Friday, February 08, 2013

MFI Index

As my readers may know, I have created an MFI Index.  It goes back to 2006 and essentially takes 50 MFI stocks at the start of each year and tracks them for a year.  Then lather, rinse and repeat.  It has underperformed the Russell 3000 index over the same stretch.  The two table below show each indice by year and inception to date:

IWV  Performance
ITD  Annual 
2006 11.40% 11.40%
2007 15.96% 4.09%
2008 -27.00% -37.05%
2009 -3.27% 32.51%
2010 14.50% 18.38%
2011 13.87% -0.56%
2012 32.52% 16.38%
2013 41.37% 6.68%
MFI Index  Performance
ITD  Annual 
2006 15.03% 15.03%
2007 7.34% -6.69%
2008 -33.42% -37.97%
2009 -3.34% 45.18%
2010 18.67% 22.77%
2011 6.25% -10.47%
2012 16.56% 9.70%
2013 25.31% 7.51%

So you can see that you would be up 41.37% in the Russell 3000 versus 25.3% via MFI.

Then here is a listing of the 50 stocks that started on January 1st and how they have done for the year and the past week:

Stock Start Last Week Current YTD Change Weekly Change
APOL      20.92         20.00         20.12 -3.8% 0.6%
AGX      18.00         19.02         17.37 -3.5% -8.7%
BAH      13.92         13.84         13.50 -3.0% -2.5%
CA      21.98         25.03         25.00 13.7% -0.1%
CPLA      28.23         27.44         29.89 5.9% 8.9%
CF    203.16      229.96       225.82 11.2% -1.8%
CSCO      19.65         20.83         21.22 8.0% 1.9%
DELL      10.14         13.63         13.47 32.8% -1.2%
DLX      32.24         37.14         37.77 17.2% 1.7%
DMRC      20.70         21.51         21.53 4.0% 0.1%
DLB      29.33         32.39         31.63 7.8% -2.3%
GME      25.09         24.69         25.92 3.3% 5.0%
GNI      67.20         75.94         76.64 14.1% 0.9%
GTAT         3.03           3.10            3.21 5.9% 3.5%
HLF      32.94         35.07         35.70 8.4% 1.8%
HFC      46.55         52.77         56.00 20.3% 6.1%
IDCC      41.09         43.60         45.06 9.7% 3.3%
INTX         9.48         10.02         10.23 7.9% 2.1%
ESI      17.31         16.28         17.18 -0.8% 5.5%
JCOM      30.60         31.87         31.65 3.4% -0.7%
KLIC      11.99         11.65         11.59 -3.4% -0.6%
LPS      24.62         24.16         25.61 4.0% 6.0%
MANT      25.94         25.18         25.56 -1.5% 1.5%
MSFT      26.71         27.93         27.62 3.4% -1.1%
NATR      14.48         14.75         14.81 2.3% 0.4%
NSU         4.28           4.17            4.04 -5.6% -3.1%
NTI      25.44         25.84         28.55 12.2% 10.5%
NUS      37.05         41.80         42.57 14.9% 1.8%
PDLI         7.04           6.88            6.89 -2.1% 0.2%
PETS      11.10         12.91         13.26 19.5% 2.7%
PBI      10.64         13.82         13.84 30.1% 0.1%
POOSF         1.42           1.26            1.05 -25.8% -16.7%
POZN         5.01           5.46            5.65 12.8% 3.5%
QCOR      26.72         26.40         26.40 -1.2% 0.0%
RTN      57.56         52.67         53.92 -6.3% 2.4%
RPXC         9.04         10.41         10.63 17.6% 2.1%
SAI      11.32         12.30         12.25 8.2% -0.4%
STX      30.42         33.67         35.65 17.2% 5.9%
SVLC         2.52           2.61            2.56 1.6% -1.9%
SAVE      17.73         19.21         19.46 9.8% 1.3%
STRA      56.17         57.27         61.30 9.1% 7.0%
TNAV         7.99           8.03            7.18 -10.1% -10.6%
TZOO      18.99         21.36         21.23 11.8% -0.6%
UIS      17.30         23.17         24.51 41.7% 5.8%
USMO      11.68         11.78         11.41 -2.3% -3.1%
USNA      32.93         34.68         41.73 26.7% 20.3%
EGY         8.65           8.55            8.31 -4.0% -2.9%
VCI      25.78         28.75         28.91 12.1% 0.6%
VG         2.37           2.61            2.43 2.5% -6.9%
WCRX      12.04         14.05         14.23 18.2% 1.3%
Total    11,656      12,401       12,532 7.5% 1.1%

It is interesting that the much hated PBI (does anyone buy their equipment any more?) is up a snappy 30%.  This gets back to my point from my previous blog posting that it is virtually impossible for average investors to really understand when a stock is so cheap that despite it having hair and warts you can make very good money.  I do wonder (out loud) whether the For Profit Education stocks have reached that point.  Perhaps I will buy one in May.

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