Saturday, June 21, 2014

Beach Bound Weekend Update

Weekend Update

Off today (for the first time) to a New England beach.  Looks like a picture perfect day, about 75 degrees, sunny and low humidity.I am taking my 14 year old daughter and her friend. My plan is to take my Kindle and read the third book in Game of Thrones. I may swim a little bit as I think it might be good for my recuperating knee.

Last week (as I have hinted) was another strong week for my portfolio. I was up 1.6% and am now up 14.5% for the year, which essentially is doubling the benchmark.

MFI Tranches

As I posted yesterday, these tranches continue to exceed all expectations, why it is almost magical!  While last year I had the tail winds of MFI investing approach just doing well overall, this year I have just had the good fortune of having good stocks, as MFI has been trailing the benchmark by a point or so.

KLAC has been one stock really on a tear. It is now up about 16% for me.  They were really lifted by INTC giving positive guidance. SYNA was up 8%, AGX was up 8.9% and SNDK was up yet another 3.6%.

So for the year, my MFI tranches are now up 12%, which is double my broader MFI index of 6%.  I know sooner or later I will have some reversion to the mean, but I am enjoying it while I can.

8/15/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CF $187.26 $245.99 $3.00 33.0% 19.9%
FLR $66.06 $78.52 $0.53 19.7% 19.9%
AGX $15.60 $34.33 $0.75 124.9% 19.9%
KLIC $11.29 $14.23 $0.00 26.0% 19.9%
RPXC $15.92 $17.29 $0.00 8.6% 19.9%
Totals 42.4% 19.9%
11/15/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AVG $17.22 $19.75 $0.00 14.7% 10.2%
ATVI $17.71 $22.01 $0.20 25.4% 10.2%
GA $9.04 $11.78 $0.23 32.9% 10.2%
RPXC $17.04 $17.29 $0.00 1.5% 10.2%
SYNA $48.01 $91.35 $0.00 90.3% 10.2%
Totals 32.9% 10.2%
2/1/14 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
ATVI $17.13 $22.01 $0.20 29.7% 10.3%
KLAC $61.47 $70.00 $0.90 15.3% 10.3%
RPXC $16.22 $17.29 $0.00 6.6% 10.3%
SNDK $69.55 $101.98 $0.23 47.0% 10.3%
WNR $39.11 $41.72 $0.52 8.0% 10.3%
Totals 21.3% 10.3%
5/6/2014 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AVG $19.57 $19.75 $0.00 0.9% 4.9%
CA $29.54 $28.73 $0.25 -1.9% 4.9%
CSCO $22.79 $24.83 $0.00 9.0% 4.9%
NSR $25.82 $24.82 $0.00 -3.9% 4.9%
RCII $28.78 $28.57 $0.00 -0.7% 4.9%
Totals 0.7% 4.9%

You will note that my May tranche is off to a slow start.

Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment      25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 42.4% 32.9% 21.3% 0.7% 24.9%
Previous Tranche 14.1% 43.7% 78.3% 33.0% 40.8%
MFI Overall Gain 62.5% 91.1% 116.2% 33.9% 75.9%
Current Balance      40,613       47,776     54,059      33,480    175,928
R3K Current Tranche 19.9% 50.7% 10.3% 4.9% 21.4%
R3K Overall Gain 46.5% 50.7% 33.6% 24.7% 37.4%
R3K Balance      36,620       37,667     33,392      29,722    137,401
Annualized IRR 30.0% 50.0% 74.6% 29.6% 47.4%

My annualized IRR dropped a bit from last week as I found a (gasp) mistake. Still, 47.4% is fine and dandy.

Discretionary Portfolio


By its very definition, this portfolio is always the most actively traded.  This week was no exception as I bought TSL and TLM and I added to my TZA (I guess I am stuck on that letter in alphabet).  The TZA buys have not worked out very well, but recall that was not bought so much as an investment, but rather a hedge.  I am unsure how much longer I will hold it.

On the TSL buy, I did sell calls for my 2nd time ever.  The first was on GTAT, where I sold calls on September 22.00 for $2.40.  If GTAT gets above $22 then, I will be a little bit sad to lose 3,000 shares with my multiplier, but it will be a nice gain.  My calls on TSL were lower, at $13 (also in September).  I got $1.45 for them.  They actually closed a whisker above $13 on Friday, so my work sheet in calculating my returns will ignore any amount over the $13.

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Pct Change R3K Change Diff
BAC-WTA         8,000         5.73                 7.04 22.8% 18.7% 4.1%
EDV             139    101.20            103.24 2.0% 7.5% -5.5%
GNW       11,000         9.16               17.65 92.8% 31.0% 61.7%
GTAT       14,000         8.64               18.30 111.8% 10.6% 101.2%
HIG-WT         1,650       21.24               27.44 29.2% 19.9% 9.3%
KLIC         7,000       11.48               14.23 24.0% 15.3% 8.7%
RIOM       35,000         2.08                 2.30 10.6% 5.0% 5.6%
TLM         6,000       10.66               10.79 1.2% 1.0% 0.2%
TSL         4,000       11.13               13.07 17.5% 0.3% 17.2%
TZA       10,000       15.29               14.20 -7.1% 1.6% -8.7%
        
        
        
        
        
Total Open 37.5% 10.9% 26.6%
Closed 3.0% 1.3% 1.7%
Combined 8.5% 2.8% 5.7%

RIOM had a huge week, up 15%. That really helped!

Dividend Portfolio


While not sexy, I am thrilled with the 6.4% gain for this portfolio in 2014. I am also thrilled by the $28,000 (with multiplier) in dividends paid so far in 2014.  To place that in perspective, I got $26,600 in the first half of 2013.  So it is growing steadily.

NADLBBEP and PM continue to be the stocks I have added recently that have performed very satisfactorily.  It is funny how PM has done well for me (again). I owned this in my dividend portfolio a couple years ago and made about 80% on it.  And now it is up 17% since February.  I think there is some psychological name for the comfort you get in buying a stock that has done well for you in the past. For some reason, you expect it agai. Just like if a stock has burnt you in the past, you can be very very apprehensive to buy it again, irregardless of price.

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AOD        14,096         8.03             8.92            10,119.88 20.1% 21.7% -1.6%
BBEP          5,713       16.74           21.93              8,736.99 40.2% 15.2% 25.0%
CSQ          6,954         8.69           11.94            13,141.31 59.1% 56.2% 2.9%
FSC          8,324         9.57             9.47              2,368.90 2.0% 5.5% -3.6%
GPS          2,000       40.55           41.68                           -   2.8% 4.5% -1.7%
NADL          5,000         9.59           10.94              1,200.00 16.6% 3.1% 13.6%
NTC          6,722       12.01           12.53              1,896.44 6.7% 6.3% 0.4%
O              598       20.92           44.94              9,241.39 188.7% 117.0% 71.6%
OIBAX          4,136         5.00             6.17              8,133.26 62.7% 126.6% -63.8%
PM          1,000       78.60           91.14                  940.00 17.2% 5.6% 11.5%
TGONF          7,000       10.27           10.05              2,367.50 1.1% 19.8% -18.7%
TIME          2,000       22.89           23.06                           -   0.7% 0.7% 0.1%
TPVG          5,128       15.54           15.30              1,958.70 0.9% 3.7% -2.8%
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
Total Open                  60,104 19.1% 17.3% 1.8%
Closed 11.9% 10.8% 1.1%
Combined 13.2% 11.9% 1.2%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 18.0%
2014 Gain 6.4%

My 2014 buys have really turned the corner. Back in mid May, I think the cumulative result of my 2014 purchases was down about $40,000 (with my multiplier). Check it out now!

Date Stock O/C Purchase Current $ Gain % Gain
1/13 KLIC Op 12.01 14.23 4,440 18.5%
1/13 SIRI Cl 3.73 3.37 -5,352 -9.6%
1/14 TC Cl 2.56 2.58 200 0.8%
1/16 C Cl 52.67 47.24 -5,425 -10.3%
1/17 RIOM Op 2.26 2.30 600 1.8%
1/21 FGL Cl 19.75 19.80 200 0.3%
1/21 NTC Op 12.00 12.53 5,371 6.7%
1/24 C Cl 49.22 47.24 -990 -4.0%
1/27 TWM Cl 50.45 50.72 1,100 0.5%
1/31 ATVI Op 17.16 22.01 11,769 29.4%
1/31 KLAC Op 61.35 70.00 6,224 15.6%
1/31 MBUU Cl 17.50 19.18 6,720 9.6%
1/31 RPXC Op 16.13 17.29 2,870 7.2%
1/31 SNDK Op 70.20 101.98 18,211 45.6%
1/31 WNR Op 39.80 41.72 2,447 6.1%
2/10 IEV Cl 46.28 48.08 567 3.9%
2/10 MUSA Cl 39.00 39.04 60 0.1%
2/12 AGII Cl 43.53 44.00 705 1.1%
2/13 FGL Cl 20.08 20.64 1,250 3.1%
2/14 MUSA Cl 39.25 39.04 -105 -0.5%
2/18 FSC Op 9.64 9.47 758 1.7%
2/24 AOD Op 8.33 8.92 2,618 10.5%
2/24 FGL Cl 20.01 20.64 695 3.5%
2/24 KLIC Op 11.52 14.23 4,065 23.5%
2/24 PM Op 78.60 91.14 13,480 17.2%
2/26 CS Cl 30.78 32.19 1,413 4.6%
2/26 FSC Op 9.68 9.47 246 1.3%
2/27 BBEP Op 19.47 21.93 3,121 16.0%
2/27 LMNS Cl 12.94 8.86 -32,900 -31.5%
3/4 RIOM Op 2.24 2.30 600 2.7%
3/6 PXLW Cl 7.39 7.63 2,377 3.2%
3/7 LMNS Cl 12.49 9.36 -25,040 -25.1%
3/7 PXLW Cl 8.90 6.92 -9,920 -22.3%
3/7 TPVG Op 15.55 15.30 700 0.9%
3/10 IWM Cl 119.28 114.07 -656 -4.4%
3/13 CALL Cl 21.20 22.43 2,460 5.8%
3/17 GTAT Cl 17.05 17.54 3,465 2.9%
3/19 LMNS Cl 12.02 10.45 -6,256 -13.0%
3/19 CTCM Cl 9.13 9.53 2,033 4.5%
3/21 CALL Cl 24.13 20.33 -7,600 -15.7%
3/21 CTCM Cl 8.84 9.53 3,467 7.8%
3/28 CALL Cl 20.27 20.11 -320 -0.8%
3/28 GTAT Op 14.82 18.30 10,440 23.5%
4/3 GNW Op 18.39 17.65 -1,480 -4.0%
4/3 TWOU Cl 13.92 13.71 -585 -1.5%
4/7 GTAT Op 16.46 18.30 5,535 11.2%
4/7 SPY Cl 185.98 182.86 -246 -1.7%
4/9 TWOU Cl 12.99 13.71 483 5.5%
4/9 KANG Cl 15.88 15.96 930 0.5%
4/9 GSOL Cl 8.58 8.85 1,100 3.2%
4/10 TZA Cl 17.00 17.38 1,140 2.2%
4/11 FGL Cl 22.57 20.64 -1,930 -8.6%
4/15 GTAT Cl 15.10 15.78 2,720 4.5%
4/15 TZA Cl 17.81 18.41 2,400 3.4%
4/14 EDV Op 101.20 103.24 284 2.0%
4/16 TZA Cl 17.34 17.30 -160 -0.2%
4/21 RIOM Op 1.87 2.30 4,334 23.2%
4/21 TZA Cl 16.92 16.07 -3,428 -5.1%
4/22 FGL Cl 21.96 21.40 -560 -2.6%
4/24 KLAC Cl 67.21 64.19 -2,114 -4.5%
4/28 FGL Cl 20.36 21.58 1,793 6.0%
4/28 GNW Cl 16.76 18.00 2,230 7.4%
4/28 LMNS Cl 8.32 8.56 921 2.8%
4/28 WB Cl 17.55 17.89 1,020 1.9%
4/29 AHL Cl 45.47 45.91 660 1.0%
5/2 HIMX Cl 8.84 7.16 -5,028 -19.0%
5/6 AVG Op 19.57 19.75 269 0.9%
5/6 CA Op 29.54 28.73 -571 -1.9%
5/6 CSCO Op 22.79 24.83 2,689 9.0%
5/6 NSR Op 25.82 24.82 -1,155 -3.9%
5/6 RCII Op 28.78 28.57 -218 -0.7%
5/7 AVG Cl 18.29 19.65 2,710 7.4%
5/9 DTV Cl 87.11 87.21 75 0.1%
5/12 GTAT Cl 13.01 14.10 3,270 8.4%
5/13 FSC Op 9.20 9.47 523 3.8%
5/15 KERX Cl 12.55 13.14 1,770 4.7%
5/20 AMZN Cl 303.05 304.22 176 0.4%
5/21 BAC-WTA Op 6.88 7.04 320 2.3%
5/21 GPS Op 40.55 41.68 2,260 2.8%
5/28 RIOM Op 1.65 2.30 6,528 39.6%
5/28 NADL Op 9.59 10.94 7,975 16.6%
6/2 TBT Cl 61.72 63.00 2,550 2.1%
6/3 IDCC Cl 45.31 48.28 2,493 6.6%
6/5 GTAT Cl 16.02 17.15 3,390 7.1%
6/9 TIME Op 22.89 23.06 340 0.7%
6/12 TZA Op 15.45 14.20 -7,470 -8.1%
6/13 IGT Cl 15.71 15.97 789 1.7%
6/16 TZA Op 15.06 14.20 -3,424 -5.7%
6/17 TLM Op 10.66 10.79 780 1.2%
6/18 TSL Op 11.13 13.07 7,780 17.5%
Grand Total 29.15 63,974


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