Saturday, January 14, 2012

Saturday Morning Thoughts

Jubak Picks for 2012

As my readers know, I read Jim Jubak regularly as he is a pretty smart guy. He updated his stock picks yesterday (10 stocks for the next ten years 2012 edition–my annual update of my long-term Jubak Picks 50 portfolio). What was interesting to me was his five new picks for the next ten years: LYSCF, HMIN, PXD, WY and AUY. The clear trend in these picks is that four of them are related to basic materials.

To me, this is a clear signal that JJ is concerned about inflation as he looks over a ten year horizon. I have put AUY and WY on my close watch list and I have actually put in buy orders for both of them should they decline about 5%.

Smart Money Magazine

I subscribe to Smart Money and the issue I got yesterday had a stock screen dedicated to closed end funds. They commented how closed end funds often trade at a discount to NAV, which can improve your yield. As my faithful readers know, I own 4 CEFs: BHK, JQC, CSQ and KMF. Interestingly, SM did comment positively about KMF.

As you can see from below, my CEFs have generally performed well:

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
BHK 2,908 12.54 13.80 1,283 13.5% -3.7% 17.2%
CSQ 5,065 8.16 8.73 1,205 9.9% 11.7% -1.7%
JQC 4,483 8.85 8.36 1,598 -1.5% -1.1% -0.3%
KMF 1,760 21.68 25.41 1,330 20.7% 7.9% 12.7%

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