Wednesday, May 26, 2010

Stocks Getting Cheaper?

Every month or so, I crank up my "MFI Cruncher" spreadsheet and calculate the earnings yield and return on capital on the top 30 stocks. Actually, this time I am also going to start doing the top 50. I wish I had used the top 50 all the way as I feel it is a more robust sample. But back when I started, I didn't have the cruncher, and it is time-consuming by hand. I have used the median Earnings yield as the best metric to compare portfolios period to period. As I move to top 50, I think the average will also be a good yardstick. Return on capital, doesn't really measure "cheapness", as you recall from the book its purpose is to find good companies.

Here are the top stocks, in descending order:

Stock EY ROC EY Rank ROC Rank Sum
SNTA 127% 2699% 1 2 3
IDCC 32% 1778% 4 3 7
BDSI 72% 1123% 2 6 8
SNTS 28% 1218% 6 5 11
ELNK 45% 524% 3 12 15
PDLI 20% 213023% 16 1 17
UEPS 23% 1263% 13 4 17
SOLR 26% 744% 9 9 18
SMED 28% 235% 7 18 25
IMMU 17% 793% 19 8 27
CEU 27% 196% 8 21 29
OSK 25% 254% 12 17 29
MRX 17% 741% 21 10 31
CHOP 26% 178% 10 22 32
CSKI 32% 129% 5 28 33
PPD 20% 197% 15 20 35
UIS 26% 170% 11 24 35
CHKE 12% 854% 29 7 36
LO 15% 684% 26 11 37
AMED 16% 257% 22 16 38
PRSC 16% 323% 25 14 39
ENDP 16% 282% 24 15 39
EME 21% 149% 14 26 40
UNTD 16% 227% 23 19 42
CNU 18% 153% 17 25 42
USMO 10% 513% 30 13 43
VPHM 17% 173% 20 23 43
CBPO 17% 128% 18 29 47
SOHU 14% 139% 27 27 54
CBI 14% 89% 28 30 58



EY ROC
26-May Median 19.9% 269%
30-Apr Median 16.8% 551%
3/19/10 Median 15.6% 321%
2/19/10 Median 18.8% 329%
11/06/09 Median 16.1% 229%
07/31/09 Median 19.7% 212%
04/16/09 Median 27.1% 228%

So you can see that on a median basis, the stocks are the cheapest since last June. Then here are the stats on the top 50, I will start tracking these regularly as well.


Rank ``` EY ROC Total Mkt Cap
1 SNTA 127% 2699% 4 119
2 IDCC 32% 1778% 8 1,113
3 BDSI 72% 1123% 9 61
4 SNTS 28% 3766% 9 172
5 ELNK 45% 524% 15 923
6 SOLR 26% 744% 19 772
7 PDLI 20% 213023% 22 982
8 UEPS 23% 1263% 22 621
9 SMED 28% 235% 28 82
10 OSK 25% 254% 32 3,019
11 CEU 27% 196% 35 123
12 IMMU 17% 1234% 35 240
13 USMO 31% 170% 38 310
14 CHOP 26% 178% 40 281
15 MRX 17% 741% 41 1,438
16 CSKI 32% 129% 44 213
17 PPD 20% 197% 44 460
18 UIS 26% 170% 45 941
19 LO 15% 684% 48 11,296
20 AMED 16% 257% 50 1,358
21 ENDP 16% 282% 51 2,404
22 PRSC 16% 323% 51 241
23 UNTD 16% 227% 54 563
24 CHKE 12% 854% 54 183
25 EME 21% 149% 55 1,658
26 PVSW 14% 433% 56 81
27 APOL 15% 215% 58 8,286
28 VALU 13% 453% 59 195
29 CNU 18% 153% 59 228
30 MHP 10% 513% 60 8,852
31 VPHM 17% 173% 60 1,055
32 TNDM 24% 102% 61 451
33 AFAM 15% 205% 61 338
34 UTA 24% 92% 62 142
35 ARO 18% 153% 62 2,577
36 IPXL 25% 80% 63 1,296
37 GME 19% 107% 65 3,389
38 FWLT 18% 116% 66 2,984
39 RGR 20% 94% 66 305
40 NSR 14% 196% 67 1,595
41 DLX 14% 205% 67 1,057
42 AHCI 19% 103% 67 119
43 CBPO 17% 128% 68 305
44 FLL 18% 71% 76 56
45 SOHU 14% 139% 77 1,673
46 TTT -65% 193% 78 290
47 CBST 13% 150% 80 1,391
48 SHE 9% 127% 89 260
49 CBI 14% 89% 90 1,859

Grand Total 21% 235492% 2,470 68,357


















5/26/2010 Median 18.1% 197.1%
563
5/26/2010 Average 21.4% 4806.0%
1,395

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