Saturday, May 09, 2009

New Stocks: MSTR and INT

Two new stocks hit my mechanical top 30 screen this weekend, one is something old (MSTR) and one is something new (INT). I don't think there is anything blue...

MSTR is an old dot com bubble stock that I remember getting to about $300 and then falling to $100 in a single day. Now that was volatilty in those days! Now they are in independent business software firm. For people reading my blog since the early days will know that MSTR was one of my 1st buys ever. I bought them around $80 and sold at $130 a year later. I then actually owned them a second time, between about $65 and $80 as I recall, so two positive round trips for moi. Now they are at about $40! No splits. No quarters of losing money. Just that is the stock markets new valuation. I will be tempted to buy them as they are certainly a buy out target from the big software firms (think Oracle, IBM and SAP).

INT is new to me. They are an unusual MFI stock in that they are basically trading at a 52 week high. Looks like they are in the transport support business, ful, planning trips, helping comapnies manage risk etc. They have a ton of cash and must have a pretty good outlook. It is funny, even though the price of fuel is down (as are their revenues) they are making more money. They look like a company worth considering. Here is my calc for them:



int
+ Operating Income After Depreciation 153.74
- Minority Interest - Income Account 0.17
= Income for Calculation 153.57

Market Cap Yahoo 1,230,000

Share Price 41.90
+ Market Cap Calc 1,230.00
+ Preferred Capital -
+ Debt in Current Liabilities 23.84
+ Long-Term Debt 9.54

Cash and Short-Term Investments 322.45
- Excess Cash 322.45
= Enterprise Value 940.93






+ Property Plant and Equipment - Net 35.33
+ Receivables 676.10
+ Inventories 28.73
+ Other Current Assests 144.87
+ Working Cash -
- Accounts Payable 548.88
- Current Liabilities - Other 178.33
= Invested Capital 157.82
Earnings Yield 16%
ROIC 97%

Then here is a list of how my mechanical portfolio is faring:











Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DTPI 2/2/08 4.75 2.60 0.35 139.58 2.72 -37.9% -38.7% 0.8%
AIRV 2/13/08 5.08 5.57 - 136.37 2.72 9.6% -37.3% 47.0%
CITP 2/16/08 9.98 2.21 - 135.14 2.72 -77.9% -36.7% -41.1%
PRXI 2/16/08 4.29 1.00 - 135.14 2.72 -76.7% -36.7% -39.9%
CAST 2/23/08 5.06 2.83 - 135.62 2.72 -44.1% -40.9% -3.2%
GSB 3/12/08 2.08 0.52 - 131.36 2.72 -75.0% -45.5% -29.5%
IGC 3/12/08 3.70 0.44 - 131.36 2.72 -88.1% -45.5% -42.6%
LGTY 3/12/08 6.70 4.78 0.09 131.36 2.72 -27.3% -45.5% 18.1%
MRX 3/12/08 19.45 10.26 0.12 131.36 2.08 -46.6% -46.0% -0.7%
DEPO 3/22/08 2.74 2.55 - 132.08 2.08 -6.9% -36.4% 29.5%
NVTL 3/22/08 8.98 6.08 - 132.08 2.08 -32.3% -36.4% 4.1%
VRGY 3/22/08 17.42 7.62 - 132.08 2.08 -56.3% -36.4% -19.8%
DLX 4/6/08 19.58 11.70 1.00 136.89 2.08 -35.1% -34.9% -0.3%
NTRI 4/6/08 14.94 14.25 0.70 136.89 2.08 0.1% -34.9% 34.9%
IUSA 4/6/08 5.28 4.77 - 136.89 2.08 -9.7% -34.9% 25.2%
LRCX 4/11/08 41.08 27.81 - 133.38 2.08 -32.3% -33.2% 0.9%
SLXP 4/11/08 6.47 10.88 - 133.38 2.08 68.2% -33.2% 101.3%
CHRD 4/19/08 5.03 3.52 - 138.48 2.08 -30.0% -35.6% 5.6%
QXM 4/26/08 6.26 2.73 - 139.60 2.64 -56.4% -36.0% -20.4%
MDP 5/9/08 33.79 28.51 0.65 138.90 2.64 -13.7% -31.2% 17.4%
OMPI 5/9/08 7.11 6.75 - 138.90 2.64 -5.1% -31.2% 26.1%
PPD 5/9/08 43.45 40.06 - 138.90 2.64 -7.8% -31.2% 23.4%
ELNK 5/25/08 9.21 7.49 - 137.64 2.64 -18.7% -30.5% 11.9%
FTAR.ob 5/25/08 4.37 1.05 3.00 137.64 2.64 -7.3% -30.5% 23.2%
CHKE 5/31/08 27.25 18.98 1.50 140.35 2.64 -24.8% -31.9% 7.0%
APKT 7/5/08 4.62 7.75 - 126.31 1.97 67.7% -24.8% 92.6%
CSKI 7/5/08 11.06 14.31 - 126.31 1.97 29.4% -24.8% 54.2%
VALU 7/5/08 32.00 29.18 1.20 126.31 1.97 -5.1% -24.8% 19.8%
QCOR 7/26/08 4.84 4.78 - 125.48 1.97 -1.2% -24.3% 23.1%
MSTR 8/1/08 60.56 43.81 - 126.16 1.97 -27.7% -24.7% -2.9%
NVDA 8/8/08 11.00 9.25 - 129.37 1.97 -15.9% -26.6% 10.7%
SWIR 8/8/08 12.41 5.62 - 129.37 1.97 -54.7% -26.6% -28.1%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 73.81 0.10 129.37 1.97 -45.1% -26.6% -18.5%
SIGM 8/8/08 15.93 13.59 - 129.37 1.97 -14.7% -26.6% 11.9%
EGMI.OB 9/5/08 0.69 0.76 - 124.42 1.97 10.1% -23.7% 33.8%
KHD 9/15/08 20.68 9.50 - 126.09 1.97 -54.1% -24.7% -29.4%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 8.90 - 124.12 1.97 -46.3% -23.5% -22.8%
SCMP 9/29/08 8.29 6.69 - 120.85 1.28 -19.3% -22.0% 2.7%
DTLK 9/29/08 4.34 3.55 - 120.85 1.28 -18.2% -22.0% 3.8%
TRA 9/29/08 28.42 25.41 0.10 120.85 1.28 -10.2% -22.0% 11.8%
MSB 10/10/08 10.12 10.89 0.11 88.50 1.28 8.7% 6.5% 2.2%
UEPS 10/10/08 14.58 14.65 - 88.50 1.28 0.5% 6.5% -6.0%
TSCM 10/17/08 3.67 2.02 0.03 93.21 1.28 -44.3% 1.1% -45.4%
EME 10/31/08 17.77 22.72 - 96.83 1.28 27.9% -2.7% 30.5%
CTCM 10/31/08 7.40 11.08 - 96.83 1.28 49.7% -2.7% 52.4%
PRGX 10/31/08 4.24 3.19 - 96.83 1.28 -24.8% -2.7% -22.1%
HLF 11/7/08 20.17 26.22 0.40 93.86 1.28 32.0% 0.4% 31.6%
GHM 11/7/08 13.60 14.50 0.02 93.86 1.28 6.8% 0.4% 6.3%
BIDZ 11/21/08 2.39 4.13 - 79.52 1.28 72.8% 18.5% 54.3%
KBR 11/21/08 10.45 18.25 0.10 79.52 1.28 75.6% 18.5% 57.1%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.52 - 79.52 1.28 61.7% 18.5% 43.2%
IBAS 11/21/08 1.21 1.25 - 79.52 1.28 3.3% 18.5% -15.2%
Vclk 11/28/08 6.17 10.28 - 90.09 1.28 66.6% 4.6% 62.0%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 5.12 - 87.93 1.28 17.2% 7.2% 10.0%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 4.93 - 87.93 1.28 -15.0% 7.2% -22.2%
ESIC 12/14/08 1.13 1.80 - 88.99 1.28 59.3% 5.9% 53.4%
MSO 12/29/08 2.80 3.62 - 87.16 0.56 29.3% 7.3% 22.0%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 1.95 - 87.16 0.56 89.3% 7.3% 82.0%
WFR 12/29/08 13.43 17.49 - 87.16 0.56 30.2% 7.3% 22.9%
AHCI 1/5/09 1.15 1.65 - 92.96 0.56 43.5% 0.6% 42.9%
CKSW 1/5/09 1.99 4.04 - 92.96 0.56 102.8% 0.6% 102.1%
COH 2/16/09 13.97 26.03 - 82.76 0.56 86.3% 13.0% 73.3%
DELL 2/23/09 8.41 10.81 - 77.42 0.56 28.5% 20.8% 7.7%
SOLR 2/23/09 4.22 7.98 - 77.42 0.56 89.1% 20.8% 68.3%
DECK 3/2/09 41.27 59.00 - 73.93 0.56 43.0% 26.5% 16.4%
FWLT 3/2/09 15.04 24.98 - 73.93 0.56 66.1% 26.5% 39.6%
HCKT 3/2/09 2.56 2.25 - 73.93 0.56 -12.1% 26.5% -38.6%
MWW 3/2/09 6.59 14.04 - 73.93 0.56 113.1% 26.5% 86.5%
PTIE 3/2/09 4.53 4.25 - 73.93 0.56 -6.2% 26.5% -32.7%
TRLG 3/2/09 10.22 21.97 - 73.93 0.56 115.0% 26.5% 88.4%
qlti 3/9/09 1.41 2.17 - 68.92 0.56 53.9% 35.7% 18.2%
exbd 3/9/09 12.96 16.38 0.44 68.92 0.56 29.8% 35.7% -5.9%
FIX 3/16/09 9.73 10.54
76.09 0.56 8.3% 22.9% -14.6%
DBTK 3/16/09 6.65 8.41 - 76.09 0.56 26.5% 22.9% 3.5%
LOOP 3/16/09 5.77 7.96 - 76.09 0.56 38.0% 22.9% 15.0%
PRO 3/30/09 4.29 6.13 - 81.61 - 42.9% 13.9% 29.0%
ACN 4/13/09 27.71 29.40 - 85.81 - 6.1% 8.4% -2.3%
INFI 4/20/09 5.83 6.00 - 87.08 - 2.9% 6.8% -3.9%
RST 5/3/09 29.83 28.96 - 87.89 - -2.9% 5.8% -8.7%
ULCM.pk 5/3/09 2.18 2.24 - 87.89 - 2.8% 5.8% -3.0%
TYPE 5/3/09 3.80 5.99 - 87.89 - 57.6% 5.8% 51.8%
CRAY 5/3/09 3.98 4.00 - 87.89 - 0.5% 5.8% -5.3%
INT 5/10/09 41.90 41.90 - 92.98 - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
MSTR 5/10/09 43.81 43.81 - 92.98 - 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
















Totals 6.5% -8.8% 15.3%
68.4% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed -31.0% -37.2% 6.2%
S&P C

92.98

Open 19.8% 1.2% 18.6%

No comments: