Another week has zoomed by. I have caught a full-fledged cold, not very happy about that. While in Pittsburgh last week, I discovered a great radio station, if you like Adult Alternative (WYEP). I have it playing right now, which connects me in some way with my son there.
It was a very good week for me in the markets. I am now up 6.5% for the year. It is funny, I was looking at my MFI Index and I noticed it was also up about 4%. I thought "wow, it really shot up with WTW and NHTC". I thought this as it was down 6 or 7% recently. But then I saw another way I track it was still in the red. So I did some digging. LFVN this week had a reverse 7 for 1 split. So if you don't handle it correctly, it looks like it shot up 700%. That'll juice your returns. So with the fix, MFI Index is down 4.2% on the year. Not very stellar.
MFI Select
This portfolio was on fire during the week. I am sure NHTC going from 37.50 to 42.50 during the week was huge.
| 11/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| FLR | $64.80 | $46.21 | $0.84 | -27.4% | 3.0% |
| IPCM | $38.45 | $79.22 | $0.00 | 106.0% | 3.0% |
| VIAB | $72.29 | $50.34 | $1.46 | -28.3% | 3.0% |
| NHTC | $12.19 | $42.55 | $0.06 | 249.5% | 3.0% |
| AWRE | $4.40 | $3.25 | $0.00 | -26.1% | 3.0% |
| Totals | 54.7% | 3.0% | |||
| 2/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $28.00 | $24.93 | $0.00 | -11.0% | 4.5% |
| QCOM | $62.73 | $60.73 | $1.38 | -1.0% | 4.5% |
| VIAB | $63.91 | $50.34 | $1.13 | -19.5% | 4.5% |
| UIS | $22.03 | $14.23 | $0.00 | -35.4% | 4.5% |
| NHTC | $12.44 | $42.55 | $0.05 | 242.4% | 4.5% |
| Totals | 35.1% | 4.5% | |||
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $41.63 | $0.14 | -17.1% | -0.6% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $3.87 | $0.00 | -6.2% | -0.6% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $34.70 | $0.40 | -9.9% | -0.6% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $38.53 | $0.00 | -38.1% | -0.6% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $16.94 | $0.00 | -27.9% | -0.6% |
| Totals | -19.8% | -0.6% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $18.09 | $0.00 | -3.1% | -1.2% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $9.50 | $0.00 | 1.7% | -1.2% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $29.35 | $0.21 | 2.1% | -1.2% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $26.17 | $0.14 | 4.0% | -1.2% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $22.28 | $0.00 | 10.6% | -1.2% |
| Totals | 3.1% | -1.2% |
You can see the August tranche is starting to do better. May has gone from bad to worse. Hard to believe DEPO (down 28% was up over 30% just a month or two ago. KORS continues to trickle down. They made a big deal about David Einhorn buying a bunch of KORS (Einhorn: Bullish on KORS), but has anyone looked at his 2015 results? He is down about 17%, so I am not entirely convinced he knows what he is doing, even if he manages $8 billion.
Just three more weeks left of the 11/15 portfolio. So I have jumped the gun a bit and bought three stocks that will likely be part of 11/15/15 tranche. We'll see if still on list.
| 10/20/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $43.26 | $44.22 | $0.00 | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| DEPO | $16.96 | $16.94 | $0.00 | -0.1% | 1.7% |
| AMAG | $35.63 | $37.85 | $0.00 | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Totals | 2.8% | 1.7% |
The sell off was just so over-done in this space, I could not step away from the batter. As a famous attorney once said, "your honor, I am not a potted plant".
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| Current | 58.00% | 206,551 | 148,553 |
Wow, look at this table. Talk about "stepping on the gas". In October, up from $181,175 to $206,551 (14%). And the lead has stretched to 58 percentage points over benchmark rival. We're getting close to our all time high set on July 1st.
MFI Formula
This portfolio doesn't have any 220%+ performers. More like the tortoise and the hare I suppose. But still plugging along and doing decently. Really helped by recent MSFT pop. But GME was strangely down yesterday in a generally strong up day.
| 12/31/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CA | $30.83 | $27.75 | $0.75 | -7.5% | 0.5% |
| CSCO | $28.36 | $29.35 | $0.82 | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| RGR | $34.81 | $57.25 | $0.85 | 66.9% | 0.5% |
| GME | $34.21 | $45.35 | $1.08 | 35.7% | 0.5% |
| IQNT | $19.87 | $22.13 | $0.45 | 13.6% | 0.5% |
| Totals | 23.0% | 0.5% | |||
| 3/31/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| HRB | $31.99 | $36.20 | $0.40 | 14.4% | -0.7% |
| GME | $37.69 | $45.35 | $0.72 | 22.2% | -0.7% |
| KING | $15.85 | $15.11 | $0.00 | -4.7% | -0.7% |
| NSU | $3.43 | $3.18 | $0.08 | -5.0% | -0.7% |
| PPC | $22.65 | $19.71 | $0.00 | -13.0% | -0.7% |
| Totals | 2.8% | -0.7% | |||
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $34.00 | $0.46 | -25.8% | -0.7% |
| CA | $29.34 | $27.75 | $0.25 | -4.6% | -0.7% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $52.87 | $0.31 | 19.7% | -0.7% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $60.73 | $0.48 | -2.8% | -0.7% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $50.34 | $0.40 | -21.6% | -0.7% |
| Totals | -7.0% | -0.7% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $34.00 | $0.23 | -7.1% | 7.6% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $22.13 | $0.00 | 0.8% | 7.6% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $60.73 | $0.00 | 13.6% | 7.6% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $29.35 | $0.21 | 12.1% | 7.6% |
| CA | $27.30 | $27.75 | $0.00 | 1.6% | 7.6% |
| Totals | 4.2% | 7.6% |
You can see the most recent two tranches are struggling a bit. BKE has really hurt both tranches. In event you care, the "rejects" from July are up about 2.5%. Do lady luck wasn't exactly on my side there.
But it is a marathon, not a sprint. And overall, I am ahead.
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| Current | 4.20% | 105,843 | 101,644 |
MFI Micro
This small cap portfolio really had a strong week. ONE and VNCE both went up sharply.
| 8/28/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VNCE | $8.50 | $4.80 | $0.00 | -43.5% | 3.8% |
| ONE | $1.99 | $2.76 | $0.00 | 38.7% | 3.8% |
| TPUB | $11.60 | $9.48 | $0.18 | -16.8% | 3.8% |
| LQDT | $7.26 | $8.20 | $0.00 | 12.9% | 3.8% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.24 | $0.00 | -8.6% | 3.8% |
| Totals | -3.4% | 3.8% |
Looking back at the past three weeks,
| 8/28/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VNCE | $8.50 | $4.20 | $0.00 | -50.6% | 2.1% |
| ONE | $1.99 | $2.07 | $0.00 | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| TPUB | $11.60 | $9.49 | $0.18 | -16.7% | 2.1% |
| LQDT | $7.26 | $8.12 | $0.00 | 11.8% | 2.1% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.40 | $0.00 | -2.0% | 2.1% |
| Totals | -10.7% | 2.1% |
| 8/28/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VNCE | $8.50 | $3.60 | $0.00 | -57.6% | -1.9% |
| ONE | $1.99 | $2.03 | $0.00 | 2.0% | -1.9% |
| TPUB | $11.60 | $8.08 | $0.00 | -30.3% | -1.9% |
| LQDT | $7.26 | $7.58 | $0.00 | 4.4% | -1.9% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.08 | $0.00 | -15.1% | -1.9% |
| Totals | -19.3% | -1.9% |
So in three weeks (or in other words, had I started this portfolio 10/3), I'm up 21%. It is a start.
Dividends and Warrants
While not necessarily "exciting", these stocks/warrants are very long term buy & holds. They will be paying for my gasoline when I retire.
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week |
| BAC-WTA | $6.04 | $6.11 | $0.00 | 1.2% | -7.2% |
| AOD | $8.09 | $8.04 | $1.56 | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| FSC | $7.05 | $5.64 | $0.46 | -13.4% | -7.9% |
| CSQ | $9.31 | $10.26 | $1.83 | 29.9% | 26.9% |
| NTC | $12.05 | $12.51 | $1.14 | 13.3% | 12.6% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $9.77 | $1.03 | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $41.87 | $0.00 | 97.2% | 85.4% |
| O | $22.52 | $49.90 | $17.39 | 198.8% | 194.7% |
| OIBAX | $5.04 | $5.65 | $2.12 | 54.3% | 54.7% |
| Totals | 17.7% | 15.2% |
You can see they had a solid week - appreciating about 2.5 percentage points. The BAC warrants, which are one of my largest holdings really went up nicely. I am also pleased about CSQ, which I added to at the end of August and September. Both those buys are looking smart. FSC though is a disaster. I am not sure why they keep trending down. I went through their 10K to see if they were over weight oil & gas. I didn't see anything shocking. I did see that a year ago they did do some self-dealing (at least alleged), so management may not be the most up & up.
Well, I think that is enough for the week, Off to take some Day Quil.
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