Friday, August 10, 2012

Last Kiss?

KSS Reports Earnings

One of my dividend stocks (KSS) reported their earnings yesterday morning.  I have to admit, that when I read them I thought, "why do I own this stock?". Margins are down, sales are flat, outlook was so-so.  About all they could say was they were managing their internal expenses.  I was thus surprised when the stock spiked up 90 cents in the first 30 minutes. I wondered if people had read the same report I had read, or rather expectations were SO low that anything was ok?  I was tempted to sell, but I find my dividend stocks to be stickier (meaning I am willing to tough it out) for me.  Of course, short term the sale would have been the right move, it ended up down a percent or so.

The reason I did not sell, is because I am trying to have a diversified portfolio. Kohl's is my only retail stock.  I did look at a couple of others, including M, BKE and CATO - all of which pay a modest dividend.  But I felt they were all about the same.  They are all trading at about 10x next year's earnings. BKE and CATO have the cleanest balance sheets.  I do think Kohl's competes directly with JC Penney, and with all due respect to the new Apple guy they hired, I feel JCP is lost.  So I remain with KSS.

Wrong Again

At the start of the week, I profiled a group of MFI dividend stocks and stated I would have to hold my nose if I were to buy them.  Well, they have had a strong first week, up about 5.5% thus far.  Too bad that is just make-believe gains.


Ticker Mcap  Dividend   Price  Yield  Initial Price  Change
GNI 105             15.00         69.20 21.7%         68.40 1.2%
PDLI 927.48                0.60           7.00 8.6%           6.68 4.8%
PETS 195.22                0.60           9.72 6.2%           9.50 2.3%
STRA 861.81                4.00         73.00 5.5%         69.98 4.3%
HRB 4,673.90                0.75         16.12 4.7%         15.60 3.3%
STX 11,737.10                1.28         33.09 3.9%         29.96 10.4%
SAI 3,980.88                0.48         12.00 4.0%         11.44 4.9%
MANT 773.44                0.84         22.23 3.8%         20.25 9.8%
GME 2,121.24                0.60         16.83 3.6%         15.75 6.9%
RTN 18,230.12                2.00         55.96 3.6%         54.28 3.1%
NSU 677.59                0.10           3.79 2.6%           3.33 13.8%
JCOM 1,356.20                0.86         28.73 3.0%         29.55 -2.8%
MSFT 246,485.20                0.80         30.50 2.6%         29.19 4.5%

My portfolio was very flat yesterday, up eight basis points.  I think we are officially in the Dog Days of August.

I did have XOM go x-dividend for me yesterday.  That is a stock I wish I had bought more of - it is a relatively small holding in my portfolio, but has done well. Next week is a busy x-dividend week, I have six stocks going x dividend and placing another $1,819 in my pocket (of course I will just re-invest those dividends):


Stock Shares x Date Div/Share Est New Shares Amount
BHK          2,994 8/12/12  $      0.07           14.0             219
FSC          2,678 8/13/12  $      0.10           24.0             257
JQC          4,717 8/13/12  $      0.07           33.0             316
MPC             575 8/14/12  $      0.35             4.0             201
MSFT             959 8/15/12  $      0.20             6.0             192
PRE          1,023 8/17/12  $      0.62             8.0             634
OIBAX          3,837 8/30/12  $      0.02           12.0              81
O             548 8/30/12  $      0.15             1.0              80
KSS             909 9/4/12  $      0.32             5.0             291
CSQ          5,329 9/8/12  $      0.07           37.0             373
HFC          1,069 9/8/12  $      0.15             4.0             160

2 comments:

Unknown said...

Marsh - part of the problem with the MFI list is that it seems to include inappropriate stocks. E.g., GNI is a trust that will be dissolved in about 3 years, which likely explains its very high yield. JG's book talked about excluding non-US stocks, and yet his list includes some ADRs. If you start a real dividend MFI portfolio, what will be your criteria?

Marsh_Gerda said...

i would certainly not buy a GNI. I would actually think hard about any trusts as they do not really fit the mold of a company (like Jason's Bubble Gum shop) that can re-invest and expand their profits. Regarding ADRs, I would consider them, but it would limited to certain countries, such as Canada, Switzerland, Germany, Israel and a few others. I did a study once by country and found that only a few countries are thel ones to avoid.