Saturday, January 18, 2014

Weekend Update - January 18th, 2014

Weekend Update

It did not feel like a stellar week for my portfolio. The crash of NUS definitively was a downer, even if I did mitigate the loss.  I was also relatively active with transactions, but none of them have born any fruit yet - not that I expect a stock to go up just because I bought them.  Also, INTC disappointed investors again.  KLIC also dropped a lot. So it was not a stellar week.

Doing the math, I was a bit surprised that I "only" lost about 1%.  It was not all negative, TC-PT and GA actually had strong weeks.

MFI Portfolio

The factor adjusted loss of $10,000 from NUS made it an uphill week for this portfolio from the get-go. I have a streak of 5 straight months where this portfolio has beaten the R3K, but that looks seriously in jeopardy as I was beating the R3K overall by 28.2 points on January 1st and that lead is now 25.2 points.  Obviously the January drop of 16% (before I sold) of NUS has been a headwind,  but interestingly KLIC is quietly down 15%.

My February 2013 tranche only has a few days left.  I am actually starting to be pretty excited about some of my potential choices.  I think at the end of the month, I will have a decent 5 stocks!

2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $540.67 $8.75 21.9% 24.8%
GA $6.10 $11.08 $0.65 92.3% 24.8%
STRZA $16.06 $29.40 $0.00 83.1% 24.8%
CA $25.07 $34.43 $1.00 41.3% 24.8%
NUS $41.94 $116.59 $1.20 180.8% 24.8%
Totals 83.9% 24.8%
5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $11.35 $0.00 -0.4% 16.5%
CYOU $29.24 $30.50 $0.00 4.3% 16.5%
RDA $9.74 $18.08 $0.10 86.7% 16.5%
NVDA $13.85 $15.99 $0.24 17.1% 16.5%
CF $183.97 $245.81 $1.80 34.6% 16.5%
Totals 28.5% 16.5%
8/15/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CF $187.26 $245.81 $1.00 31.8% 12.1%
FLR $66.06 $82.05 $0.32 24.7% 12.1%
AGX $15.60 $29.97 $0.75 96.9% 12.1%
KLIC $11.29 $11.35 $0.00 0.5% 12.1%
RPXC $15.92 $16.98 $0.00 6.7% 12.1%
Totals 32.1% 12.1%
11/15/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AVG $17.22 $16.91 $0.00 -1.8% 3.0%
ATVI $17.71 $16.96 $0.00 -4.2% 2.6%
GA $9.04 $11.08 $0.23 25.2% 2.6%
RPXC $17.04 $16.98 $0.00 -0.4% 2.6%
SYNA $48.01 $57.99 $0.00 20.8% 2.6%
Totals 7.9% 2.7%
Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment   25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 32.1% 7.9% 83.9% 28.5% 37.9%
Previous Tranche 14.1% 43.7% 0.0% 0.0% 12.1%
MFI Overall Gain 50.7% 55.1% 83.9% 28.5% 54.5%
Current Balance   37,674       38,779     45,975      32,118    154,545
R3K Current Tranche 12.1% 36.7% 24.8% 16.5% 22.5%
R3K Overall Gain 37.0% 36.7% 24.8% 16.5% 28.7%
R3K Balance   34,241       34,170     31,190      29,114    128,715
Annualized IRR 33.3% 45.3% 88.3% 42.7% 49.9%

Discretionary Portfolio

Not a great week here either, as KLIC is a pretty large holding and nothing really popped up.  I was very active this week with this portfolio. I bought SIRIC and RIOM.  Then I also added to my KLIC.

SIRI is a play on Liberty Media (which owns 52% of SIRI) putting a buy out bid on them.  It feels a bit like self-dealing, and stock advocates agree, such as Ralph Nader (Nader Assembling Shareholder-Activism Group). I think there will be substantial pressure on them to increase the bid, or else face a litany of lawsuits (Sirius XM Sued by Shareholders Over Liberty Buyout Offer).

C is a TBTF bank that is trading a bit under book value.  It has long been the ugly duckling of the large banks, but they have new management and still a strong retail franchise.  With their drop post-earnings, felt like a good buying opportunity.

RIOM is a small, but very profitable miner.  I have watched it for 6 months or so and it seems to have bottomed out.

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
BAC-WTA         6,000               5.35                 7.05                     -   31.8% 17.0% 14.7%
C         1,000             52.67               52.27                     -   -0.8% -0.4% -0.4%
CS         1,800             28.75               32.52                     -   13.1% 3.6% 9.5%
GNW         7,000               6.82               16.09                     -   135.9% 41.0% 95.0%
GTAT       21,000               5.23                 9.06                     -   73.1% 9.1% 64.0%
HIG-WT         1,650             21.24               26.45                     -   24.5% 12.5% 12.0%
KLIC         5,500             11.46               11.35                     -   -1.0% 10.7% -11.7%
RIOM       15,000               2.26                 2.20                     -   -2.7% 0.0% -2.7%
SIRI       15,000               3.73                 3.72                     -   -0.4% 1.2% -1.5%
           
Total Open                     -   35.0% 10.1% 24.9%
Closed 6.3% 3.1% 3.1%
Combined 15.4% 5.3% 10.0%

Dividend Portfolio

I guess it was a decent week here, largely helped by TC-PT rocketing up 27%!  INTC was actually up slightly over the week.  They ran up the day or two before earnings, so it really was not the crash it felt like.

I did buy some shares in NTC, a CT Municipal CEF.  It yields a bit under 6% (tax free) so is pretty attractive.  I have not included it (yet) in my dividend portfolio.  I actually plan to include it, but I have not built my full position yet.  It is pretty lightly traded and my bid price was only partially filled.  It is likely that a position like NTC will make it more difficult to beat bench marks, as in reality over time 6% is as good as it gets.  But my Diary is not just about beating benchmarks, but I am also trying to illustrate how to build a portfolio.  And even in today's world, that should include some bonds or bond-like securities.

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AOD       21,343            3.96             4.26        4,533.38 12.8% 19.3% -6.4%
BBEP         4,713          16.16           20.13        4,188.93 30.1% 10.5% 19.6%
CSCO         4,389          17.34           22.74        4,965.98 37.7% 38.8% -1.2%
CSQ         6,718            8.60           11.09      10,529.20 47.1% 48.7% -1.6%
INTC         3,754          22.25           25.85        4,490.84 21.5% 32.6% -11.1%
O             585          20.46           38.41        8,703.80 160.5% 108.3% 52.1%
OIBAX         4,093            4.99             6.08        7,808.22 60.2% 114.0% -53.8%
SBS         6,211            9.54           10.22                     -   7.1% 9.2% -2.0%
TC-PT         4,000          15.39           16.32        4,061.80 12.7% 16.6% -3.9%
TGONF         7,000          10.27             9.94        1,317.50 -1.4% 12.4% -13.8%
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
Total Open            50,600 24.9% 28.2% -3.3%
Closed 12.9% 10.3% 2.6%
Combined 14.6% 12.9% 1.7%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 17.8%
2013 Gain 0.9%

I hope everyone has a great weekend.  Some good football games on.  I will be taking my daughter ice skating today and will be going to a concert this evening.



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