Thursday, November 24, 2016

Final Post For Day

Final Post Today

I decided to do a little work regarding my earlier post today.  My addition was instead of an absolute market cap, I used a relative market cap - "big" meaning the 25 largest of the 50 stocks from the list and "small" meaning the 25 smallest. Simple.

So here are results by dividend flag and by big/small

Market Cap 0 1 Total
Big 5% 24% 11%
Small 6% 8% 6%
Total 5% 17% 9%


So if dividend flag is 0 (meaning lower than 2.6% yield), the results are basically agnostic by market cap (on relative basis).  But if flag is one... you are much better off picking from 25 largest stocks.  I may change my formula approach to incorporate that relativity.

Thene here are splits by year for dividend flag = 1.

Year big Small Total
2006 51% 8% 34%
2007 6% -26% -12%
2008 -2% -7% -4%
2009 46% 57% 51%
2010 24% 11% 18%
2011 21% -2% 9%
2012 50% 21% 41%
2013 41% 7% 27%
2014 10% 7% 9%
2015 0% 2% 1%
2016 4% 29% 15%
Grand Total 24% 8% 17%

Again has not really worked in 2015 & 2016.  Otherwise very strong.

Have a great day... eat turkey. Watch football.

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