Saturday, May 01, 2010

Oshkosh by Gosh!



I bought a new stock yesterday, OSK. They specialize in making military vehicles, school buses and other specialty vehicles. They are new to the mechanical portfolio this weekend. With their purchase, I am now 100% invested in MFI, which is a clear signal for a stock market crash! (note I do have some hedging approaches in my non-MFI portfolio).

They just finished up an incredible four quarters, obviously they have been busy building for the military. That is why they are on the list, check out OSK's statistics:



osk
+ Operating Income After Depreciation 1,001.70
- Minority Interest - Income Account (0.40)
= Income for Calculation 1,002.10

Diluted Shares Outstanding 90.919

Share Price 38.62
+ Market Cap Calc 3,511.29
+ Preferred Capital -
+ Debt in Current Liabilities 0.90
+ Long-Term Debt 1,615.40

Cash and Short-Term Investments 844.90
- Excess Cash 604.10
= Enterprise Value 4,523.49






+ Property Plant and Equipment - Net 394.40
+ Receivables 788.40
+ Inventories 851.70
+ Other Current Assests 138.90
+ Working Cash 240.80
- Accounts Payable 979.90
- Current Liabilities - Other 1,039.90
= Invested Capital 394.40
Earnings Yield 22%
ROIC 254%


I have updated my inception-to-date performance graph. Note I am in Magenta and the green line represents break-even.



I did find a mistake, in that I had not given my two benchmarks (Russell 3000 and Russell 2000) credit for their dividends the past three quarters. I was a bit lazy and instead of putting them back into history, I placed them in the current week.

I do have HCKT coming up for sale this week. So I will not be 100% invested for long. Not sure what I'll buy, I will likely wait until next weekend and see if anything new is on the list and also I am keeping MD on my short list.

Holdings:

Data
Purchase Date Symbol Initial Price Current Price Avg of Gain Avg of IWV Gain
5/7/09 HCKT $2.30 $2.81 22.2% 34.6%
5/21/09 UEPS $12.50 $16.43 31.4% 36.9%
5/29/09 UTA $7.90 $9.13 15.6% 31.9%
WILC $2.12 $6.07 186.3% 31.9%
6/9/09 CHCG $1.12 $0.41 -63.4% 28.6%
FRX $23.10 $27.26 18.0% 28.6%
PFE $14.13 $16.72 21.9% 28.6%
6/12/09 ENDP $16.72 $21.90 31.0% 28.0%
7/21/09 TTT $8.92 $15.97 79.1% 26.8%
7/27/09 GIGM $5.02 $3.01 -40.0% 23.0%
RTN $45.61 $58.29 30.0% 23.0%
7/30/09 BIOC $3.70 $4.97 34.3% 22.5%
BR $16.53 $23.81 46.6% 22.5%
CBI $13.62 $23.44 72.1% 22.5%
8/14/09 BKE $26.66 $36.18 44.7% 20.0%
8/18/09 PVSW $4.96 $4.98 0.4% 21.8%
8/26/09 CEU $5.40 $4.85 -10.2% 17.2%
8/27/09 GTLS $19.50 $22.99 17.9% 17.1%
9/8/09 AMED $35.86 $57.58 60.6% 17.4%
9/21/09 WTW $26.00 $26.57 4.2% 12.5%
9/22/09 QCOR $5.42 $9.77 80.3% 11.7%
9/28/09 TTT $10.28 $15.97 55.4% 12.9%
9/30/09 JCOM $23.00 $24.08 4.7% 13.5%
PRIM $7.30 $7.90 8.9% 13.5%
10/2/09 KSW $3.60 $3.64 3.9% 17.1%
10/14/09 LIWA $7.39 $8.78 18.8% 9.7%
10/22/09 AGX $12.31 $11.36 -7.7% 9.9%
10/30/09 CMFO $4.30 $6.16 43.3% 16.5%
RGR $10.59 $16.69 59.1% 16.5%
11/3/09 ESI $93.61 $101.13 8.0% 15.4%
11/17/09 IDCC $23.62 $27.67 17.1% 8.5%
11/20/09 QKLS $5.75 $5.75 0.0% 10.5%
12/2/09 TSRA $23.92 $20.28 -15.2% 8.7%
12/4/09 CBPO $9.15 $12.41 35.6% 8.8%
12/18/09 CF $89.45 $83.67 -6.5% 8.9%
12/21/09 CYTK $2.59 $3.22 24.3% 8.9%
1/5/10 SHE $5.31 $8.47 59.5% 6.6%
1/14/10 TRMS $2.46 $2.42 -1.6% 4.5%
1/20/10 RAI $53.55 $53.42 1.4% 4.5%
1/29/10 GXDX $31.69 $38.79 22.4% 9.9%
2/5/10 UIS $34.07 $28.02 -17.8% 13.6%
2/23/10 CSKI $15.45 $14.17 -8.3% 9.1%
2/27/10 TNDM $15.31 $16.95 10.7% 9.8%
3/1/10 ODSY $17.72 $20.83 17.6% 7.5%
UIS $35.22 $28.02 -20.5% 7.5%
3/8/10 DNB $69.93 $76.97 10.1% 4.4%
3/12/10 KSW $3.90 $3.64 -4.1% 3.2%
PRSC $14.35 $16.61 15.7% 3.2%
3/18/10 KSW $3.65 $3.64 2.5% 3.0%
4/12/10 NEWN $8.20 $8.27 0.9% -0.3%
4/21/10 CCME $12.57 $13.04 3.7% -1.7%
4/30/10 OSK $39.33 $38.62 -1.8% -1.3%
Grand Total $18.97 $21.42 19.7% 14.8%
Actual Totals (adj as all purchase not equal $) 17.6% 13.7%

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