Monday, November 14, 2016

Another MFI Tranche Closes

November 2015 MFI Select Closes

In a nailbiter finish, my November 15, 2015 tranche is officially closed today.  While it went in today with a 3 point lead, it gave it back with VNCE dropping 18.8%!  So technically it goes down as a loss by 10 basis points.


11/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 LCI  $34.01 $24.25 $0.00 -28.7% 8.1%
 SAVE  $34.48 $53.39 $0.00 54.9% 8.1%
 PPC  $18.98 $19.46 $2.75 17.0% 8.1%
 VEC  $23.60 $22.25 $0.00 -5.7% 8.1%
 VNCE  $3.99 $4.10 $0.00 2.8% 8.1%
 Totals  8.0% 8.1%


So for the record, here are all my closed tranches:


 8/15/12 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 DLB  $34.43 $33.04 $4.00 7.6% 22.1%
 KFY  $13.98 $18.95 $0.00 35.6% 22.1%
 MSFT  $30.19 $31.92 $0.92 8.8% 22.1%
 NSU  $3.62 $3.33 $0.12 -4.6% 22.1%
 UIS  $19.96 $24.52 $0.00 22.8% 22.1%
 Totals  14.1% 22.1%
 11/15/12 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AAPL  $537.62 $527.28 $8.75 -0.3% 36.7%
 ABC  $40.21 $69.23 $0.86 74.3% 36.7%
 LPS  $23.89 $34.26 $0.40 45.1% 36.7%
 VIAB  $49.12 $80.94 $1.15 67.1% 36.7%
 WU  $12.77 $16.40 $0.50 32.3% 36.7%
 Totals  43.7% 36.7%
 2/1/13 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AAPL  $450.60 $500.66 $8.75 13.1% 21.1%
 GA  $6.10 $11.01 $0.65 91.2% 21.1%
 STRZA  $16.06 $27.98 $0.00 74.2% 21.1%
 CA  $25.07 $32.08 $1.00 32.0% 21.1%
 NUS  $41.94 $116.59 $1.20 180.8% 21.1%
 Totals  78.3% 21.1%
 5/6/2013   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 KLIC  $11.40 $14.44 $0.00 26.7% 18.9%
 CYOU  $29.24 $28.02 $0.00 -4.2% 18.9%
 RDA  $9.74 $16.79 $0.10 73.5% 18.9%
 NVDA  $13.85 $18.43 $0.32 35.4% 18.9%
 CF  $183.97 $243.22 $2.80 33.7% 18.9%
 Totals  33.0% 18.9%
 8/15/2013   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CF  $187.26 $247.43 $4.50 34.5% 19.4%
 FLR  $66.06 $73.03 $0.53 11.4% 19.4%
 AGX  $15.60 $36.71 $0.75 140.1% 19.4%
 KLIC  $11.29 $14.26 $0.00 26.3% 19.4%
 RPXC  $15.92 $15.09 $0.00 -5.2% 19.4%
 Totals  41.4% 19.4%
 11/15/13 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AVG  $17.22 $19.21 $0.00 11.6% 14.5%
 ATVI  $17.71 $20.10 $0.20 14.6% 14.5%
 GA  $9.04 $11.90 $0.23 34.2% 14.5%
 RPXC  $17.04 $13.91 $0.00 -18.4% 14.5%
 SYNA  $48.01 $61.90 $0.00 28.9% 14.5%
 Totals  14.2% 14.5%
 2/1/14 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 ATVI  $17.13 $20.90 $0.20 23.1% 12.9%
 KLAC  $61.47 $61.47 $18.40 29.9% 12.9%
 RPXC  $16.22 $12.35 $0.00 -23.9% 12.9%
 SNDK  $69.55 $75.91 $0.83 10.3% 12.9%
 WNR  $39.11 $37.13 $3.04 2.7% 12.9%
 Totals  8.5% 12.9%
 5/6/2014   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AVG  $19.57 $23.27 $0.00 18.9% 12.9%
 CA  $29.54 $31.41 $1.00 9.7% 12.9%
 CSCO  $22.79 $28.89 $0.78 30.2% 12.9%
 NSR  $25.82 $30.69 $0.00 18.9% 12.9%
 RCII  $28.78 $31.77 $0.94 13.7% 12.9%
 Totals  18.3% 12.9%
 8/15/2014   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CSCO  $24.40 $28.95 $0.80 21.9% 8.8%
 AGX  $36.71 $40.69 $0.70 12.7% 8.8%
 ITRN  $21.32 $25.11 $0.87 21.9% 8.8%
 BRCD  $9.34 $10.15 $0.15 10.3% 8.8%
 CBI  $58.25 $51.70 $0.21 -10.9% 8.8%
 Totals  11.2% 8.8%
 11/15/2014   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 FLR  $64.80 $47.46 $0.84 -25.5% 0.8%
 IPCM  $38.45 $80.03 $0.00 108.1% 0.8%
 VIAB  $72.29 $50.69 $1.46 -27.9% 0.8%
 NHTC  $12.19 $51.46 $0.06 322.6% 0.8%
 AWRE  $4.40 $3.07 $0.00 -30.2% 0.8%
 Totals  69.4% 0.8%
 2/1/2015   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VEC  $28.00 $19.76 $0.00 -29.4% -2.6%
 QCOM  $62.73 $45.34 $1.86 -24.8% -2.6%
 VIAB  $63.91 $44.90 $1.53 -27.4% -2.6%
 UIS  $22.03 $10.87 $0.00 -50.7% -2.6%
 NHTC  $12.44 $19.95 $0.05 60.8% -2.6%
 Totals  -14.3% -2.6%
 5/6/2015   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CBI  $50.38 $38.23 $0.14 -23.8% -0.9%
 PSDV  $4.12 $2.87 $0.00 -30.4% -0.9%
 TSRA  $38.94 $30.46 $0.80 -19.7% -0.9%
 KORS  $62.24 $50.87 $0.00 -18.3% -0.9%
 DEPO  $23.50 $15.51 $0.00 -34.0% -0.9%
 Totals  -25.2% -0.9%
8/17/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VDSI  $18.66 $17.45 $0.00 -6.5% 5.3%
 SALE  $9.34 $11.75 $0.00 25.8% 5.3%
 CSCO  $28.95 $31.20 $0.94 11.0% 5.3%
 TGNA  $25.30 $21.37 $0.56 -13.3% 5.3%
 HSII  $20.14 $19.19 $0.39 -2.8% 5.3%
 Totals  2.8% 5.3%
11/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 LCI  $34.01 $24.25 $0.00 -28.7% 8.1%
 SAVE  $34.48 $53.39 $0.00 54.9% 8.1%
 PPC  $18.98 $19.46 $2.75 17.0% 8.1%
 VEC  $23.60 $22.25 $0.00 -5.7% 8.1%
 VNCE  $3.99 $4.10 $0.00 2.8% 8.1%
 Totals  8.0% 8.1%

VNCE really collapsed, it was well over $6 a few months ago. VEC also crashed from the 30s as did LCI.  PPC was over $25.  Wow, this group really stumbled to the finish line.  SAVE was the strong finisher, it had dropped below $40 in September.


 Category/Tranche   August   November   February   May   Total 
 Initial Investment         25,000          25,000       25,000        25,000      100,000
 Current Tranche  2.2% 8.0% 13.2% 18.3% 9.6%
 Previous Tranche  2.8% 69.4% -14.3% -25.2% 10.4%
 Tranche -2  11.2% 14.2% 8.5% 18.3% 13.0%
 Tranche -3  41.4% 43.7% 78.3% 33.0% 49.1%
 Tranche -4  14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 3.5%
 MFI Overall Gain  88.5% 200.5% 87.5% 39.1% 103.9%
 Current Balance         47,132          75,129       46,879        34,771      203,912
 R3K Current Tranche  0.1% 8.1% 15.0% 7.8% 7.7%
 R3K Overall Gain  67.2% 70.4% 53.2% 33.0% 55.9%
 R3K Balance         41,779          42,604       38,289        33,238      155,910
 Annualized IRR  16.1% 31.6% 18.1% 9.8% 18.9%

This table shows that despite the weak finish, the November tranche has been my best... at an annualized IRR of 31.6%. Not too shabby.  I will let everyone know tomorrow what my five picks for the next year will be.


Just for fun, I track other stuff. The stocks I held a year ago went up about 2.5%. AWRE was up huge, 71%. But NHTC was down 50%. The stocks I considered, but didn't pick were down slightly.  BBSI was the big winner, up about 38%. CBI and PBI were each down about 27%.

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