Tuesday, October 05, 2010

Where Do We Go From Here?



Wow, the market sure rocketed today. I can't say I really know why. Let us see what the "experts" say:
Hmmm, I guess the fact that Japan dropped their rates to 0% made everyone positive. Wonder how long that will last?

I guess as Warren Buffet famously said, "At the start of the party the punch is flowing and everything's going well, but you know at midnight it's all going to turn into pumpkins and mice. People think they'll be able to get out just before midnight, but everyone else thinks that too."

I am comfortable just doing nothing. I guess that is where I have been trying to get to in my investing career. With my MFI portfolio being largely in dividend stocks (CHKE, CEL, UNTD, INTC, RAI, PM, VALU, CMTL, MAIL and TTT) I know that even if the market crashes that I will simply be reinvesting dividends in good companies to buy more shares. It takes the panic away for me. All these companies have strong balance sheets and maintained their dividends in 2008 and 2009.

The only question is when to put the cash to work that I have kept on the sidelines? I do not know the answer, but I suspect if I meditate (and watch the markets) the answer will present itself. Patience Grasshopper.

Top 50 List (based on my Calcs)

Rank Stock Market Cap EY ROC Yield
1 SNTA 157.34 77% 3076% 0.00%
2 BDSI 70.68 69% 1186% 0.00%
3 SNTS 182.27 31% 4769% 0.00%
4 MAIL 57.79 39% 631% 21.40%
5 ARIA 446.90 27% 1068% 0.00%
6 ELNK 939.70 31% 614% 6.96%
7 JGBO 112.49 248% 363% 0.00%
8 PDLI 917.28 21% 259717% 42.14%
9 UEPS 529.41 29% 426% 0.00%
10 IDCC 1,333.14 26% 475% 0.00%
11 GAME 1,643.39 18% 1050% 0.00%
12 CEU 138.63 28% 271% 0.00%
13 BPI 923.07 23% 326% 0.00%
14 TNAV 217.74 65% 209% 0.00%
15 OSK 2,612.23 36% 215% 0.00%
16 ESI 2,365.65 24% 296% 0.00%
17 AMED 690.90 30% 217% 0.00%
18 FRX 9,425.12 21% 313% 0.00%
19 IPXL 1,362.56 32% 193% 0.00%
20 IMMU 254.46 15% 784% 0.00%
21 SOLR 1,233.35 15% 789% 0.00%
22 HRB 4,063.26 18% 272% 4.83%
23 SCEI 117.60 27% 170% 0.00%
24 UIS 1,233.14 24% 183% 0.00%
25 USMO 374.38 23% 189% 6.25%
26 TRMS 54.92 35% 145% 0.00%
27 SUPG 128.22 24% 171% 0.00%
28 APOL 7,689.17 18% 228% 0.00%
29 SNDK 9,026.11 17% 268% 0.00%
30 PRSC 257.25 16% 299% 0.00%
31 SMED 78.18 24% 157% 0.00%
32 AGX 133.43 14% 598% 0.00%
33 SNDA 2,429.73 16% 264% 0.00%
34 CBP 66.33 48% 115% 0.00%
35 DRWI 237.45 34% 118% 0.00%
36 CSKI 124.25 82% 110% 0.00%
37 AFAM 276.11 20% 154% 0.00%
38 CSGS 595.88 18% 178% 0.00%
39 PPD 580.46 16% 204% 0.00%
40 CYOU 1,486.63 14% 334% 0.00%
41 LO 12,104.53 13% 682% 5.24%
42 DJCO 100.98 24% 121% 0.00%
43 UNTD 515.28 16% 202% 7.02%
44 VPHM 1,332.03 15% 224% 0.00%
45 ARO 2,240.81 21% 135% 0.00%
46 MRX 1,964.69 13% 806% 0.75%
47 PSDV 88.40 13% 21142% 0.00%
48 GA 1,493.49 13% 484% 2.83%
49 CNU 245.47 17% 146% 0.00%
50 ASGR 136.05 15% 192% 1.53%





Hi, this is "Marsh_Gerda's" daughter. I just want o say my dad is the best dad in the world. Don't you forget it. This means you!!!

2 comments:

T. Crisp said...

Dear Marsh,

Not sure what your e-mail address is, so I'll just leave this here and hope you read comments.

Thanks for this blog. I've been MFIing for a year and am a regular reader of your blog. I greatly appreciate what you're doing here.

An idea: Have you thought about putting together (and publishing every so often!) a list of the top-50 dividend paying stocks (yield over 2.4% or something like that), ranked by MFI scores? So the #1 spot on the list would be the dividend payer with the best composite score on earnings yield and ROIC, and so forth.

Research on the South African stock market at http://www.powerstocks.co.za/, and your own backtesting, suggests that mimicking the MFI strategy, but using a list of MFI-ranked dividend payers instead of the orthodox MFI list might be a good strategy.

Well, thanks for any thoughts and for your fine work on this blog.

Yours sincerely,

Tom Crisp

Homer315 said...

Dear Marsh_Gerda's daughter:

Your Dad seems like a good guy, and he does a lot for strangers by keeping track of these companies and writing about them for us. So I, for one, am thankful he does it.