Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Defense Stocks

I keep wanting to (ahem) pull the trigger and buy a defense stock. I owned RTN last year and it did ok for me. Here are the big three on the list:

Sign Category RTN LMT GD
+ Operating Income After Depreciation 3,014.00 4,153.00 3,728.00
- Minority Interest - Income Account 36.00 - -
= Income for Calculation 2,978.00 4,153.00 3,728.00

Diluted Shares Outstanding 383.100 363.900 388.532

Share Price 47.14 71.41 64.06
+ Market Cap Calc 18,059.33 25,986.10 24,889.36
+ Preferred Capital - - -
+ Debt in Current Liabilities - - 703.00
+ Long-Term Debt 2,327.00 5,019.00 3,159.00

Cash and Short-Term Investments 2,385.00 3,423.00 1,853.00
- Excess Cash 2,045.00 2,301.00 1,853.00
= Enterprise Value 18,341.33 28,704.10 26,898.36










+ Property Plant and Equipment - Net 1,953.00 4,347.00 2,850.00
+ Receivables 131.00 6,275.00 3,545.00
+ Inventories 4,791.00 2,093.00 6,860.00
+ Other Current Assests 413.00 2,148.00 908.00
+ Working Cash 340.00 1,122.00 -
- Accounts Payable 1,330.00 2,352.00 2,396.00
- Current Liabilities - Other 4,345.00 9,286.00 6,696.00
= Invested Capital 1,953.00 4,347.00 5,071.00
Dividend 3.0% 4.2% 2.6%
Earnings Yield 16% 14% 14%
ROIC 152% 96% 74%


I like them as they pay good dividends and they have a decent moat. My biggest issue with them is an area few people are talking about: pension plans. Employee benefits were a large part of what drove GM and Chrysler into bankruptcy. The plans have been too rich and many of them are way underwater with the crash in the markets. Finally many plans assume an unrealistic gain per year in today's low yield environment.

What do people think?

No comments: