So I took all the stocks I have ever tracked and split them into deciles and ranked them from 1 to 10 with 0 being the very largest stocks to be in the top 50 greater than 100m screen and 10 being the smallest (I know it seems backwards, but I am a bit lazy today). There are actually some stocks smaller than 100m in the list as when I first started I had a lower threshhold.
What I found was a bit surprising. Big stocks did the best. They have been up an average of about 10% per year since starting. The Russell 3000 (for comparison) is up about 5% per year. So that says if you had just run the screen for top 50 over 100m, and then only picked stocks with market caps (note I have not made any inflationary adjustments) your performance would be "satisfactory. Check out the list:
Row Labels | Average of Percent Change | Min of Mkt Cap | Max of Mkt Cap2 |
1 | 9.8% | 5,835 | 262,943 |
2 | 3.2% | 2,572 | 5,798 |
3 | 6.4% | 1,385 | 2,565 |
4 | 3.4% | 928 | 1,385 |
5 | 4.7% | 696 | 927 |
6 | 1.4% | 473 | 694 |
7 | 2.5% | 340 | 473 |
8 | 6.5% | 242 | 340 |
9 | -3.4% | 163 | 241 |
10 | 5.3% | - | 163 |
Grand Total | 4.0% | - | 262,943 |
Montreux Update
I know this isn't the travel channel blog, but I am having such a great time here I wanted to share with my avid followers. This is probably the first time I have truly unplugged in years. Just me. Do whatever the heck I want.
I decided since I am in the Alps, hiking in the mountains and see the vistas seems like a reasonable way to pass the time. My hotel is pretty cool, they gave me a "Montreux Riviera Card" that gives me discounts on a lot of things and free access to public transportation (bus and train) in the region. So I thought I would take a train to Haut De Caux, which looked to be a very scenic spot. But I messed up when I had to change trains, so I decided to try hiking up the mountain. It was very steep (here is a standard picture of stairs, though most of hike was on rugged trails).
I climbed for over two hours, without a map and just one bottle of water. I was pretty sore, tired and thirsty and decided to go just 20 more minutes and if I didn't see a place to stop, I would just backtrack. With eight minutes left, I cam around a bend and there was this wonderful French/Swiss restaurant with a SPECTACULAR view. It was a godsend. I do not know it was because I was hot, sweaty, thirsty and hungry or if the food was just most excellent, but it really hit the spot. So if you are ever in Sonchaux, I would highly encourage you to stop atAuberge de Sonchaux. It was also close to a paraglider school and you could watch paragliders descending into the valley. To the right is the view as I enjoyed my French lunch.
After being refreshed, I was in a great mood as I walked back down the hill. It was a lot easier that seeing my shoelaces on every step (as I had in the climb) and I did take a gentler more circuitous route.
I enjoyed the day so much, that I may try it again (assuming I am not too stiff/sore) tomorrow, albeit with a little more planning. Looking at some brochures, Chamby to Les Avants seems like a reasonable "walk in the woods".
1 comment:
Thanks for the interesting analysis, Marsh. Seems to track the MFI mutual funds. E.g., FNSAX has outperformed the S&P500 and mid-cap index since inception ~1.5 years ago. Enjoy Switzerland!
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