Wow, tomorrow is May 1st. Just crazy. I was down about 1% last week. That was actually good as the benchmark was down 1.6 percent. So I am now up 3.8% for the year - I guess I should be pleased with that. But frankly it is not MFI carrying the water. My MFI select is down 7.2%, MFI Formula is up 2.1% and the MFI Index is basically flat.
Earnings have been pouring in. I touched on a few of them earlier in the week. VDSI announced Thursday night (VASCO Reports Results for First Quarter 2016) and they were decent. This is a cyber security stock that I am less and less excited about.
MFI Select
As I mentioned, this approach is down 7% this year. My most recent tranche is really torpedoed by PERI (down 31%). They announce earnings soon, hopefully that will turn the tide.
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $40.25 | $0.14 | -19.8% | -0.8% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $2.87 | $0.00 | -30.4% | -0.8% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $28.72 | $0.80 | -24.2% | -0.8% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $51.66 | $0.00 | -17.0% | -0.8% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $17.38 | $0.00 | -26.0% | -0.8% |
| Totals | -23.5% | -0.8% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $17.33 | $0.00 | -7.1% | -1.4% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $8.43 | $0.00 | -9.7% | -1.4% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $27.49 | $0.68 | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $23.36 | $0.42 | -6.0% | -1.4% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $19.73 | $0.26 | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| Totals | -5.3% | -1.4% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $19.18 | - | -43.6% | 0.9% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $43.93 | - | 27.4% | 0.9% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $26.91 | - | 41.8% | 0.9% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $21.56 | - | -8.6% | 0.9% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $6.18 | - | 54.9% | 0.9% |
| Totals | 14.4% | 0.9% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $21.56 | $ - | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $50.52 | $ 0.48 | 12.9% | 7.3% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $1.67 | $ - | -31.8% | 7.3% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $17.38 | $ - | 13.3% | 7.3% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $25.30 | $ - | 5.3% | 7.3% |
| Totals | 1.9% | 7.3% | |||
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | -5.3% | 14.4% | 1.9% | -23.5% | -3.0% |
| Previous Tranche | 11.2% | 69.4% | -14.3% | 18.3% | 61.2% |
| Tranche -2 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 33.0% | 24.3% |
| Tranche -3 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 69.9% | 218.1% | 68.8% | 20.4% | 94.3% |
| Current Balance | 42,475 | 79,527 | 42,210 | 30,088 | 194,301 |
| R3K Current Tranche | -1.4% | 0.9% | 7.3% | -0.8% | 1.5% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 56.5% | 59.1% | 42.9% | 33.1% | 47.9% |
| R3K Balance | 39,126 | 39,780 | 35,736 | 33,281 | 147,923 |
| Annualized IRR | 15.4% | 39.7% | 17.5% | 6.4% | 24.0% |
The May tranche will be replaced at the end of the week. Down 23.5%, all I can say is "so long, it's been good to know you".
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| 3/1/2016 | 56.48% | 194,415 | 137,934 |
| 4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
| 5/1/2016 | 46.38% | 194,301 | 147,923 |
My month by month table shows April was nothing great.
MFI Formula
The struggle continues here.
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| 12/1/2015 | -3.48% | 99,443 | 102,926 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,193 |
| 2/1/2016 | -0.72% | 93,797 | 94,319 |
| 3/1/2016 | 4.07% | 98,588 | 94,319 |
| 4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
| 5/1/2016 | -1.91% | 99,774 | 101,687 |
You can see April was bad, going from $102,371 to 99,774. I need to think about why R3K went up in April here, but down in MFI select. Something seems wrong.
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $28.94 | $1.96 | -33.5% | -0.8% |
| CA | $29.34 | $29.66 | $0.75 | 3.6% | -0.8% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $49.87 | $1.03 | 14.6% | -0.8% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $50.52 | $1.44 | -17.5% | -0.8% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $40.90 | $1.20 | -35.0% | -0.8% |
| Totals | -13.5% | -0.8% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $28.94 | $1.73 | -16.7% | 6.5% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $16.59 | $0.30 | -23.1% | 6.5% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $50.52 | $0.96 | -3.7% | 6.5% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $27.49 | $0.68 | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| CA | $27.30 | $29.66 | $0.50 | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| Totals | -5.2% | 6.5% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $32.08 | $0.73 | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| GME | $28.34 | $32.80 | $0.37 | 17.0% | 0.8% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $14.12 | $0.12 | -10.4% | 0.8% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $26.91 | $0.00 | 21.1% | 0.8% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $40.90 | $0.40 | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Totals | 7.4% | 0.8% | |||
| 4/1/16 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CALM | $51.27 | $50.76 | $0.44 | -0.1% | 0.5% |
| HPQ | $12.10 | $12.27 | $0.00 | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| TIME | $15.24 | $14.70 | $0.00 | -3.6% | 0.5% |
| IILG | $13.85 | $14.12 | $0.00 | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| TSRA | $30.79 | $28.72 | $0.00 | -6.7% | 0.5% |
| Totals | -1.4% | 0.5% |
MFI Micro
| 12/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| MGIC | $5.38 | $6.68 | $0.09 | 25.8% | 0.6% |
| BSQR | $6.00 | $6.21 | $0.00 | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| SPCB | $4.52 | $4.09 | $0.00 | -9.5% | 0.6% |
| WLDN | $8.64 | $10.75 | $0.00 | 24.4% | 0.6% |
| MNDO | $2.58 | $2.07 | $0.27 | -9.4% | 0.6% |
| Totals | - | 7.0% | 0.6% |
Surprisingly good.
Dividends and Warrants
This is easily my best group of 2016, up 9.4%.
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | Year End 2015 |
| BAC-WTA | $4.90 | $4.39 | $0.00 | -10.4% | -10.8% | -3.6% |
| AOD | $7.65 | $7.57 | $1.33 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.3% |
| JQC | $7.81 | $7.93 | $0.25 | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| CSQ | $9.03 | $9.87 | $1.70 | 28.1% | 28.4% | 27.3% |
| NTC | $12.07 | $13.62 | $1.45 | 24.9% | 24.9% | 16.1% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $9.83 | $1.52 | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $36.93 | $0.00 | 73.9% | 78.0% | 72.9% |
| O | $23.19 | $59.20 | $18.37 | 234.5% | 234.4% | 205.7% |
| OIBAX | $5.05 | $5.80 | $2.19 | 58.4% | 57.6% | 51.9% |
| SJT | $8.76 | $6.91 | $0.19 | -19.0% | -25.4% | -51.6% |
| REXI | $5.60 | $6.32 | $0.13 | 15.1% | 18.1% | -2.8% |
| Totals | 12.2% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
You can see SJT has really been moving up.
Have a great weekend everyone.
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