Saturday, March 16, 2013

Happy St Patrick's Weekend!

Changing My Mind

In my post yesterday, I talked about JPM and how any issues from latest stress test and Congressional hearings were short term noise.  I changed my mind.  I become more convinced that JPM does not have as good of controls on their risk as I had thought.  I had had a nice run with them and decided to sell.  They were my 4th largest holding, so it was a major decision.

I also sold my PVD at the end of the day.  Readers will recall I had bought this stock over a year and a half ago, and they were bought by MET at the end of January.  However, the stock price was not really reflecting the buy out price (in part because the price was a combination of cash, sales of Mexican business and the May Dividend and only estimates of the second and third pieces were available).  But when they hit $105 yesterday, that was good enough for me.

So I am flush in cash.  I do have my shopping list ready, and I have added a couple of extra names.  Here is the list:



Stock Amount Yield Dividend Current 11-Feb Change
Total       485,107 5.9%           28,580


CIM          15,399 11.3%             1,743             3.18           3.06 3.9%
O          15,000 4.9%                 728          44.74         43.63 2.5%
STO          15,000 4.0%                 600          24.52         26.19 -6.4%
PRE          15,000 2.8%                 417          92.10         89.00 3.5%
FCX          14,454 3.7%                 535          33.80         35.33 -4.3%
INTC          15,000 4.2%                 632          21.38         21.03 1.6%
CSCO          15,000 2.6%                 383          21.93         21.27 3.1%
SAI          15,000 3.8%                 575          12.53         11.99 4.5%
PSEC          45,000 11.7%             5,265          11.30         11.35 -0.5%
PM          45,000 4.0%             1,800          91.37         90.35 1.1%
BX          45,000 4.0%             1,800          20.89         18.11 15.4%
KKR          45,000 7.0%             3,150          19.51         17.01 14.7%
RIG          45,000 4.2%             1,890          53.56         55.75 -3.9%
GA          30,000 6.7%             2,000             6.28           6.19 1.5%
ABR          32,310 6.2%             2,003             8.21           7.17 14.5%
NEM          32,944 3.5%             1,162          39.68         44.49 -10.8%
TCPC          45,000 8.7%             3,899          16.16         14.49 11.5%

I have already bought the ones in yellow.  The ones at the top are just add-ons to current holdings.  PSEC and down are "new".  No rush on any of these.  I am actually waiting for the market to come back to me a bit.

Current Dividend Portfolio

With my selling off a few of my bigger winners, the differential between my open positions and the benchmark is narrowing.  Although the closed differential is widening.   Here are my current holdings:

 
 
Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AAPL             151        527.49        443.66            397.50 -15.4% 10.7% -26.1%
ABR         4,567            7.19             8.21            540.00 15.8% 2.9% 12.8%
AOD       12,968            3.91             4.11            270.00 5.5% 4.6% 0.9%
BHK         2,282          12.79           14.06        3,283.90 21.1% 16.3% 4.9%
CIM       20,000            2.77             3.18                     -   14.7% 6.1% 8.6%
CSCO         4,292          17.22           21.93        2,013.95 30.1% 18.0% 12.1%
CSQ         5,556            8.30           10.41        6,384.92 39.2% 33.9% 5.3%
FCX         1,560          32.17           33.80            343.75 5.7% 9.0% -3.3%
INTC         1,996          20.99           21.38        2,442.56 7.7% 27.4% -19.7%
JQC         3,157            9.19           10.28        3,972.16 25.6% 16.0% 9.5%
KMF         1,873          22.08           31.71        4,453.63 54.4% 30.3% 24.1%
NEM             809          41.16           39.68            340.00 -2.6% 4.5% -7.1%
O             563          19.61           44.74        7,665.26 197.5% 83.2% 114.4%
OIBAX         3,972            4.95             6.54        6,982.85 67.6% 84.1% -16.5%
PGR         2,118          20.56           25.13        2,596.23 28.2% 15.9% 12.3%
PRE             540          67.59           92.10        1,628.69 40.7% 16.2% 24.6%
RIG             850          52.65           53.56                     -   1.7% 0.4% 1.4%
SAI         4,726          12.83           12.53        1,938.29 0.9% 11.4% -10.5%
STO         1,040          23.82           24.52        1,121.00 7.5% 33.3% -25.8%

           



           



           



           



           



           



           



           



           










Total Open

           46,375 18.6% 17.1% 1.5%
Closed



15.2% 10.8% 4.4%
Combined



16.1% 12.4% 3.7%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10

17.4%

2013 Gain



8.6%


 
As you can see, AAPL and SAI have been the two main albatrosses of my portfolio.

2013 Transactions

As we approach the end of the first quarter, I thought it might be interesting to see how all the stocks I have bought in the calendar year have fared.
 
 
Stock Start Price Current Dividend Change Status
CIM                  2.61             3.18  $                -   21.9%  Open 
GTAT                  3.53             3.68  $                -   4.5%  Closed 
NUGT                10.14          10.19  $                -   0.5%  Closed 
GNW                  8.10          10.49  $                -   29.5%  Open 
SCO                39.46          38.84  $                -   -1.6%  Closed 
CIM                  2.80             3.18  $                -   13.7%  Open 
CDE                23.85          24.42  $                -   2.4%  Closed 
AOD                  3.90             4.11  $           0.03 6.2%  Open 
VECO                33.27          32.85  $                -   -1.3%  Closed 
NUGT                  8.09             8.23  $                -   1.7%  Closed 
NUGT                  7.76             7.87  $                -   1.5%  Closed 
AAPL             450.60        443.66  $           2.65 -1.0%  Open 
GA                  6.10             6.28  $                -   3.0%  Open 
STRZA                16.06          20.94  $                -   30.4%  Open 
CA                25.07          25.44  $           0.25 2.5%  Open 
NUS                41.94          41.10  $           0.30 -1.3%  Open 
CIM                  3.08             3.18  $                -   3.3%  Open 
ABR                  7.18             8.21  $           0.12 16.0%  Open 
SD                  5.74             5.93  $                -   3.3%  Closed 
FCX                32.12          33.80  $                -   5.2%  Open 
AOD                  3.97             4.11  $                -   3.5%  Open 
NUGT                  6.14             5.41  $                -   -11.9%  Open 
NEM                41.18          39.68  $           0.43 -2.6%  Open 
GTAT                  2.73             2.91  $                -   6.6%  Open 
RIG                52.65          53.56  $                -   1.7%  Open 
SD                  5.89             5.63  $                -   -4.4%  Open 
SD                  5.64             5.63  $                -   -0.2%  Open 
           
Total       4.7%  
Average Days held                  27.4  

 
 So on average, my 2013 buys have gained 4.7%. I have held on average 27.3 days.  Hard to tell if that is really good or really bad, but it feels pretty decent to me.

Upcoming Dividends
 
 
Stock Shares x Date Div/Share Est New Shares Amount
AOD       12,968 3/19/13  $         0.03                85.0            350
CIM       20,000 3/27/13  $         0.09              566.0         1,800
OIBAX         3,972 3/31/13  $         0.02                12.0               79
O             563 3/31/13  $         0.18                  2.0            102
CSCO         4,292 4/3/13  $         0.14                27.0            601
CSQ         5,556 4/11/13  $         0.07                37.0            389
SAI         4,726 4/11/13  $         0.12                45.0            567
FCX         1,550 4/11/13  $         0.31                14.0            484
JQC         3,157 4/13/13  $         0.07                21.0            218
BHK         2,282 4/13/13  $         0.07                11.0            167
KMF         1,873 4/18/13  $         0.44                26.0            829
 
 
I will give more updates later this weekend.

No comments: