What a disaster of a week. I actually do not want to write this update. Here are just a few of my losers for the week:
| Stock | Last Week | Current | Weekly Change |
| GME | 46.82 | 37.18 | -20.6% |
| REXI | 6.20 | 5.02 | -19.0% |
| SALE | 10.89 | 8.99 | -17.4% |
| VEC | 26.14 | 22.99 | -12.1% |
| SJT | 7.26 | 6.47 | -10.9% |
| BKE | 34.37 | 31.16 | -9.3% |
| PERI | 2.44 | 2.24 | -8.2% |
| CSCO | 28.45 | 26.21 | -7.9% |
| PPC | 20.21 | 18.67 | -7.6% |
| RGR | 52.87 | 48.95 | -7.4% |
| CSIQ | 23.00 | 21.31 | -7.3% |
| BAC-WTA | 6.69 | 6.27 | -6.3% |
| HIG-WT | 40.10 | 37.60 | -6.2% |
| LQDT | 8.62 | 8.10 | -6.0% |
| DEPO | 19.87 | 18.69 | -5.9% |
| AOD | 8.12 | 7.71 | -5.0% |
| ONE | 3.22 | 3.06 | -5.0% |
| FLR | 49.14 | 46.71 | -4.9% |
| CSQ | 10.19 | 9.71 | -4.7% |
GME really really hurt, there is fear that they are soon going to go the Blockbuster route. People no longer visiting stores for games, but rather digital downloads. I am now up just 3.6% on the year and without the NHTC bonanza, I'd be down 6.6%. It has been tough sledding the past week.
MFI Select
First, I have locked down the 11/15/14 portfolio. I will sell NHTC and IPCM on Monday. Everything else is sold.
For the record, here are all my closed tranches:
| 8/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| DLB | $34.43 | $33.04 | $4.00 | 7.6% | 22.1% |
| KFY | $13.98 | $18.95 | $0.00 | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| MSFT | $30.19 | $31.92 | $0.92 | 8.8% | 22.1% |
| NSU | $3.62 | $3.33 | $0.12 | -4.6% | 22.1% |
| UIS | $19.96 | $24.52 | $0.00 | 22.8% | 22.1% |
| Totals | 14.1% | 22.1% | |||
| 11/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AAPL | $537.62 | $527.28 | $8.75 | -0.3% | 36.7% |
| ABC | $40.21 | $69.23 | $0.86 | 74.3% | 36.7% |
| LPS | $23.89 | $34.26 | $0.40 | 45.1% | 36.7% |
| VIAB | $49.12 | $80.94 | $1.15 | 67.1% | 36.7% |
| WU | $12.77 | $16.40 | $0.50 | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| Totals | 43.7% | 36.7% | |||
| 2/1/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AAPL | $450.60 | $500.66 | $8.75 | 13.1% | 21.1% |
| GA | $6.10 | $11.01 | $0.65 | 91.2% | 21.1% |
| STRZA | $16.06 | $27.98 | $0.00 | 74.2% | 21.1% |
| CA | $25.07 | $32.08 | $1.00 | 32.0% | 21.1% |
| NUS | $41.94 | $116.59 | $1.20 | 180.8% | 21.1% |
| Totals | 78.3% | 21.1% | |||
| 5/6/2013 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| KLIC | $11.40 | $14.44 | $0.00 | 26.7% | 18.9% |
| CYOU | $29.24 | $28.02 | $0.00 | -4.2% | 18.9% |
| RDA | $9.74 | $16.79 | $0.10 | 73.5% | 18.9% |
| NVDA | $13.85 | $18.43 | $0.32 | 35.4% | 18.9% |
| CF | $183.97 | $243.22 | $2.80 | 33.7% | 18.9% |
| Totals | 33.0% | 18.9% | |||
| 8/15/2013 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CF | $187.26 | $247.43 | $4.50 | 34.5% | 19.4% |
| FLR | $66.06 | $73.03 | $0.53 | 11.4% | 19.4% |
| AGX | $15.60 | $36.71 | $0.75 | 140.1% | 19.4% |
| KLIC | $11.29 | $14.26 | $0.00 | 26.3% | 19.4% |
| RPXC | $15.92 | $15.09 | $0.00 | -5.2% | 19.4% |
| Totals | 41.4% | 19.4% | |||
| 11/15/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $17.22 | $19.21 | $0.00 | 11.6% | 14.5% |
| ATVI | $17.71 | $20.10 | $0.20 | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| GA | $9.04 | $11.90 | $0.23 | 34.2% | 14.5% |
| RPXC | $17.04 | $13.91 | $0.00 | -18.4% | 14.5% |
| SYNA | $48.01 | $61.90 | $0.00 | 28.9% | 14.5% |
| Totals | 14.2% | 14.5% | |||
| 2/1/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| ATVI | $17.13 | $20.90 | $0.20 | 23.1% | 12.9% |
| KLAC | $61.47 | $61.47 | $18.40 | 29.9% | 12.9% |
| RPXC | $16.22 | $12.35 | $0.00 | -23.9% | 12.9% |
| SNDK | $69.55 | $75.91 | $0.83 | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| WNR | $39.11 | $37.13 | $3.04 | 2.7% | 12.9% |
| Totals | 8.5% | 12.9% | |||
| 5/6/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $19.57 | $23.27 | $0.00 | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| CA | $29.54 | $31.41 | $1.00 | 9.7% | 12.9% |
| CSCO | $22.79 | $28.89 | $0.78 | 30.2% | 12.9% |
| NSR | $25.82 | $30.69 | $0.00 | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| RCII | $28.78 | $31.77 | $0.94 | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Totals | 18.3% | 12.9% | |||
| 8/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CSCO | $24.40 | $28.95 | $0.80 | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| AGX | $36.71 | $40.69 | $0.70 | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| ITRN | $21.32 | $25.11 | $0.87 | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| BRCD | $9.34 | $10.15 | $0.15 | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| CBI | $58.25 | $51.70 | $0.21 | -10.9% | 8.8% |
| Totals | 11.2% | 8.8% | |||
| 11/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| FLR | $64.80 | $47.46 | $0.84 | -25.5% | 0.8% |
| IPCM | $38.45 | $80.03 | $0.00 | 108.1% | 0.8% |
| VIAB | $72.29 | $50.69 | $1.46 | -27.9% | 0.8% |
| NHTC | $12.19 | $51.46 | $0.06 | 322.6% | 0.8% |
| AWRE | $4.40 | $3.07 | $0.00 | -30.2% | 0.8% |
| Totals | 69.4% | 0.8% |
Then here are my open tranches, including my newest tranche:
| 2/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $28.00 | $22.99 | $0.00 | -17.9% | 2.2% |
| QCOM | $62.73 | $51.94 | $1.38 | -15.0% | 2.2% |
| VIAB | $63.91 | $49.99 | $1.13 | -20.0% | 2.2% |
| UIS | $22.03 | $12.73 | $0.00 | -42.2% | 2.2% |
| NHTC | $12.44 | $51.46 | $0.05 | 314.1% | 2.2% |
| Totals | 43.8% | 2.2% | |||
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $42.16 | $0.14 | -16.0% | -2.8% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $3.75 | $0.00 | -9.1% | -2.8% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $32.60 | $0.40 | -15.3% | -2.8% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $39.00 | $0.00 | -37.3% | -2.8% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $18.69 | $0.00 | -20.5% | -2.8% |
| Totals | -19.6% | -2.8% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $19.52 | $0.00 | 4.6% | -3.4% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $8.99 | $0.00 | -3.7% | -3.4% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $26.21 | $0.21 | -8.7% | -3.4% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $26.01 | $0.14 | 3.4% | -3.4% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $28.04 | $0.13 | 39.9% | -3.4% |
| Totals | 7.1% | -3.4% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $35.79 | - | 5.2% | -1.2% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $33.77 | - | -2.0% | -1.2% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $18.67 | - | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $22.99 | - | -2.6% | -1.2% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $3.76 | - | -5.8% | -1.2% |
| Totals | -1.4% | -1.2% |
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | 7.1% | -1.4% | 43.8% | -19.6% | 8.3% |
| Previous Tranche | 11.2% | 69.4% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 41.8% |
| Tranche -2 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 78.3% | 33.0% | 41.7% |
| Tranche -3 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 92.0% | 174.4% | 178.0% | 26.4% | 117.7% |
| Current Balance | 48,005 | 68,590 | 69,493 | 31,606 | 217,694 |
| R3K Current Tranche | -3.4% | -1.2% | 2.2% | -2.8% | -1.3% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 53.2% | 55.8% | 39.8% | 30.4% | 44.8% |
| R3K Balance | 38,308 | 38,945 | 34,946 | 32,589 | 144,788 |
| Annualized IRR | 22.2% | 40.0% | 44.4% | 9.7% | 31.1% |
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| Current | 72.91% | 217,694 | 144,788 |
I am excited about my 5 new stocks: PPC, SAVE, VEC, VNCE & LCI. With all the turmoil, I do think there are more mis priced stocks than I have seen in a while. VNCE is the riskiest pick in my view with the retail rout, which I mentioned here earlier this week - well before CNBC.
MFI Formula
Just a terrible week. I am now trailing. CSCO, GME RGR and I am sure others, sold off sharply.
| 12/31/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CA | $30.83 | $26.53 | $0.75 | -11.5% | -1.7% |
| CSCO | $28.36 | $26.21 | $0.82 | -4.7% | -1.7% |
| RGR | $34.81 | $48.95 | $0.85 | 43.0% | -1.7% |
| GME | $34.21 | $37.18 | $1.08 | 11.8% | -1.7% |
| IQNT | $19.87 | $18.89 | $0.45 | -2.7% | -1.7% |
| Totals | 7.2% | -1.7% | |||
| 3/31/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| HRB | $31.99 | $35.68 | $0.40 | 12.8% | -2.9% |
| GME | $37.69 | $37.18 | $0.72 | 0.6% | -2.9% |
| KING | $15.85 | $17.86 | $0.00 | 12.7% | -2.9% |
| NSU | $3.43 | $2.70 | $0.08 | -19.0% | -2.9% |
| PPC | $22.65 | $18.67 | $0.00 | -17.6% | -2.9% |
| Totals | -2.1% | -2.9% | |||
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $31.16 | $0.46 | -31.9% | -2.9% |
| CA | $29.34 | $26.53 | $0.25 | -8.7% | -2.9% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $52.84 | $0.31 | 19.7% | -2.9% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $51.94 | $0.48 | -16.7% | -2.9% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $49.99 | $0.40 | -22.2% | -2.9% |
| Totals | -12.0% | -2.9% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $31.16 | $0.23 | -14.8% | 5.2% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $18.89 | $0.00 | -14.0% | 5.2% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $51.94 | $0.00 | -2.8% | 5.2% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $26.21 | $0.21 | 0.2% | 5.2% |
| CA | $27.30 | $26.53 | $0.00 | -2.8% | 5.2% |
| Totals | -6.8% | 5.2% |
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| Current | -2.75% | 96,648 | 99,399 |
MFI Micro
Consistent with this week's sucky theme, this portfolio struggled as well.
| 8/28/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VNCE | $8.50 | $3.76 | $0.00 | -55.8% | 1.5% |
| ONE | $1.99 | $3.06 | $0.00 | 53.8% | 1.5% |
| TPUB | $11.60 | $9.47 | $0.18 | -16.9% | 1.5% |
| LQDT | $7.26 | $8.10 | $0.00 | 11.6% | 1.5% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.24 | $0.00 | -8.6% | 1.5% |
| Totals | -3.2% | 1.5% |
Warrants and Dividends
Not any better here.
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week |
| BAC-WTA | $6.04 | $6.27 | $0.00 | 3.9% | 10.8% |
| AOD | $8.09 | $7.71 | $1.55 | 14.5% | 19.6% |
| FSC | $7.04 | $6.05 | $0.52 | -6.7% | -5.8% |
| CSQ | $9.31 | $9.71 | $1.91 | 24.8% | 29.1% |
| NTC | $12.05 | $12.51 | $1.20 | 13.7% | 13.3% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $9.90 | $1.19 | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $37.60 | $0.00 | 77.0% | 88.8% |
| O | $22.52 | $47.44 | $17.58 | 188.8% | 188.9% |
| OIBAX | $5.04 | $5.59 | $2.13 | 53.1% | 53.3% |
| sjt | $11.06 | $6.47 | $0.17 | -39.9% | -32.8% |
| Totals | 9.8% | 13.6% |
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