The January 28th 2011 monthly tracking portfolio (top 50 stocks over 100m) came of age on Friday. It was another loser. The portfolio in total was down 7.6% whilst the Russell 3000 was up 4.9%. All-in-all a stomping. That makes it the 13th straight portfolio to lose. The next 6 are losing as well, but then the final 5 are ahead.
Listing of 50 Stocks
| Stock | Initial Price | End Price | Percent Change | Mkt Cap |
| VPHM | 16.50 | 29.85 | 80.9% | 1,335 |
| AGX | 9.00 | 14.41 | 60.1% | 131 |
| CNU | 4.00 | 6.38 | 59.5% | 262 |
| LO | 70.89 | 107.48 | 51.6% | 11,364 |
| PDLI | 4.46 | 6.40 | 43.5% | 706 |
| RIGL | 6.82 | 9.71 | 42.4% | 363 |
| HRB | 11.96 | 16.77 | 40.2% | 4,000 |
| APOL | 41.02 | 54.46 | 32.8% | 6,054 |
| MRX | 24.76 | 32.20 | 30.0% | 1,526 |
| DELL | 13.15 | 16.74 | 27.3% | 25,941 |
| CNXT | 2.05 | 2.40 | 17.1% | 170 |
| TSRA | 17.11 | 19.90 | 16.3% | 1,070 |
| GME | 20.98 | 24.32 | 15.9% | 3,189 |
| CMTL | 27.13 | 30.89 | 13.9% | 829 |
| PPD | 60.26 | 66.50 | 10.4% | 609 |
| DLX | 23.23 | 25.45 | 9.6% | 1,310 |
| MFW | 23.96 | 26.00 | 8.5% | 483 |
| MSFT | 27.03 | 29.23 | 8.1% | 242,595 |
| PRSC | 14.24 | 15.18 | 6.6% | 192 |
| TER | 16.23 | 16.95 | 4.4% | 2,965 |
| RTN | 47.71 | 48.64 | 1.9% | 18,635 |
| SNDK | 46.80 | 46.70 | -0.2% | 12,035 |
| STRA | 114.77 | 110.15 | -4.0% | 1,631 |
| VALU | 12.26 | 11.42 | -6.9% | 132 |
| USMO | 15.74 | 14.27 | -9.3% | 387 |
| ELNK | 8.28 | 7.20 | -13.0% | 935 |
| TNAV | 8.95 | 7.77 | -13.2% | 311 |
| UNTD | 6.62 | 5.74 | -13.3% | 629 |
| CSGS | 19.26 | 16.31 | -15.3% | 666 |
| PETS | 14.29 | 12.08 | -15.5% | 350 |
| IPXL | 23.39 | 19.05 | -18.6% | 1,504 |
| IDCC | 46.87 | 38.05 | -18.8% | 2,145 |
| GTAT | 10.88 | 8.75 | -19.6% | 1,686 |
| UIS | 27.65 | 20.42 | -26.1% | 1,222 |
| OSK | 37.39 | 25.41 | -32.0% | 3,393 |
| ARO | 24.34 | 16.48 | -32.3% | 2,218 |
| AOL | 23.82 | 16.07 | -32.5% | 2,579 |
| LINC | 14.55 | 8.70 | -40.2% | 351 |
| CHKE | 17.22 | 10.28 | -40.3% | 164 |
| VECO | 43.24 | 24.37 | -43.6% | 1,786 |
| COCO | 5.44 | 2.95 | -45.8% | 500 |
| LHCG | 27.56 | 14.85 | -46.1% | 522 |
| LPS | 31.17 | 16.78 | -46.2% | 2,925 |
| AFAM | 34.81 | 18.70 | -46.3% | 329 |
| CECO | 22.62 | 10.66 | -52.9% | 1,897 |
| NEP | 5.32 | 2.33 | -56.2% | 161 |
| PWER | 10.39 | 4.53 | -56.4% | 1,105 |
| CRME | 6.64 | 2.35 | -64.6% | 420 |
| AMED | 35.35 | 10.04 | -71.6% | 1,026 |
| SCEI | 6.59 | 1.30 | -80.3% | 112 |
All Portfolios Back to January 2006
| Average of Percent Change | ||
| Date | Total | IWV |
| 1/6/2006 | 16.0% | 10.9% |
| 2/17/2006 | 21.2% | 14.6% |
| 3/29/2006 | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| 4/7/2006 | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| 5/12/2006 | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| 5/31/2006 | 29.2% | 23.3% |
| 6/30/2006 | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| 7/31/2006 | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| 8/31/2006 | 13.0% | 13.3% |
| 9/28/2006 | 12.7% | 14.6% |
| 10/27/2006 | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| 11/29/2006 | -0.3% | 4.8% |
| 12/28/2006 | -6.9% | 3.4% |
| 1/26/2007 | -10.2% | -6.6% |
| 2/27/2007 | -3.7% | -1.0% |
| 3/26/2007 | -9.8% | -5.5% |
| 4/27/2007 | -10.9% | -5.0% |
| 5/29/2007 | -11.5% | -6.3% |
| 7/3/2007 | -30.0% | -15.6% |
| 7/30/2007 | -19.9% | -11.5% |
| 8/30/2007 | -12.5% | -8.7% |
| 9/27/2007 | -19.0% | -18.2% |
| 11/2/2007 | -40.4% | -34.3% |
| 11/28/2007 | -40.1% | -38.3% |
| 12/28/2007 | -36.3% | -40.0% |
| 1/25/2008 | -36.4% | -35.9% |
| 2/26/2008 | -51.7% | -41.5% |
| 3/24/2008 | -40.9% | -36.8% |
| 4/25/2008 | -25.6% | -31.0% |
| 5/28/2008 | -22.2% | -33.6% |
| 7/2/2008 | -11.7% | -25.3% |
| 7/29/2008 | -10.5% | -20.9% |
| 8/29/2008 | -13.8% | -17.9% |
| 9/26/2008 | -4.3% | -10.0% |
| 10/31/2008 | 18.7% | 13.9% |
| 11/26/2008 | 50.9% | 27.7% |
| 12/26/2008 | 48.9% | 32.3% |
| 1/23/2009 | 59.3% | 36.4% |
| 2/27/2009 | 92.8% | 55.6% |
| 3/27/2009 | 85.8% | 48.1% |
| 4/24/2009 | 69.7% | 45.8% |
| 5/29/2009 | 31.8% | 22.8% |
| 6/29/2009 | 21.3% | 24.0% |
| 7/29/2009 | 19.5% | 15.9% |
| 8/28/2009 | 7.4% | 8.8% |
| 9/25/2009 | 12.6% | 12.4% |
| 10/30/2009 | 22.7% | 18.3% |
| 11/27/2009 | 24.3% | 13.6% |
| 12/31/2009 | 23.7% | 18.1% |
| 1/22/2010 | 19.0% | 20.6% |
| 2/26/2010 | 18.6% | 23.6% |
| 3/25/2010 | 10.0% | 15.4% |
| 4/23/2010 | 7.1% | 11.4% |
| 5/28/2010 | 19.3% | 25.4% |
| 6/29/2010 | 16.7% | 25.7% |
| 7/29/2010 | 5.4% | 20.1% |
| 9/2/2010 | 7.3% | 10.1% |
| 9/24/2010 | -4.3% | 0.3% |
| 10/29/2010 | -2.9% | 10.4% |
| 11/26/2010 | -8.5% | 1.4% |
| 1/3/2011 | -11.4% | 0.1% |
| 1/28/2011 | -7.6% | 4.9% |
| 2/25/2011 | -7.9% | 1.0% |
| 3/24/2011 | -6.5% | 1.6% |
| 4/21/2011 | -9.5% | -0.9% |
| 5/27/2011 | -3.7% | -0.7% |
| 6/24/2011 | -1.8% | 4.1% |
| 7/29/2011 | 0.2% | 2.7% |
| 8/26/2011 | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| 9/30/2011 | 23.8% | 17.9% |
| 10/28/2011 | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| 11/25/2011 | 19.9% | 14.7% |
| 12/29/2011 | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Grand Total | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Closed | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Open | 3.0% | 5.6% |
The Way I Keep Score
I track results by looking at dollars as percentages can be misleading. So I track where you would be today if you invested $100,000 equally over 1st 12 months.
| Category | Value |
| Total | 116,309 |
| Total New | 110,594 |
| Total Dividend | 229,048 |
| Total Russell 3K | 116,548 |
So the Russell 3k and the MFI are at a deadheat, both up about 16%. I also show two other "sub" portfolios of the tracking portfolios. The first is "new", which only includes stocks not in the past 12 monthly portfolios. Then "dividend" is all stocks with a 2.6% dividend (per Yahoo) or better at the start. As you can see, the dividend approach has been quite good. Here is how the dividend sub portfolio did (up 3.7%):
| Stock | Initial Price | End Price | Percent Change |
| LO | 70.89 | 107.48 | 51.6% |
| PDLI | 4.46 | 6.40 | 43.5% |
| HRB | 11.96 | 16.77 | 40.2% |
| DLX | 23.23 | 25.45 | 9.6% |
| RTN | 47.71 | 48.64 | 1.9% |
| STRA | 114.77 | 110.15 | -4.0% |
| VALU | 12.26 | 11.42 | -6.9% |
| USMO | 15.74 | 14.27 | -9.3% |
| ELNK | 8.28 | 7.20 | -13.0% |
| UNTD | 6.62 | 5.74 | -13.3% |
| PETS | 14.29 | 12.08 | -15.5% |
| CHKE | 17.22 | 10.28 | -40.3% |
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