Sunday, March 18, 2007

My Momma Told Me

My mother always told me, "if you don't have something nice to say, don't say anything at all". If I held to that, this would be a short blog. Here is the weekly graph. Ugh!



My Kingdom for a Good Earnings Report!

It is hard enough to make $ in this slippery market. To make matters worse, it seems I am on a losing streak with recent earnings reports. Let us count back:

(1) MTEX – down about 5% today

(2) TRLG – down about 5% today

(3) PONR – was down 4% yesterday

(4) ANF – down 2% on Feb 22nd

(5) EGY – down 4% on March 2nd

(6) OVTI – down 7% on March 2nd

(7) PNCL – down 2% on Feb 27th

(8) FTO – down 4% on Feb 27th


I am sure I am missing one or two, but you get the picture! I think ISNS on the 23rd was my last positive report.

Patterson-Energy (PTEN) returned to the top 50 today after a month long hiatus. I do think it was data-related as the ratios came in pretty close to where I had estimated. So it is justified being in my sidecar, even if it has gone nowhere.

I did replace SHOO today in the sidecar with VRGY. This is a stock I have been watching since it had stellar earnings 3 weeks ago. It seems to have settled down at a reasonable price. My sidecar has held up much better than my overall MFI portfolio. I am up about $21,500 in the sidecar (I think I got as high as $25,000), while my MFI is now just up $28-29K (it was up over 50K before the slide). Of course the slide has been pretty wide and my sidecar wasn’t fully invested at the start of the hemorrhaging (yes I did use the spell check).

Current Portfolio

Stock

Purchase Date

Cost

Current

Gain

PNCL

5/4/2006

$6.68

$17.51

162.1%

ISNS

7/7/2006

$13.17

$17.80

35.1%

PGI

4/7/2006

$7.71

$10.32

33.8%

DLX

4/3/2006

$26.41

$32.15

26.1%

VPHM

9/11/2006

$11.79

$14.69

24.6%

CHKE

5/16/2006

$37.55

$42.32

19.9%

BBSI

9/6/2006

$19.56

$22.52

15.8%

ASEI

10/5/2006

$45.85

$52.24

13.9%

TGIS

5/1/2006

$10.34

$11.17

10.4%

FTO

5/15/2006

$28.76

$31.35

9.4%

MTEX

5/22/2006

$13.11

$14.10

9.4%

KG

5/31/2006

$17.31

$18.86

9.0%

AVCI

2/20/2007

$8.65

$9.34

8.0%

BLDR

9/18/2006

$15.91

$17.03

7.1%

CREL

2/26/2007

$12.50

$12.94

3.5%

IVAC

3/6/2007

$26.12

$25.84

-1.1%

ANF

3/5/2007

$74.81

$73.62

-1.6%

PACR

2/26/2007

$28.26

$27.46

-2.3%

LRCX

2/26/2007

$46.66

$45.54

-2.4%

PDS

3/1/2007

$22.58

$21.97

-2.7%

ORCT

6/2/2006

$11.83

$11.46

-3.1%

PONR

5/9/2006

$30.48

$28.86

-5.3%

DGX

2/26/2007

$52.11

$48.97

-6.0%

SHOO

1/17/2007

$32.36

$29.82

-7.8%

TRLG

6/13/2006

$17.02

$15.51

-8.9%

HW

2/27/2007

$24.00

$21.58

-10.1%

RAIL

5/26/2006

$58.18

$50.11

-13.6%

FDG

5/31/2006

$34.03

$22.41

-27.0%

EGY

2/5/2007

$6.42

$4.61

-28.2%

EZEN.OB

6/19/2006

$2.84

$1.90

-33.0%

OVTI

5/31/2006

$27.79

$12.15

-56.3%






Gain/Loss Open Positions ($):

$14,951

Gain/Loss Open Positions (%):

3.8%

Gain/Loss Closed Positions ($):

$14,457

Gain/Loss Closed Positions (%):

9.8%

Total Gain/Loss ($):

$29,408

Benchmark Gain/Loss ($):

$27,979

Annual IRR:

10.5%

Total Gain/Loss (%):

7.7%

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