Wednesday, February 28, 2007

Good Drug, Bad Drug

Unhappy Day. Not quite sure what happened. Perhaps it was regression to the mean. My MFI portfolio was basically flat today, despite the general market doing well. Actually, I was down significantly this a.m. as VPHM & PNCL were getting whacked. VPHM came back a bit, but PNCL stayed down, which hurts as it is my largest holding.

VPHM struggled as they reported earnings this morning (ViroPharma 4Q Net Income Falls). Sales for the 4th quarter were a bit disappointing. But they re-affirmed guidance for 2007, which is why I think the stock recovered. Not sure I understand the PNCL drop. Other airlines held up well. Volume wasn’t that heavy. They did not drop much the day before when they announced their earnings.

KG had their earnings today as well (must be pharmaceutical day). They were quite nice (King's Better Than Expected) and the stock was up 5%. KG is now up 8% and I think they have some more upside before a year is up at the end of May.

I did buy additional HW today and it is now back as an MFI stock for me. A new year begins! I also bought a boatload of PTEN. It has disappeared from the MFI lists, but I think that has to be a technical glitch. Their recent quarter close was quite good (better than the year-ago quarter that fell off) and they were easily on the list in January. So I am calling the purchase a sidecar purchase. That makes my sidecar OVTI, SHOO, PTEN & RAIL. It should be in for some excitement tomorrow as I think OVTI & SHOO report earnings. Hopefully, it is a "shoo-in"

Current Portfolio

Stock

Purchase Date

Cost

Current

Gain

PNCL

5/4/2006

$6.68

$17.95

168.7%

VPHM

9/11/2006

$11.79

$16.00

35.7%

PGI

4/7/2006

$7.71

$10.41

35.0%

ISNS

7/7/2006

$13.17

$17.60

33.6%

ANF

3/2/2006

$61.13

$78.16

28.7%

BBSI

9/6/2006

$19.56

$24.37

25.3%

CHKE

5/16/2006

$37.55

$43.80

23.8%

DLX

4/3/2006

$26.41

$30.92

21.4%

TGIS

5/1/2006

$10.34

$12.15

19.9%

MTEX

5/22/2006

$13.11

$14.84

15.0%

BLDR

9/18/2006

$15.91

$18.02

13.3%

ASEI

10/5/2006

$45.85

$51.16

11.6%

KG

5/31/2006

$17.31

$18.67

7.9%

FTO

5/15/2006

$28.76

$29.49

3.0%

PONR

5/9/2006

$30.48

$31.00

1.7%

AVCI

2/20/2007

$8.65

$8.77

1.4%

EGY

2/5/2007

$6.42

$6.42

0.0%

TRLG

6/13/2006

$17.02

$16.98

-0.2%

HW

2/27/2007

$24.00

$23.64

-1.5%

DGX

2/26/2007

$52.11

$50.99

-2.1%

CREL

2/26/2007

$12.50

$12.20

-2.4%

LRCX

2/26/2007

$46.66

$44.66

-4.3%

PACR

2/26/2007

$28.26

$27.03

-4.4%

SHOO

1/17/2007

$32.36

$29.56

-8.6%

ORCT

6/2/2006

$11.83

$10.54

-10.9%

RAIL

5/26/2006

$58.18

$49.54

-14.6%

FDG

5/31/2006

$34.03

$25.11

-19.1%

TBL

3/15/2006

$34.50

$27.12

-21.4%

EZEN.OB

6/19/2006

$2.84

$2.20

-22.4%

OVTI

5/31/2006

$27.79

$12.96

-53.4%











Gain/Loss Open Positions ($):

$27,802

Gain/Loss Open Positions (%):

7.5%

Gain/Loss Closed Positions ($):

$14,438

Gain/Loss Closed Positions (%):

11.4%

Total Gain/Loss ($):

$42,241

Benchmark Gain/Loss ($):

$34,068

Annual IRR:

16.2%

Total Gain/Loss (%):

12.1%

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