Saturday, August 15, 2015

Weekend Update - Live From Fort Worth!

Weekend Update

Good morning everyone.  I am in Ft Worth Texas, final day of vacation.  Had a great dinner with old friends last night.  We are staying at the Hilton, which is eerily the last place JFK stayed. They have a large memorial on the property.  He gave a speech here on the morning of November 22nd before flying over to Dallas.

This past week was a decent week for me. Nice to have a good one for a change.  As I mentioned yesterday, I did retire my 8/15/14 tranche at the end of the day and bought my 5 new stocks.

I certainly had a bunch more earnings during the week.  KING was poor, BSQR was very good.  Then FSC was pretty good.

MFI Select

Here are my open tranches.  I have also showed the newest tranche:

11/15/2014 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
FLR $64.80 $48.03 $0.63 -24.9% 4.3%
IPCM $38.45 $79.41 $0.00 106.5% 4.3%
VIAB $72.29 $43.67 $1.06 -38.1% 4.3%
NHTC $12.19 $30.23 $0.06 148.5% 4.3%
AWRE $4.40 $3.20 $0.00 -27.3% 4.3%
Totals 32.9% 4.3%
2/1/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
VEC $28.00 $26.91 $0.00 -3.9% 5.8%
QCOM $62.73 $61.91 $0.90 0.1% 5.8%
VIAB $63.91 $43.67 $0.73 -30.5% 5.8%
UIS $22.03 $14.18 $0.00 -35.6% 5.8%
NHTC $12.44 $30.23 $0.05 143.4% 5.8%
Totals 14.7% 5.8%
5/6/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CBI $50.38 $51.78 $0.07 2.9% 0.6%
PSDV $4.12 $4.05 $0.00 -1.8% 0.6%
TSRA $38.94 $34.58 $0.20 -10.7% 0.6%
KORS $62.24 $43.37 $0.00 -30.3% 0.6%
DEPO $23.50 $31.50 $0.00 34.0% 0.6%
Totals -1.2% 0.6%
8/17/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
VDSI $18.66 $18.86 $0.00 1.1% 0.0%
SALE $9.34 $9.36 $0.00 0.2% 0.0%
CSCO $28.95 $29.03 $0.00 0.3% 0.0%
TGNA $25.30 $25.44 $0.00 0.6% 0.0%
HSII $20.14 $20.15 $0.00 0.0% 0.0%
Totals 0.4% 0.0%


Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment      25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 0.4% 32.9% 14.7% -1.2% 11.8%
Previous Tranche 11.2% 14.2% 8.5% 18.3% 16.3%
Tranche -2 41.4% 43.7% 78.3% 33.0% 49.1%
Tranche -3 14.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
MFI Overall Gain 80.1% 118.2% 121.7% 55.5% 93.9%
Current Balance      45,029       54,555     55,432      38,869    193,885
R3K Current Tranche 0.0% 4.3% 5.8% 0.6% 2.7%
R3K Overall Gain 58.7% 63.2% 44.7% 35.0% 50.4%
R3K Balance      39,666       40,807     36,173      33,738    150,385
Annualized IRR 21.7% 32.8% 36.9% 21.4% 28.3%

Date Differential MFI Value R3K Value
12/1/2012 -2.20%       99,765         101,965
1/1/2013 -1.78%      102,798         104,575
2/1/2013 -2.26%      102,594         104,856
3/1/2013 -2.23%      102,881         105,114
4/1/2013 -0.43%      106,804         107,234
5/1/2013 2.00%      110,423         108,423
6/1/2013 4.75%      115,831         111,085
7/1/2013 4.29%      114,888         110,597
8/1/2013 6.91%      124,799         117,889
9/1/2013 10.46%      124,536         114,079
10/1/2013 19.67%      138,655         118,990
11/1/2013 19.75%      143,514         123,764
12/1/2013 23.70%      150,105         126,405
1/1/2014 26.63%      157,138         130,503
2/1/2014 24.70%      150,619         125,918
3/1/2014 25.66%      158,116         132,458
4/1/2014 30.38%      162,991         132,616
5/1/2014 29.65%      162,428         132,779
6/1/2014 31.44%      167,001         135,559
7/1/2014 39.23%      177,971         138,740
8/1/2014 31.13%      167,054         135,922
9/1/2014 35.90%      177,792         141,892
10/1/2014 29.38%      168,321         138,944
11/1/2014 26.14%      168,810         142,666
12/1/2014 30.22%      176,420         146,198
1/1/2015 28.17%      174,306         146,140
2/1/2015 20.63%      162,833         142,201
3/1/2015 25.15%      175,476         150,324
4/1/2015 29.95%      178,565         148,612
5/1/2015 37.31%      186,655         149,348
6/1/2015 51.53%      202,897         151,371
7/1/2015 62.69%      211,437         148,743
8/1/2015 40.75%      192,117         151,369
Current 43.50%      193,885         150,385

I am excited about my newest tranche. Of course they always seem great and flawless on day one.  It does feel to me that there were more "cheap" stocks on the list than I have seen in a while.

MFI Formula

My formula approach continues to chug along. GME had a great week, which helps.

10/1/2014 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BAH $23.52 $27.19 $0.37 17.2% 8.3%
BKE $45.55 $41.81 $3.68 -0.1% 8.3%
CA $27.87 $29.38 $0.75 8.1% 8.3%
GME $41.70 $47.44 $1.05 16.3% 8.3%
NUS $44.56 $45.48 $1.05 4.4% 8.3%
Totals 9.2% 8.3%
12/31/14 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CA $30.83 $29.38 $0.50 -3.1% 1.8%
CSCO $28.36 $29.03 $0.61 4.5% 1.8%
RGR $34.81 $62.98 $0.85 83.3% 1.8%
GME $34.21 $47.44 $0.72 40.8% 1.8%
IQNT $19.87 $17.85 $0.30 -8.7% 1.8%
Totals 23.4% 1.8%
3/31/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
HRB $31.99 $35.56 $0.20 11.8% 0.5%
GME $37.69 $47.44 $0.36 26.8% 0.5%
KING $15.85 $13.53 $0.00 -14.6% 0.5%
NSU $3.43 $2.96 $0.04 -12.5% 0.5%
PPC $22.65 $22.86 $0.00 0.9% 0.5%
Totals 2.5% 0.5%
7/1/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BKE $46.45 $41.81 $0.23 -9.5% 0.5%
CA $29.34 $29.38 $0.00 0.1% 0.5%
MSFT $44.42 $47.00 $0.00 5.8% 0.5%
QCOM $62.95 $61.91 $0.00 -1.7% 0.5%
VIAB $64.75 $43.67 $0.00 -32.6% 0.5%
Totals -7.6% 0.5%

You can see the July 1st portfolio is dreadful.  BKE and VIAB have been crushed.  I thought about buying each for my select portfolio, but didn't pull the trigger.

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