Friday, August 31, 2012

Solid August

Solid August. Last day was very good. My new mfi portfolio was up about 1.3%, helped by a strong move in nsu. I do not have my dividend number (I am heading on a three day holiday). The " surprise" purchase on intel worked well ( for the first day at least) as intel went up about three percent as they announced that new chips will be able to recharge devices wirelessly. It was funny, I had seen this news the day befor, so I am surprised it was "news" today.

SAI did not go up as much as I had hoped (about four percent), but still a gain is a gain... Just means my reinvested divvies will be getting new shaw cheaper. Finally, Fcx made a strong move as any basic resource stock worth it's salt was up over three percent as we begin to expect another jelly donut from chairman Ben.

Thursday, August 30, 2012

SAI to Split

Sometimes you just need a catalyst. I added SAI to my dividend portfolio back in March (clearly too early). It has languished and I am down 8% from my initial investment. But today they announced earnings and with the announcement they stated they will split into two companies, not really clear on how that will happen... But the stock is up 9% during happy hour. SAI is my eighth largest holding in my divided portfolio. Shame I did not add them to my new mfi portfolio.  I have had a buy order in on them since may 24th should the price drop to 9.43. Looks like I should have set the bar a bit higher as 10.50 was as low as they got and they are now pushing $13.

Funny,  I had placed three buy orders way back then in may, and while the SAI has not gotten filled, I just saw that Intel got filled today!  I often do that, place a buy order at ten percent below the current price in the event of a flash crash or something.  I got the INTC at 24.21... I guess that was about a five percent savings.


Sunday, August 26, 2012

Weekend Update - August 26 2012

Beautiful Sunday here in the Nutmeg State.  Can't say I am crazy about the nickname of my state being "Nutmeg".  Not that the "Hoosier" State was necessarily better.

Things are good as we roll towards Labor Day.  As people may have noted, I have moved a bit more into cash through the summer rally that gets no respect.  Let me give you a few statistics, first on my dividend portfolio:

Dividend Portfolio


Current Portfolio













Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
BHK          2,199      12.70        15.01         1,961 25.2% 4.2% 21.0%
CPL          1,575      22.61        22.31         1,882 4.0% 15.8% -11.9%
CSCO          4,230      17.19        19.20            825 12.8% 5.5% 7.3%
CSQ          5,330        8.23         9.94         3,739 29.3% 20.8% 8.5%
ENH          2,000      34.80        37.28              -   7.1% 3.3% 3.8%
FCX          1,021      37.55        36.13            749 -1.8% 9.6% -11.4%
FSC          2,702        9.78        10.43         1,011 10.4% 3.5% 6.9%
HFC          1,069      33.80        38.99         1,117 18.4% 2.1% 16.3%
INTC          1,302      19.74        24.91         1,559 32.3% 22.7% 9.6%
JPM          1,661      35.18        37.17            494 6.5% 5.4% 1.1%
JQC          4,080        9.09         9.44         3,559 13.4% 5.0% 8.4%
KMF          1,817      21.86        28.35         2,847 36.8% 17.1% 19.7%
KSS             629      48.15        52.50            199 9.7% 3.8% 5.9%
KSW        10,673        3.74         3.94         5,073 17.8% 19.6% -1.8%
MPC             579      43.88        48.75            343 12.4% 3.1% 9.4%
MSFT             965      26.83        30.56         1,267 18.8% 14.5% 4.3%
O             548      19.01        42.35         7,048 190.4% 67.6% 122.8%
OIBAX          3,837        4.90         6.46         6,273 65.3% 67.5% -2.2%
PGR          2,000      20.48        19.76              -   -3.5% 3.9% -7.4%
PRE          1,032      61.96        74.01         2,186 22.9% 9.6% 13.2%
PVD             417      64.11        89.87         2,737 50.4% 17.3% 33.1%
SAI          3,926      13.05        11.76            821 -8.3% -0.1% -8.2%
STO          1,040      23.82        25.16         1,121 10.2% 19.0% -8.9%
TROX          2,023      24.12        26.74            500 11.9% 3.6% 8.3%
VIVHY          2,296      16.70        19.50         3,749 26.5% 2.5% 24.1%
WBK             508    105.89      128.84         6,166 33.1% 15.0% 18.1%
























Total Open

       57,228 18.3% 10.5% 7.8%
Closed



10.6% 8.7% 1.8%
Combined


13.4% 9.4% 4.0%
IRR Since 12/31/10


14.6%

2012 Gain


18.0%

















Estimated Dividends for Next 12 Months











Stock Shares Ann Dividend / Share Yield Projected Dividend Sector Worth
BHK          2,199  $    0.88 5.8%         1,926 Bond         33,004
CPL          1,575  $    1.54 6.9%         2,425 Utility         35,135
CSCO          4,230  $    0.56 2.9%         2,369 Tech         81,208
CSQ          5,330  $    0.84 8.5%         4,477 Hybrid         52,975
ENH          2,000  $    1.24 3.3%         2,480 Insurance         74,560
FCX          1,021  $    1.24 3.4%         1,266 Resources         36,877
FSC          2,702  $    1.15 11.0%         3,107 Hybrid         28,185
HFC          1,069  $    0.90 2.3%            962 Resources         41,691
INTC          1,302  $    0.92 3.7%         1,198 Tech         32,432
JPM          1,661  $    1.20 3.2%         1,993 Finance         61,735
JQC          4,080  $    0.80 8.5%         3,264 Hybrid         38,511
KMF          1,817  $    1.72 6.1%         3,125 Pipelines         51,501
KSS             629  $    1.28 2.4%            805 Consumer         33,002
KSW        10,673  $    0.20 5.1%         2,135 Construction         42,004
MPC             579  $    1.40 2.9%            811 Resources         28,227
MSFT             965  $    0.80 2.6%            772 Tech         29,504
O             548  $    1.72 4.1%            943 Services         23,208
OIBAX          3,837  $    0.34 5.2%         1,301 Bond         24,787
PGR          2,000  $    0.41 2.1%            820 Insurance         39,520
PRE          1,032  $    2.56 3.5%         2,641 Insurance         76,362
PVD             417  $    5.13 5.7%         2,140 Finance         37,494
SAI          3,926  $    0.48 4.1%         1,884 Services         46,168
STO          1,040  $    0.98 3.9%         1,019 Resources         26,162
TROX          2,023  $    1.25 4.7%         2,528 Resources         54,082
VIVHY          2,296  $    1.30 6.7%         2,985 Consumer         44,772
WBK             508  $    8.13 6.3%         4,126 Finance         65,394








































Total

4.7%        53,500
   1,138,500

All-in-all, doing well, though I have watered down the annual dividend a bit with some of my recent sales (PM, LNC and SBS). Still, solid performance, up 18% on the year (I show the Russell 3k up about 13%). My open stocks are winning by over 7 points and all stocks are winning by 4%. Four points doesn't sound like a lot per year, but compounded it can start to add up to real money.

MFI Portfolio


August 15 Tranche  









Stock Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
DLB $34.43 $33.97 $0.00 -1.3% 0.5%
KFY $13.98 $14.49 $0.00 3.6% 0.5%
MSFT $30.19 $30.56 $0.00 1.2% 0.5%
NSU $3.62 $3.98 $0.00 10.1% 0.5%
UIS $19.96 $21.16 $0.00 6.0% 0.5%
Totals


3.9% 0.5%

Funny, I am emotionally happy to be back in MFI.  I just think for me it is very important to not meddle, but rather let the formula work and try to make solid picks at the outset.  I do think my intent of picking stocks above $500m in market cap will lift me out of some of the volatility that ate me away before. Then I do have 2 of my 5 stocks (MSFT and NSU) that qualify for the dividend side of MFI.  So we will see how it goes and in a month I will start thinking about my mid November Tranche.

Happy Sunday everyone!