Proving buy and hold can still work, here is a look at the college funds for my kids:
2009 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
32.86 | 114.34 | 10.22 | 279% | |
CB | 35.37 | 103.05 | 8.93 | 217% |
VR | 21.92 | 41.50 | 7.48 | 123% |
Total | 206% | |||
2010 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
47.61 | 114.34 | 8.98 | 159% | |
CB | 49.20 | 103.05 | 7.53 | 125% |
VR | 26.25 | 41.50 | 6.68 | 84% |
Total | 122% | |||
2011 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
62.09 | 114.34 | 7.35 | 96% | |
CB | 58.15 | 103.05 | 6.05 | 88% |
VR | 30.52 | 41.50 | 5.80 | 55% |
Total | 80% | |||
1/12 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
GNW | 6.66 | 9.09 | - | 36% |
19.72 | 56.63 | 1.28 | 194% | |
Total | 115% | |||
10/12 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
GNW | 5.35 | 9.09 | - | 70% |
VR | 35.79 | 41.50 | 4.05 | 27% |
Total | 49% | |||
1/13 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
GNW | 8.12 | 9.09 | - | 12% |
27.50 | 56.63 | 0.84 | 109% | |
Total | 60% | |||
10/13 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
181.51 | 162.17 | 5.20 | -8% | |
22.91 | 27.64 | 0.74 | 24% | |
Total | 8% | |||
2014 Tranche | Start | Current | Dividend | Gain |
53.46 | 55.61 | 1.33 | 7% | |
47.66 | 56.63 | 0.16 | 19% | |
Total | 13% |
They were definitely hurt by the GNW fiasco, but overall are doing decently. IBM looks like my one sour pick of late.
MFI Index
As my readers may know, I have created an MFI index, a listing of fifty stocks that I change once a year and then track over time against the Russell 3000. Since 2006, it has been an absolute dead heat.
Annual | Inception to Date | |||
Year | Russell | Russell ITD | MFI ITD | |
2006 | 11.40% | 15.03% | 11.40% | 15.03% |
2007 | 4.09% | -6.69% | 15.96% | 7.34% |
2008 | -37.05% | -37.97% | -27.00% | -33.42% |
2009 | 32.51% | 45.18% | -3.27% | -3.34% |
2010 | 18.38% | 22.77% | 14.50% | 18.67% |
2011 | -0.56% | -10.47% | 13.87% | 6.25% |
2012 | 16.43% | 9.70% | 32.57% | 16.56% |
2013 | 33.01% | 51.70% | 76.34% | 76.82% |
2014 | 12.36% | 12.52% | 98.13% | 98.96% |
Here are the fifty stocks in 2014, with performance so far this year and in the 4th quarter:
Index | Stock | Start | 30-Sep | Current | YTD Change | Q4 Change |
1 | ATVI | 17.83 | 20.99 | 21.85 | 22.5% | 4.1% |
2 | MO | 38.39 | 47.38 | 51.70 | 34.7% | 9.1% |
3 | APOL | 27.32 | 25.15 | 31.22 | 14.3% | 24.1% |
4 | AAPL | 561.02 | 714.88 | 845.43 | 50.7% | 18.3% |
5 | AGX | 27.56 | 33.38 | 32.47 | 17.8% | -2.7% |
6 | BAH | 19.15 | 23.61 | 27.53 | 43.8% | 16.6% |
7 | BKE | 52.56 | 46.05 | 52.07 | -0.9% | 13.1% |
8 | CA | 33.65 | 28.69 | 32.15 | -4.5% | 12.1% |
9 | CACI | 73.22 | 71.27 | 89.19 | 21.8% | 25.1% |
10 | CHE | 76.62 | 103.52 | 110.95 | 44.8% | 7.2% |
11 | CRUS | 20.43 | 20.85 | 18.29 | -10.5% | -12.3% |
12 | CSCO | 22.43 | 25.53 | 28.19 | 25.7% | 10.4% |
13 | COH | 56.13 | 36.62 | 38.13 | -32.1% | 4.1% |
14 | CRTX | 9.49 | 9.50 | 9.50 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
15 | DLX | 52.19 | 56.01 | 59.60 | 14.2% | 6.4% |
16 | DHX | 7.25 | 8.38 | 10.87 | 49.9% | 29.7% |
17 | EBIX | 14.71 | 14.41 | 16.44 | 11.7% | 14.1% |
18 | EGL | 33.40 | 31.17 | 42.05 | 25.9% | 34.9% |
19 | GME | 49.26 | 42.19 | 39.13 | -20.6% | -7.3% |
20 | GTIV | 12.41 | 16.78 | 19.41 | 56.4% | 15.7% |
21 | GNI | 68.10 | 25.95 | 31.12 | -54.3% | 19.9% |
22 | HLF | 78.70 | 44.05 | 43.55 | -44.7% | -1.1% |
23 | IQNT | 11.41 | 12.60 | 18.87 | 65.4% | 49.8% |
24 | ESI | 33.58 | 4.29 | 8.31 | -75.3% | 93.7% |
25 | LPS | 37.38 | 37.30 | 37.30 | -0.2% | 0.0% |
26 | LQDT | 22.66 | 13.75 | 10.51 | -53.6% | -23.6% |
27 | LO | 50.68 | 61.76 | 64.99 | 28.2% | 5.2% |
28 | MSFT | 37.41 | 47.20 | 48.93 | 30.8% | 3.7% |
29 | MYGN | 20.98 | 38.57 | 33.53 | 59.8% | -13.1% |
30 | NATR | 17.32 | 16.63 | 16.82 | -2.9% | 1.1% |
31 | NOC | 114.61 | 133.77 | 142.94 | 24.7% | 6.9% |
32 | PDLI | 8.44 | 7.92 | 8.71 | 3.2% | 0.0% |
33 | PFMT | 10.30 | 8.08 | 6.80 | -34.0% | -15.8% |
34 | PETS | 16.63 | 14.11 | 14.23 | -14.4% | 0.9% |
35 | PRSC | 25.72 | 48.38 | 39.13 | 52.1% | -19.1% |
36 | QCOR | 54.45 | 94.50 | 94.50 | 73.6% | 0.0% |
37 | RTN | 90.70 | 102.83 | 108.52 | 19.6% | 5.5% |
38 | RAI | 49.99 | 60.34 | 67.92 | 35.9% | 12.6% |
39 | RPXC | 16.90 | 13.73 | 13.12 | -22.4% | -4.4% |
40 | SAIC | 33.07 | 45.07 | 51.75 | 56.5% | 14.8% |
41 | SWHC | 13.49 | 9.44 | 9.97 | -26.1% | 5.6% |
42 | STRA | 34.47 | 59.88 | 75.69 | 119.6% | 26.4% |
43 | RGR | 73.09 | 50.17 | 39.71 | -45.7% | -20.8% |
44 | UIS | 33.57 | 23.41 | 26.72 | -20.4% | 14.1% |
45 | UNTD | 13.76 | 10.95 | 13.06 | -5.1% | 19.3% |
46 | SPOK | 14.28 | 13.39 | 16.36 | 14.6% | 22.2% |
47 | USNA | 75.58 | 73.66 | 106.64 | 41.1% | 44.8% |
48 | VCI | 34.25 | 34.02 | 34.02 | -0.7% | 0.0% |
49 | VGR | 16.37 | 22.98 | 24.02 | 46.7% | 4.5% |
50 | WTW | 32.93 | 27.44 | 29.00 | -11.9% | 5.7% |
Total | 17,682 | 18,372 | 19,896 | 12.5% | 8.3% |
That 8.3% gain in the fourth quarter is pretty darned impressive. I would love to have that. As a side note, my MFI select tranches are up 4.5% in the 4th quarter and my MFI formula tranche is up 5.5%.
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