Saturday, December 19, 2015

1 For 21

1 For 21

MFI performance continues to lag.  Of the most recent 21 tracking portfolios (12 of which are in progress) only one has/is winning/won.  Wow, that is pretty bad.

3/28/2014 6.1% 12.3%
4/25/2014 8.6% 15.8%
5/30/2014 5.9% 11.7%
6/27/2014 2.5% 9.2%
7/25/2014 3.3% 8.7%
8/29/2014 -2.2% 1.0%
9/26/2014 -0.6% -0.9%
10/31/2014 4.3% 4.4%
11/28/2014 -2.9% 2.9%
12/31/2014 -9.9% -1.5%
1/30/2015 -5.5% 1.2%
2/27/2015 -15.3% -4.2%
3/27/2015 -15.9% -2.8%
4/24/2015 -16.6% -5.4%
5/29/2015 -17.2% -4.9%
6/26/2015 -12.0% -5.0%
7/30/2015 -6.0% -5.0%
8/28/2015 -1.3% 0.4%
9/25/2015 -0.9% 3.4%
10/30/2015 -7.3% -3.4%
11/27/2015 -5.3% -4.3%
Average -4.2% 1.6%


Now, the only solace is that in the past, when we have seen this underperformance, we then get a bounce back.  So I will stay the course.  Just for yucks,  I have added a fourth column to the table showing dividend (>2.6% yield) performance by tracking month.

3/28/2014 6.1% 12.3% 22.2%
4/25/2014 8.6% 15.8% 22.6%
5/30/2014 5.9% 11.7% 12.0%
6/27/2014 2.5% 9.2% 11.7%
7/25/2014 3.3% 8.7% 7.8%
8/29/2014 -2.2% 1.0% 3.3%
9/26/2014 -0.6% -0.9% 11.4%
10/31/2014 4.3% 4.4% 2.7%
11/28/2014 -2.9% 2.9% -9.9%
12/31/2014 -9.9% -1.5% -15.6%
1/30/2015 -5.5% 1.2% -10.1%
2/27/2015 -15.3% -4.2% -17.1%
3/27/2015 -15.9% -2.8% -15.9%
4/24/2015 -16.6% -5.4% -22.1%
5/29/2015 -17.2% -4.9% -18.8%
6/26/2015 -12.0% -5.0% -13.5%
7/30/2015 -6.0% -5.0% -13.5%
8/28/2015 -1.3% 0.4% -2.4%
9/25/2015 -0.9% 3.4% -5.6%
10/30/2015 -7.3% -3.4% -5.2%
11/27/2015 -5.3% -4.3% -6.2%
Average -4.2% 1.6% -3.0%

So the dividend portfolios are the far right column.  In total they have done better than MFI in total, but for the 12 open portfolios, it has been a struggle: down 12.4% on average (versus 9.4% for overall open portfolios).

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