Friday, October 15, 2010

To The Moon (Alice)

The week was a rocket ride for my portfolio. It was, on a cash basis, easily the best week I have ever had since starting my MFI portfolio in February 2006. On a percentage basis, it was my 2nd best week, up 10.4%. The only week better was the week starting Halloween 2008. That was right after the massive crash in October of 2008, so a 13% gain was not as big a deal as this week's 10.4%.

CCME was the big driver for the week, as you can see from the chart below.

Symbol Initial Price Current Price Avg of Gain
CCME $10.75 $16.15 50.2%
CEL $31.47 $32.28 2.6%
CEU $4.64 $5.51 18.8%
CHKE $18.50 $18.68 1.0%
CMFO $5.33 $6.37 19.5%
CMTL $29.64 $29.65 0.0%
EESC $2.20 $2.20 0.0%
FLL $3.28 $3.58 9.1%
INTC $19.52 $19.21 -1.6%
KSW $3.05 $3.19 4.6%
MAIL $5.95 $5.99 0.7%
NEWN $5.69 $6.07 6.6%
PETS $16.11 $16.10 -0.1%
PM $56.63 $58.34 3.0%
RAI $58.73 $61.53 4.8%
TTT $15.51 $14.80 -4.5%
UNTD $5.80 $5.99 3.3%
UTA $4.51 $4.78 5.9%
VALU $14.20 $14.04 -1.1%

CCME

Not every week a stock shoots up 50%! What is interesting about CCME, and the reason I am not selling after the 50% pop is that they are still extraordinarily cheap. As people know, I have created my own list of stock rankings. CCME is still a top 20 stock!

This is a company that made 80 cents a share last quarter, analysts have them at 60 and 52 cents the next two quarters, but that is way low. But even if you believe those low-ball numbers they'd earn $2.44 in the year. This is a $16 stock, with $4 per share in cash.

I see where even Cramer agrees with me, that CCME still has room to run (of course he would not recommend it at $10 as he is often a momentum guy):

China MediaExpress [CCME 16.20 2.18 (+15.55%) ]:
I am reluctant to recommend Chinese stocks,” Cramer said, “but I will tell you that is not an expensive stock.

Finally, here is my chart since I started MFI. The last week stands out like an exclamation point!

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