Tuesday, April 06, 2010

Quick Update from MCO

Traveling with the fam over Easter Break in Orlando. Have a short time here at the airport and thought I'd punch in a quick update... it has been a great vacation. WAIT, not that kind of update, this is the MFI Diary! Seriously though, took the first hot air balloon ride of my life yesterday and I highly recommend it. Just spectacular.

First, a bit on the KHD/TTT + KWG thing. It has worked out very well thus far. What I am doing is I code everything uder TTT (the "new" KHD) and then add in 1 share of KWG.F for every 3.5 shares of TTT (that is the ratio that did end up in my Fidelity Account). As my readers will recall, KHD was at 14.90 a couple days before the split up. Combined the pieces are now north of $17. It seems to be "unlocking" the value as promised. Here are my current holding and how they are doing:

TTT 81%
CBI 82%
WILC 179%
SHE 60%
AMED 60%
BKE 54%
QCOR 62%
UEPS 36%
CMFO 51%
ENDP 41%
HCKT 27%
UTA 26%
BR 31%
RTN 27%
CYTK 31%
IDCC 22%
BIOC 22%
CBPO 20%
RGR 23%
PFE 24%
ESI 22%
GXDX 15%
UIS 8%
FRX 32%
AGX 11%
GTLS 10%
PRSC 7%
LIWA 12%
ODSY 8%
DNB 6%
TNDM 7%
PRIM 9%
CF 3%
PVSW 7%
JCOM 4%
QKLS 3%
RAI 4%
WTW 3%
CEU 1%
CSKI -1%
TRMS -4%
TSRA -13%
KSW -3%
CHCG -59%
GIGM -36%

Then here are all the stocks I have ever bought using the "mechanical" approach. As you can see, I have steadily outperformed the Russell 3000:

Still Own 1













Values



Symbol Date Bought Price Pct Gain IWV Gain Pct Diff
AGX 10/22/09 $12.31 $13.64 10.8% 9.8% 1.0%
AMED 9/8/09 $35.86 $57.43 60.2% 16.8% 43.4%
BIOC 7/30/09 $3.70 $4.51 21.9% 22.4% -0.5%
BKE 8/17/09 $26.66 $38.86 54.0% 22.4% 31.6%
BR 7/30/09 $16.53 $21.27 31.2% 22.4% 8.8%
CBI 7/30/09 $13.62 $24.84 82.4% 22.4% 60.0%
CBPO 12/4/09 $9.15 $10.96 19.8% 8.7% 11.1%
CEU 8/26/09 $5.40 $5.44 0.7% 16.6% -15.9%
CMFO 10/30/09 $4.30 $6.50 51.2% 16.4% 34.8%
CYTK 12/21/09 $2.59 $3.40 31.3% 7.3% 23.9%
DNB 3/8/2010 $69.93 $74.46 6.5% 4.4% 2.1%
ESI 11/3/09 $93.61 $114.36 22.2% 15.2% 6.9%
FRX 6/9/09 $23.10 $30.48 31.9% 28.5% 3.4%
GIGM 7/27/09 $5.02 $3.20 -36.3% 22.9% -59.2%
GTLS 8/27/09 $19.50 $21.44 9.9% 16.5% -6.6%
GXDX 1/29/2010 $31.69 $36.42 14.9% 9.8% 5.2%
HCKT 5/7/09 $2.30 $2.91 26.6% 34.5% -7.9%
IDCC 11/17/09 $23.62 $28.91 22.4% 8.4% 14.0%
JCOM 9/30/09 $23.00 $23.86 3.7% 13.3% -9.6%
ODSY 3/1/2010 $17.72 $19.06 7.6% 7.4% 0.2%
PFE 6/9/09 $14.13 $16.96 23.6% 28.5% -4.9%
PRIM 9/30/09 $7.30 $7.92 9.2% 13.3% -4.2%
PRSC 3/12/2010 $14.35 $15.41 7.4% 3.1% 4.3%
PVSW 8/18/09 $4.96 $5.30 6.9% 21.2% -14.4%
QKLS 11/20/09 $5.75 $5.93 3.1% 10.4% -7.3%
RAI 1/20/2010 $53.55 $54.62 3.7% 4.4% -0.8%
RGR 10/30/09 $10.59 $12.88 22.5% 16.4% 6.2%
RTN 7/27/09 $45.61 $57.07 27.3% 22.9% 4.4%
SHE 1/5/10 $5.31 $8.47 59.5% 5.6% 53.9%
TNDM 2/27/2010 $15.31 $16.37 7.0% 9.7% -2.7%
TRMS 1/14/2010 $2.46 $2.36 -4.1% 4.4% -8.5%
UIS 2/5/2010 $34.07 $37.43 9.9% 13.5% -3.6%

3/1/2010 $35.22 $37.43 6.3% 7.4% -1.1%
UTA 5/29/09 $7.90 $9.94 25.8% 31.8% -5.9%
WTW 9/21/09 $26.00 $26.19 2.8% 12.0% -9.2%














Average Open


19.5% 15.2% 4.4%
Still Own 0













Values



Symbol Date Bought Sold Pct Gain IWV Gain Pct Diff
AHCI 1/5/09 $1.11 $1.73 55.9% 0.2% 55.7%
CKSW 1/5/09 $1.99 $5.52 177.4% 23.3% 154.1%
DBTK 3/16/09 $6.70 $7.05 5.2% 14.7% -9.5%
DELL 2/23/09 $8.55 $9.52 11.3% 6.5% 4.9%

2/27/09 $8.66 $9.52 10.0% 7.4% 2.5%
FRX 6/9/09 $23.10 $29.08 25.9% 11.1% 14.8%
GME 6/22/09 $22.64 $25.76 13.8% 24.5% -10.7%

6/23/09 $20.63 $22.65 9.8% 16.5% -6.7%
JTX 6/29/09 $5.55 $2.20 -60.3% 26.3% -86.6%

6/30/09 $5.41 $2.20 -59.3% 27.0% -86.3%
PFE 6/5/09 $14.46 $16.27 13.6% 11.2% 2.4%
RST 5/7/09 $29.72 $27.00 -9.2% 0.2% -9.3%

5/8/10 $28.78 $27.00 -6.2% -22.8% 16.6%
SEPR 8/17/09 $17.86 $23.09 29.3% 1.4% 27.9%
SOLR 2/23/09 $4.70 $8.09 72.1% 6.5% 65.7%
UTA 6/23/09 $8.37 $10.90 30.2% 2.7% 27.5%
VM 6/5/09 $4.38 $5.18 18.3% 4.5% 13.8%

6/23/09 $3.11 $4.33 39.2% 2.7% 36.5%

6/6/09 $4.23 $5.18 22.5% 4.5% 18.0%














Average Closed


21.0% 8.9% 12.2%
Open and Closed

19.6% 13.3% 6.3%

No regrets selling JTX after last earnings, at least I got about $2.25 a share.

No new stocks came on this weekend to the mechanical portfolios that I track (new stocks to top 30 or top 50 in past 52 weeks). It has been a stagnant list of late. Here are the open stocks in top 50 (I need to update some dividends).

Symbol
Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
INFI 4/16/09 5.83 6.00 - 87.08 1.62 2.9% 38.6% -35.6%
CRAY 5/1/09 3.98 6.17 - 87.89 1.62 55.0% 37.3% 17.7%
TWX 5/1/09 22.84 31.99 0.78 87.89 1.62 43.5% 37.3% 6.2%
RST 5/1/09 29.83 25.70 - 87.89 1.62 -13.8% 37.3% -51.1%
ulcm 5/1/09 8.72 10.01 - 87.89 1.62 14.8% 37.3% -22.5%
AAV 5/15/09 3.41 7.18 - 88.71 1.62 110.6% 36.0% 74.5%
AMED 5/29/09 30.43 57.43 - 92.53 1.62 88.7% 30.4% 58.3%
UTA 5/29/09 7.90 9.94 - 92.53 1.62 25.8% 30.4% -4.6%
PFE 6/5/09 14.51 16.96 - 94.55 1.62 16.9% 27.6% -10.7%
VM 6/5/09 4.55 5.50 - 94.55 1.62 20.9% 27.6% -6.7%
ONTY 6/11/09 2.60 3.78 - 95.08 1.62 45.4% 26.9% 18.5%
BPI 6/19/09 16.74 23.82 - 92.04 1.10 42.3% 30.5% 11.8%
GME 6/19/09 22.95 22.51 - 92.04 1.10 -1.9% 30.5% -32.4%
SHAW 7/10/09 23.69 35.73 - 87.96 1.10 50.8% 36.6% 14.2%
RTN 7/24/09 45.39 57.07 0.62 98.06 1.10 27.1% 22.5% 4.6%
CBZ 7/31/09 6.54 6.63 - 98.81 1.10 1.4% 21.6% -20.2%
CBI 7/31/09 13.95 24.84 - 98.81 1.10 78.1% 21.6% 56.5%
DRC 7/31/09 29.11 33.50 - 98.81 1.10 15.1% 21.6% -6.5%
JEC 7/31/09 40.98 45.41 - 98.81 1.10 10.8% 21.6% -10.8%
NPSP 7/31/09 3.89 5.11 - 98.81 1.10 31.4% 21.6% 9.8%
ASGN 7/31/09 4.23 7.56 - 98.81 1.10 78.7% 21.6% 57.1%
AGX 8/7/09 12.35 13.64 - 98.81 1.10 10.4% 21.6% -11.1%
BBND 8/7/09 4.00 3.47 - 98.81 1.10 -13.3% 21.6% -34.8%
LHCG 8/7/09 24.55 34.37 - 98.81 1.10 40.0% 21.6% 18.4%
RGR 8/7/09 11.45 12.88 - 98.81 1.10 12.5% 21.6% -9.1%
PRIM 8/7/09 6.95 7.92 0.05 100.79 1.10 14.7% 19.2% -4.5%
SEPR 8/7/09 18.12 23.00 - 100.79 1.10 26.9% 19.2% 7.7%
CEU 8/21/09 5.10 5.44 - 102.96 1.10 6.7% 16.7% -10.0%
CYTK 8/21/09 3.04 3.40 - 102.96 1.10 11.8% 16.7% -4.8%
CMFO 8/28/09 4.55 6.50 - 102.96 1.10 42.9% 16.7% 26.2%
NAVR 9/4/09 1.79 2.04 - 102.60 1.10 14.0% 17.1% -3.1%
WTW 9/11/09 26.00 26.19 0.35 104.77 1.10 2.1% 14.7% -12.6%
MIPS 9/18/09 3.72 4.75 - 106.72 1.10 27.7% 12.6% 15.1%
ESI 10/30/09 90.35 114.36 - 103.56 0.59 26.6% 15.5% 11.1%
VRSK 10/30/09 27.43 28.16 - 103.56 0.59 2.7% 15.5% -12.9%
APOL 11/6/09 55.99 63.76 - 107.13 0.59 13.9% 11.7% 2.2%
CBST 11/6/09 17.60 23.49 - 107.13 0.59 33.5% 11.7% 21.8%
SNTA 11/6/09 3.20 4.65 - 107.13 0.59 45.3% 11.7% 33.6%
IMMU 11/6/09 3.61 3.59 - 107.13 0.59 -0.6% 11.7% -12.2%
PBH 11/13/09 6.95 9.03 - 109.62 0.59 29.9% 9.1% 20.8%
IDCC 11/20/09 23.56 28.91 - 109.43 0.59 22.7% 9.3% 13.4%
PDLI 11/27/09 6.63 6.35 - 109.57 0.59 -4.2% 9.2% -13.4%
CBPO 12/4/09 9.06 10.96 - 111.01 0.59 21.0% 7.8% 13.2%
XOMA 12/4/09 0.72 0.59 - 111.01 0.59 -18.7% 7.8% -26.5%
SHE 12/31/09 5.15 8.47 - 111.44 - 64.5% 6.8% 57.6%
RAI 1/15/10 53.81 54.62 - 113.64 - 1.5% 4.8% -3.2%
TRMS 1/15/10 2.45 2.36 - 113.64 - -3.7% 4.8% -8.4%
SAI 1/15/10 18.90 17.30 - 113.64 - -8.5% 4.8% -13.2%
NATH 1/28/10 14.70 15.51 - 108.57 - 5.5% 9.6% -4.1%
SMED 2/5/10 6.74 6.59 - 106.66 - -2.2% 11.6% -13.8%
SPMD 2/5/10 36.63 41.12 - 106.66 - 12.3% 11.6% 0.7%
UIS 2/5/10 34.25 37.43 - 106.66 - 9.3% 11.6% -2.3%
QKLS 2/12/10 5.69 5.93 - 108.04 - 4.2% 10.2% -6.0%
MGIC 2/12/10 1.78 2.55 - 108.04 - 43.3% 10.2% 33.1%
ESIC 2/19/10 2.07 2.48 - 111.14 - 19.8% 7.1% 12.7%
ODSY 2/19/10 17.89 19.06 - 111.14 - 6.5% 7.1% -0.6%
HRB 2/26/10 17.28 18.01 - 110.74 - 4.2% 7.5% -3.3%
TNDM 2/26/10 16.12 16.37 - 110.74 - 1.6% 7.5% -5.9%
DEXO 2/26/10 29.80 28.90 - 110.74 - -3.0% 7.5% -10.5%
AFAM 3/5/10 35.52 38.52 - 114.25 - 8.4% 4.2% 4.3%
DNB 3/5/10 69.95 74.46 - 114.25 - 6.4% 4.2% 2.3%
SNTS 3/5/10 4.87 5.53 - 114.25 - 13.6% 4.2% 9.4%
KIRK 3/12/10 20.11 22.26 - 115.46 - 10.7% 3.1% 7.6%
PRSC 3/12/10 14.18 15.41 - 115.46 - 8.7% 3.1% 5.6%
QDEL 3/25/10 13.73 14.18 - 116.58 - 3.3% 2.1% 1.2%






Top 50 Portfolio







Totals 21.9% 3.2% 18.7%
52.8% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed 22.5% -1.7% 24.2%
S&P C

119.04

Open 20.3% 16.9% 3.4%

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