Greenblatt said that MFI would only "work" 5 years out of 8. This is shaping up as one of the 3. My index is down about 5.5% in 2015, while the R3K is just slightly negative. In the second half of 2015, the index is down over 9%! And while my index is reconstituted every January 1st, my tracking portfolios of April and May are each down double digits. It has been a struggle.
Here is a listing of the 50 stocks in my index and how they've done for the year and 2H:
Stock | Start | 30-Jun | Current | YTD Change | 2H Change |
ADMS | 17.37 | 26.22 | 15.32 | -11.8% | -41.6% |
AFOP | 14.51 | 18.55 | 17.90 | 23.4% | -3.5% |
ANIK | 40.74 | 33.03 | 34.52 | -15.3% | 4.5% |
APOL | 34.11 | 12.88 | 10.35 | -69.7% | -19.6% |
AGX | 33.64 | 40.33 | 36.40 | 8.2% | -9.7% |
AVID | 14.21 | 13.34 | 8.83 | -37.9% | -33.8% |
AWRE | 4.54 | 4.03 | 3.33 | -26.7% | -17.4% |
BCOR | 13.85 | 16.15 | 13.00 | -6.1% | -19.5% |
BKE | 52.52 | 49.00 | 38.38 | -26.9% | -21.7% |
CA | 30.45 | 29.79 | 29.64 | -2.7% | -0.5% |
CSCO | 27.82 | 27.86 | 28.97 | 4.2% | 4.0% |
COH | 37.56 | 34.95 | 30.87 | -17.8% | -11.7% |
DLX | 62.25 | 62.60 | 61.60 | -1.0% | -1.6% |
DEPO | 16.11 | 21.46 | 19.56 | 21.4% | -8.9% |
EBIX | 16.99 | 32.69 | 26.70 | 57.1% | -18.3% |
FLR | 60.63 | 53.43 | 48.06 | -20.7% | -10.1% |
GME | 33.80 | 43.68 | 45.01 | 33.2% | 3.0% |
GORO | 3.38 | 2.82 | 3.21 | -5.0% | 13.8% |
ONE | 4.21 | 2.99 | 2.11 | -49.9% | -29.4% |
IQNT | 19.63 | 18.55 | 21.20 | 8.0% | 14.3% |
IDCC | 52.90 | 57.29 | 50.14 | -5.2% | -12.5% |
IILG | 20.89 | 23.09 | 18.69 | -10.5% | -19.1% |
ITRN | 22.04 | 25.26 | 22.06 | 0.1% | -12.7% |
KING | 15.36 | 15.19 | 15.56 | 1.3% | 2.4% |
LCI | 42.88 | 59.44 | 45.26 | 5.6% | -23.9% |
LFVN | 1.30 | 0.53 | 0.82 | -36.9% | 54.7% |
LQDT | 8.17 | 9.63 | 8.18 | 0.1% | -15.1% |
MSB | 17.28 | 14.24 | 11.79 | -31.8% | -17.2% |
NHTC | 11.45 | 41.51 | 39.71 | 246.8% | -4.3% |
NSR | 27.80 | 29.21 | 27.51 | -1.0% | -5.8% |
NUS | 43.70 | 47.83 | 37.78 | -13.5% | -21.0% |
PDLI | 7.71 | 6.58 | 4.81 | -37.7% | 0.0% |
PFMT | 6.65 | 3.24 | 2.98 | -55.2% | -8.0% |
PETS | 14.37 | 17.44 | 16.60 | 15.5% | -4.8% |
PBI | 24.37 | 21.19 | 21.37 | -12.3% | 0.9% |
RPXC | 13.78 | 16.90 | 15.04 | 9.1% | -11.0% |
SPOK | 17.36 | 17.09 | 17.41 | 0.3% | 1.8% |
STRA | 74.28 | 43.10 | 58.60 | -21.1% | 36.0% |
RGR | 34.63 | 57.94 | 59.94 | 73.1% | 3.5% |
TTWO | 28.03 | 27.57 | 31.89 | 13.8% | 15.7% |
TDC | 43.68 | 37.00 | 28.62 | -34.5% | -22.6% |
TZOO | 12.62 | 11.28 | 9.44 | -25.2% | -16.3% |
TPUB | 22.90 | 15.72 | 10.00 | -56.3% | -36.4% |
UBNT | 29.64 | 31.92 | 34.70 | 17.1% | 8.7% |
UIS | 29.48 | 19.99 | 13.45 | -54.4% | -32.7% |
USNA | 102.59 | 136.66 | 123.66 | 20.5% | -9.5% |
VEC | 27.40 | 24.87 | 23.68 | -13.6% | -4.8% |
VIAB | 75.25 | 64.97 | 50.37 | -33.1% | -22.5% |
WTW | 24.84 | 4.85 | 6.90 | -72.2% | 42.3% |
WILN | 2.99 | 2.40 | 2.08 | -30.4% | -13.3% |
Total | 19,816 | 20,600 | 18,715 | -5.6% | -9.2% |
So, not so hot. And if you didn't pick NHTC, you'd be down 10.5%. Whoa. That is pretty bad.
Here are my open MFI tracking portfolios:
10/31/2014 | 2.7% |
11/28/2014 | -5.2% |
12/31/2014 | -5.5% |
1/30/2015 | -2.4% |
2/27/2015 | -9.3% |
3/27/2015 | -8.2% |
4/24/2015 | -12.6% |
5/29/2015 | -10.8% |
6/26/2015 | -9.9% |
7/30/2015 | -4.1% |
8/28/2015 | 1.0% |
9/25/2015 | 3.8% |
You see those figures for April, May and June and then you understand why my May and July 1st tranches are struggling:
5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
CBI | $50.38 | $44.68 | $0.14 | -11.0% | -2.6% |
PSDV | $4.12 | $3.83 | $0.00 | -7.1% | -2.6% |
TSRA | $38.94 | $33.25 | $0.40 | -13.6% | -2.6% |
KORS | $62.24 | $41.75 | $0.00 | -32.9% | -2.6% |
DEPO | $23.50 | $19.56 | $0.00 | -16.8% | -2.6% |
Totals | -16.3% | -2.6% |
7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
BKE | $46.45 | $34.92 | $0.46 | -23.8% | -2.6% |
CA | $29.34 | $28.89 | $0.25 | -0.7% | -2.6% |
MSFT | $44.42 | $47.01 | $0.31 | 6.5% | -2.6% |
QCOM | $62.95 | $59.26 | $0.48 | -5.1% | -2.6% |
VIAB | $64.75 | $49.24 | $0.40 | -23.3% | -2.6% |
Totals | -9.3% | -2.6% |
After seeing Burberry's earnings, I am in no rush to see KORS.
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