Saturday, June 14, 2014

Weekend Update - Dad's Dance

Weekend Update - Happy Father's Day

If you haven't seen our "Father of the Year" on the Tonight Show yet from Thursday night, you need to check it out. Pretty funny stuff.  Another week is in the book, really starting to be full-fledged summer here in Southern New England.  It was (as I hinted in my previous post) a most excellent week and 2014 is actually starting to look like a solid year.

Here is a table showing my holdings and how they did last week:

Index Stock 5/30/2014 Current Weekly Change Share
1 GTAT         15.99         18.32 14.6% 9.9%
2 GNW         17.95         17.43 -2.9% 7.4%
3 KLIC         14.47         14.45 -0.1% 5.0%
4 BBEP         21.77         22.00 1.1% 4.8%
5 AOD           8.91            8.91 0.0% 4.8%
6 RPXC         16.58         17.13 3.3% 3.7%
7 TZA         15.44         15.21 -1.5% 3.5%
8 RIOM           1.70            2.00 17.6% 3.5%
9 PM         88.33         88.45 0.1% 3.4%
10 ATVI         20.92         21.41 2.3% 3.3%
11 NTC         12.67         12.60 -0.6% 3.3%
12 GPS         42.06         41.10 -2.3% 3.2%
13 CSQ         11.98         11.81 -1.4% 3.1%
14 FSC           9.40            9.35 -0.5% 3.0%
15 TPVG         15.30         15.27 -0.2% 3.0%
16 TGONF           9.91            9.89 -0.2% 2.7%
17 AVG         20.09         20.44 1.7% 2.6%
18 BAC-WTA           7.25            7.17 -1.1% 2.2%
19 SNDK      100.01         98.47 -1.5% 2.2%
20 NADL         10.96         10.97 0.1% 2.1%
21 SYNA         67.74         84.59 24.9% 2.0%
22 IGT         15.71         15.86 1.0% 1.8%
23 AGX         34.08         31.52 -7.5% 1.8%
24 TIME         22.89         23.15 1.1% 1.8%
25 HIG-WT         27.66         27.08 -2.1% 1.7%
26 KLAC         66.97         68.57 2.4% 1.7%
27 GA         11.77         11.76 -0.1% 1.6%
28 WNR         40.04         40.27 0.6% 1.6%
29 CSCO         24.83         24.70 -0.5% 1.3%
30 RCII         29.07         28.59 -1.7% 1.1%
31 CA         29.35         28.94 -1.4% 1.1%
32 CF      245.49       235.24 0.0% 1.1%
33 NSR         26.67         24.37 -8.6% 1.1%
34 FLR         79.40         77.64 -2.2% 1.0%
35 O         44.07         43.85 -0.5% 1.0%
36 OIBAX           6.20            6.18 2.2% 1.0%
37 EDV      103.19       104.05 1.8% 0.6%
38 2.2%

Obviously it helps to have largest holding, GTAT up 14%. But RIOM and SYNA also had monster weeks.  I am now up 12.7% for the year.

MFI Tranches

 My four MFI tranches continue to do very, very well.  The newest one, May 6th 2014, is laggiug a bit, but in aggregate the tranches are smoking, up over 70% since I began and thrashing the bench mark by about 36%.  Here is a table showing month by month progression of cumulative value of my four tranches (assuming I started with $25,000 in each one):

Date Differential Value
12/1/2012 -2.20%       99,765
1/1/2013 -1.78%      102,798
2/1/2013 -2.26%      102,594
3/1/2013 -2.23%      102,881
4/1/2013 -0.43%      106,804
5/1/2013 2.00%      110,423
6/1/2013 4.75%      115,831
7/1/2013 4.29%      114,888
8/1/2013 6.91%      124,799
9/1/2013 10.46%      124,536
10/1/2013 19.67%      138,655
11/1/2013 19.75%      143,514
12/1/2013 23.70%      150,105
1/1/2014 26.63%      157,138
2/1/2014 24.70%      150,619
3/1/2014 25.66%      158,116
4/1/2014 30.38%      162,991
5/1/2014 29.65%      162,428
6/1/2014 32.14%      167,001
Current 36.35%      172,246

As you can see, it just keeps marching upwards.  I know at some point there will be a pullback, but I am enjoying it in the interim.  Here are my four open tranches:

8/15/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CF $187.26 $235.24 $3.00 27.2% 18.2%
FLR $66.06 $77.64 $0.53 18.3% 18.2%
AGX $15.60 $31.52 $0.75 106.9% 18.2%
KLIC $11.29 $14.45 $0.00 28.0% 18.2%
RPXC $15.92 $17.13 $0.00 7.6% 18.2%
Totals 37.6% 18.2%
11/15/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AVG $17.22 $20.44 $0.00 18.7% 8.7%
ATVI $17.71 $21.41 $0.20 22.0% 8.7%
GA $9.04 $11.76 $0.23 32.7% 8.7%
RPXC $17.04 $17.13 $0.00 0.5% 8.7%
SYNA $48.01 $84.59 $0.00 76.2% 8.7%
Totals 30.0% 8.7%
2/1/14 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
ATVI $17.13 $21.41 $0.20 26.2% 8.7%
KLAC $61.47 $68.57 $0.90 13.0% 8.7%
RPXC $16.22 $17.13 $0.00 5.6% 8.7%
SNDK $69.55 $98.47 $0.23 41.9% 8.7%
WNR $39.11 $40.27 $0.52 4.3% 8.7%
Totals 18.2% 8.7%
5/6/2014 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AVG $19.57 $20.44 $0.00 4.4% 3.4%
CA $29.54 $28.94 $0.25 -1.2% 3.4%
CSCO $22.79 $24.70 $0.00 8.4% 3.4%
NSR $25.82 $24.37 $0.00 -5.6% 3.4%
RCII $28.78 $28.59 $0.00 -0.7% 3.4%
Totals 1.1% 3.4%

Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment      25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 37.6% 30.0% 18.2% 1.1% 22.3%
Previous Tranche 14.1% 43.7% 78.3% 33.0% 40.9%
MFI Overall Gain 56.9% 86.9% 110.7% 34.4% 72.2%
Current Balance      39,236       46,725     52,672      33,612    172,246
R3K Current Tranche 18.2% 48.6% 8.7% 3.4% 19.7%
R3K Overall Gain 44.4% 48.6% 31.7% 23.0% 35.9%
R3K Balance      36,109       37,140     32,922      29,722    135,894
Annualized IRR 27.9% 48.6% 72.6% 30.6% 51.3%

You can see my annualized IRR is 51.3%. That is outstanding.

Dividend Portfolio

Of course the joy in this portfolio is seeing the dividends roll in.  So far this quarter (using my multiplier) I have actually had $12,146 show up in my bank account. It becomes real when you see income. I had a bunch of stuff go x-dividend this week: NADLFSC and NTC.

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AOD        14,096         8.03             8.91              9,323.45 19.2% 20.0% -0.8%
BBEP          5,713       16.74           22.00              8,736.99 40.6% 13.6% 27.0%
CSQ          6,905         8.67           11.81            13,141.31 58.1% 54.6% 3.6%
FSC          8,324         9.57             9.35              2,368.90 0.7% 4.0% -3.3%
GPS          2,000       40.55           41.10                           -   1.4% 3.0% -1.6%
NADL          5,000         9.59           10.97              1,200.00 17.0% 1.6% 15.3%
NTC          6,722       12.01           12.60              1,896.44 7.2% 4.8% 2.5%
O              595       20.83           43.85              9,241.39 185.0% 115.0% 70.1%
OIBAX          4,136         5.00             6.18              8,133.26 62.9% 123.4% -60.4%
PM          1,000       78.60           88.45                  940.00 13.7% 4.2% 9.6%
TGONF          7,000       10.27             9.89              2,367.50 -0.4% 18.1% -18.6%
TIME          2,000       22.89           23.15                           -   1.1% -0.8% 1.9%
TPVG          5,029       15.55           15.27              1,958.70 0.7% 2.3% -1.6%
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
Total Open                  59,308 18.3% 15.7% 2.6%
Closed 11.9% 10.8% 1.1%
Combined 13.0% 11.7% 1.4%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 17.8%
2014 Gain 5.5%

I did add TIME to this portfolio this week. I continue to be satisfied with this portfolio.  I have made some huge mistakes in early sells (INTC and SLCA come to mind), but c'est la vie.

 Stock   Shares   Ann Dividend / Share   Yield   Projected Dividend   Worth 
 AOD         14,096         0.68 7.6%                    9,557     125,595
 BBEP           5,713         1.95 8.9%                  11,141     125,691
 CSQ           6,905         1.00 8.5%                    6,905        81,551
 FSC           8,324         1.00 10.7%                    8,324        77,833
 GPS           2,000         0.88 2.1%                    1,760        82,200
 NADL           5,000         0.96 8.8%                    4,800        54,850
 NTC           6,722         0.68 5.4%                    4,598        84,691
 O               595         2.17 4.9%                    1,292        26,112
 OIBAX           4,136         0.29 4.7%                    1,199        25,561
 PM           1,000         3.76 4.3%                    3,760        88,450
 TGONF           7,000         0.60 6.1%                    4,200        69,230
 TIME           2,000         0.80 3.5%                    1,600        46,300
 TPVG           5,029         1.20 7.9%                    6,035        76,793
              
              
              
              
              
              
              
 Total  6.8%                  65,172     964,858

The portfolio is yielding 6.8%.  Obviously some risk has been taken to juice the yield a bit.

Discretionary Portfolio

I did have a few transactions here is week.  I sold my IDCC at the start of the week (good move) and I also sold the swing trade component of GTAT (bad move as it went up another dollar). I bought some TZA as a hedge and I bought IGT yesterday as a speculative play (though with a 3.5% yield I was tempted to call a dividend stock).

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Pct Change R3K Change Diff
BAC-WTA         8,000         5.73                 7.17 25.1% 17.0% 8.1%
EDV             139    101.20            104.05 2.8% 6.0% -3.2%
GNW       11,000         9.16               17.43 90.4% 29.2% 61.2%
GTAT       14,000         8.64               18.32 112.1% 9.0% 103.0%
HIG-WT         1,650       21.24               27.08 27.5% 18.2% 9.3%
IGT         3,000       15.71               15.86 1.0% 0.0% 1.0%
KLIC         7,000       11.48               14.45 25.9% 13.7% 12.2%
RIOM       35,000         2.08                 2.00 -3.8% 3.5% -7.3%
TZA         6,000       15.45               15.21 -1.5% 0.3% -1.8%
        
        
        
        
        
        
Total Open 43.5% 11.3% 32.2%
Closed 3.0% 1.3% 1.7%
Combined 8.6% 2.7% 5.9%

Have a great weekend everyone.  I will follow up later with some MFI specific thoughts and notes from Barrons'


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