.26 -26.2%
MWIV            110.64         175.57 58.7%
FUN              30.85           50.83 64.8%
Decile 7 37.8%

Stock  Initial Price   End Price  Percent Change
OKS              52.16           51.58 -1.1%
ROCK              14.12           18.63 31.9%
INWK              12.96             7.91 -39.0%
UNFI              52.53           74.95 42.7%
WST              27.03           49.12 81.7%
CODI              12.87           19.33 50.2%
OSIS              60.45           53.36 -11.7%
APD              79.76         111.22 39.4%
HMY                7.50             2.61 -65.2%
ETH              27.28           30.86 13.1%
T              31.99           34.80 8.8%
MPEL              14.80           39.63 167.8%
MSG              43.66           57.81 32.4%
PPO              40.00           37.96 -5.1%
RNO              11.39           11.96 5.0%
NUE              39.12           52.78 34.9%
DOW              28.34           43.67 54.1%
LNCE              23.41           28.44 21.5%
ADM              26.15           43.19 65.2%
SLW              34.47           21.12 -38.7%
NUVA              14.00           32.49 132.1%
AHGP              42.12           56.34 33.8%
ADS            142.91         263.70 84.5%
RDEN              47.12           33.86 -28.1%
EPIQ              11.94           15.75 31.9%
UNT              44.97           50.78 12.9%
TLP              33.53           42.02 25.3%
UA              52.73           86.99 65.0%
TAP              41.42           55.01 32.8%
BEBE                3.64             5.68 56.0%
BIN              20.61           24.38 18.3%
GOLD            101.61           63.41 -37.6%
MSCC              20.01           24.99 24.9%
PDS                7.21             9.31 29.1%
RKT              63.95         104.38 63.2%
HAE              40.22           41.47 3.1%
HSC              19.76           27.98 41.6%
KAR              17.12           30.10 75.8%
NGLS              33.45           51.35 53.5%
LRCX              35.10           53.94 53.7%
BCE              40.65           42.89 5.5%
EPB              35.29           35.49 0.6%
TLLP              42.36           52.65 24.3%
OAS              31.26           44.44 42.2%
CAE                9.97           12.66 27.0%
MITSY            279.76         277.34 -0.9%
GFF              10.55           13.81 30.9%
NOG              16.20           14.28 -11.9%
CE              41.26           55.30 34.0%
WEN                4.64             8.68 87.1%
Decile 8 45.8%
Decile Gain
IWV 38.5%
1 54.5%
2 34.6%
3 47.1%
4 42.6%
5 39.7%
6 47.6%
7 37.8%
8 45.8%

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