Weekend Update From Big D

Weekend Update

Good morning.  I am coming to you from Dallas this morning as we begin our summer vacation. After a brief stop here to see family, we're heading to California.  It was a week heavy in earnings.  Yesterday it was FLR & NSU.  They were both disappointing and took a pretty hard hit, off 8 and 7%.

Earlier in the week it was NHTC (very strong, witnessed big short squeeze),  DEPO (I thought they were quite promising), BAH (quite good), IPCM (very good), MNDO (not the disaster the stock price had suggested), PPC (I thought they were quite good) and RGR (very good),.

So net net, I went from being up 5.3% to up 8.3% for the year as it was certainly more good news than bad news.

MFI Select

Great week here, up about 5% on the strong earnings (NHTC really helped).

8/15/2014	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
CSCO	$24.40	$28.42	$0.80	19.8%	9.5%
AGX	$36.71	$38.88	$0.70	7.8%	9.5%
ITRN	$21.32	$25.65	$0.87	24.4%	9.5%
BRCD	$9.34	$10.26	$0.15	11.5%	9.5%
CBI	$58.25	$53.14	$0.21	-8.4%	9.5%
Totals				11.0%	9.5%
11/15/2014	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
FLR	$64.80	$46.75	$0.63	-26.9%	5.0%
IPCM	$38.45	$55.45	$0.00	44.2%	5.0%
VIAB	$72.29	$57.00	$1.06	-19.7%	5.0%
NHTC	$12.19	$30.30	$0.06	149.1%	5.0%
AWRE	$4.40	$3.32	$0.00	-24.5%	5.0%
Totals				24.4%	5.0%
2/1/2015	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
VEC	$28.00	$23.20	$0.00	-17.1%	6.5%
QCOM	$62.73	$64.39	$0.90	4.1%	6.5%
VIAB	$63.91	$57.00	$0.73	-9.7%	6.5%
UIS	$22.03	$15.87	$0.00	-28.0%	6.5%
NHTC	$12.44	$30.30	$0.05	144.0%	6.5%
Totals				18.7%	6.5%
5/6/2015	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
CBI	$50.38	$53.14	$0.07	5.6%	1.2%
PSDV	$4.12	$4.06	$0.00	-1.6%	1.2%
TSRA	$38.94	$34.66	$0.20	-10.5%	1.2%
KORS	$62.24	$41.99	$0.00	-32.5%	1.2%
DEPO	$23.50	$31.50	$0.00	34.0%	1.2%
Totals				-1.0%	1.2%
Category/Tranche	August	November	February	May	Total
Initial Investment	25,000	25,000	25,000	25,000	100,000
Current Tranche	11.0%	24.4%	18.7%	-1.0%	13.4%
Previous Tranche	41.4%	14.2%	8.5%	18.3%	19.1%
Tranche -2	14.1%	43.7%	78.3%	33.0%	42.3%
MFI Overall Gain	79.1%	104.3%	129.4%	55.8%	92.1%
Current Balance	44,767	51,063	57,346	38,942	192,117
R3K Current Tranche	9.5%	5.0%	6.5%	1.2%	5.6%
R3K Overall Gain	59.7%	64.3%	45.6%	35.8%	51.4%
R3K Balance	39,921	41,075	36,412	33,961	151,369
Annualized IRR	21.7%	30.1%	39.4%	21.9%	28.5%

I think my May portfolio is making a good comeback, now just down 1%. It was down over 10% a month ago.

Date	Differential	MFI Value	R3K Value
12/1/2012	-2.20%	99,765	101,965
1/1/2013	-1.78%	102,798	104,575
2/1/2013	-2.26%	102,594	104,856
3/1/2013	-2.23%	102,881	105,114
4/1/2013	-0.43%	106,804	107,234
5/1/2013	2.00%	110,423	108,423
6/1/2013	4.75%	115,831	111,085
7/1/2013	4.29%	114,888	110,597
8/1/2013	6.91%	124,799	117,889
9/1/2013	10.46%	124,536	114,079
10/1/2013	19.67%	138,655	118,990
11/1/2013	19.75%	143,514	123,764
12/1/2013	23.70%	150,105	126,405
1/1/2014	26.63%	157,138	130,503
2/1/2014	24.70%	150,619	125,918
3/1/2014	25.66%	158,116	132,458
4/1/2014	30.38%	162,991	132,616
5/1/2014	29.65%	162,428	132,779
6/1/2014	31.44%	167,001	135,559
7/1/2014	39.23%	177,971	138,740
8/1/2014	31.13%	167,054	135,922
9/1/2014	35.90%	177,792	141,892
10/1/2014	29.38%	168,321	138,944
11/1/2014	26.14%	168,810	142,666
12/1/2014	30.22%	176,420	146,198
1/1/2015	28.17%	174,306	146,140
2/1/2015	20.63%	162,833	142,201
3/1/2015	25.15%	175,476	150,324
4/1/2015	29.95%	178,565	148,612
5/1/2015	37.31%	186,655	149,348
6/1/2015	51.53%	202,897	151,371
7/1/2015	62.69%	211,437	148,743
8/1/2015	40.75%	192,117	151,369
Current	40.75%	192,117	151,369

MFI Select

Not quite as an exciting week here, the NSU drop yesterday hurt.

10/1/2014 Stocks	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
BAH	$23.52	$27.73	$0.37	19.5%	9.0%
BKE	$45.55	$44.23	$3.68	5.2%	9.0%
CA	$27.87	$29.14	$0.75	7.2%	9.0%
GME	$41.70	$45.85	$1.05	12.5%	9.0%
NUS	$44.56	$39.65	$1.05	-8.7%	9.0%
Totals				7.1%	9.0%
12/31/14 Stocks	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
CA	$30.83	$29.14	$0.50	-3.9%	2.4%
CSCO	$28.36	$28.42	$0.61	2.4%	2.4%
RGR	$34.81	$60.02	$0.49	73.8%	2.4%
GME	$34.21	$45.85	$0.72	36.1%	2.4%
IQNT	$19.87	$18.20	$0.30	-6.9%	2.4%
Totals				20.3%	2.4%
3/31/2015	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
HRB	$31.99	$33.29	$0.20	4.7%	1.2%
GME	$37.69	$45.85	$0.36	22.6%	1.2%
KING	$15.85	$15.53	$0.00	-2.0%	1.2%
NSU	$3.43	$3.20	$0.04	-5.5%	1.2%
PPC	$22.65	$21.64	$0.00	-4.5%	1.2%
Totals				3.1%	1.2%
7/1/2015	Start	Current	Dividend	Pct Gain	R3K Gain
BKE	$46.45	$44.23	$0.23	-4.3%	1.2%
CA	$29.34	$29.14	$0.00	-0.7%	1.2%
MSFT	$44.42	$46.70	$0.00	5.1%	1.2%
QCOM	$62.95	$64.39	$0.00	2.3%	1.2%
VIAB	$64.75	$57.00	$0.00	-12.0%	1.2%
Totals				-1.9%	1.2%

Category/Tranche	October	January	April	July	Total
Initial Investment	249,820	249,939	250,180	249,728	999,667
Current Tranche	7.1%	20.3%	3.1%	-1.9%	7.1%
Previous Tranche	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Tranche -2	0.0%	-	-	-	0.0%
MFI Overall Gain	7.1%	20.3%	3.1%	-1.9%	7.1%
Current Balance	267,630	300,696	257,824	244,967	1,071,117
R3K Current Tranche	9.0%	2.4%	1.2%	1.2%	3.4%
R3K Overall Gain	9.0%	2.4%	1.2%	1.2%	3.4%
R3K Balance	272,245	256,006	253,076	252,720	1,034,047
Annualized IRR	8.6%	37.2%	9.3%	-19.6%	16.0%

You can see the June 30th tranche is struggling.

Date	Differential	Value	R3K Value
10/1/2014	0.00%	100,000	100,000
11/1/2014	1.63%	102,288	100,658
12/1/2014	0.30%	101,375	101,075
1/1/2015	-0.33%	100,664	100,995
2/1/2015	1.67%	101,281	99,611
3/1/2015	3.62%	106,073	102,454
4/1/2015	5.09%	106,781	101,695
5/1/2015	5.78%	107,859	102,077
6/1/2015	5.08%	108,213	103,134
7/1/2015	4.82%	106,423	101,604
8/1/2015	3.71%	107,112	103,404
Current	3.71%	107,112	103,404

That is it for now.