Saturday, January 10, 2015

Weekend Update - Relatively Speaking

Weekend Update

Another weekend is here. I am busy packing as I prepare for a trip to Europe and Asia.  Chance to use my new multi-country adapter I got for Christmas.  Big football weekend, though surprisingly all the games have heavy favorites.  I suppose getting a first round bye and playing at home is a major advantage. I do think Patriots and Seahawks win handily today.  Colts and Cowboys may make Sunday's games a mite more competitive. We'll see.

MFI Select

Markets had a lot of ups and down recently.  On a relative basis, I have hung in there for first 10 days of the year.  I am up by a fraction, while the R3K is down about 70 basis points. Woo-hoo! Sadly, 10 days do not make a year.  That being said, my MFI select portfolio is down about 1.5% for the first ten days.

2/1/14 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
ATVI $17.13 $18.90 $0.20 11.5% 15.2%
KLAC $61.47 $69.17 $18.40 42.5% 15.2%
RPXC $16.22 $13.53 $0.00 -16.6% 15.2%
SNDK $69.55 $97.04 $0.83 40.7% 15.2%
WNR $39.11 $37.21 $3.04 2.9% 15.2%
Totals 16.2% 15.2%
5/6/2014 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AVG $19.57 $19.91 $0.00 1.7% 9.6%
CA $29.54 $31.12 $0.75 7.9% 9.6%
CSCO $22.79 $27.79 $0.57 24.5% 9.6%
NSR $25.82 $26.76 $0.00 3.7% 9.6%
RCII $28.78 $34.80 $0.70 23.4% 9.6%
Totals 12.2% 9.6%
8/15/2014 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CSCO $24.40 $27.79 $0.38 15.5% 5.0%
AGX $36.71 $32.21 $0.70 -10.4% 5.0%
ITRN $21.32 $21.60 $0.38 3.1% 5.0%
BRCD $9.34 $11.98 $0.04 28.7% 5.0%
CBI $58.25 $40.13 $0.14 -30.9% 5.0%
Totals 1.2% 5.0%
11/15/2014 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
FLR $64.80 $57.71 $0.21 -10.6% 0.7%
IPCM $38.45 $44.86 $0.00 16.7% 0.7%
VIAB $72.29 $71.67 $0.33 -0.4% 0.7%
NHTC $12.19 $12.12 $0.01 -0.5% 0.7%
AWRE $4.40 $4.58 $0.00 4.1% 0.7%
Totals 1.9% 0.7%
Category/Tranche August November February May Total
Initial Investment      25,000       25,000     25,000      25,000    100,000
Current Tranche 1.2% 1.9% 16.2% 12.2% 7.6%
Previous Tranche 41.4% 14.2% 78.3% 33.0% 39.5%
Tranche -2 14.1% 43.7%            -               -   14.5%
MFI Overall Gain 63.2% 67.2% 107.1% 49.3% 71.7%
Current Balance      40,812       41,796     51,782      37,316    171,706
R3K Current Tranche 5.0% 0.7% 15.2% 9.6% 7.6%
R3K Overall Gain 53.1% 57.5% 39.6% 30.3% 45.1%
R3K Balance      38,276       39,377     34,888      32,582    145,123
Annualized IRR 22.6% 26.9% 45.5% 26.9% 30.2%


So on the open tranches, a dead heat.  Both MFI and R3K up 7.6 points.  Only a few days left on the 2/1/14 portfolio, be nice to hold my lead.

MFI Formula

These guys are up 44 basis points for the year, despite GME seemingly going down every day.

10/1/2014 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BAH $23.52 $27.86 $0.11 18.9% 4.5%
BKE $45.55 $54.69 $0.22 20.6% 4.5%
CA $27.87 $31.12 $0.25 12.5% 4.5%
GME $41.70 $32.27 $0.33 -21.8% 4.5%
NUS $44.56 $41.61 $0.35 -5.8% 4.5%
Totals 4.9% 4.5%
12/31/14 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CA $30.83 $31.12 $0.00 0.9% -1.8%
CSCO $28.36 $27.79 $0.19 -1.3% -1.8%
RGR $34.81 $37.97 $0.00 9.1% -1.8%
GME $34.21 $32.27 $0.00 -5.7% -1.8%
IQNT $19.87 $18.94 $0.00 -4.7% -1.8%
Totals -0.3% -1.8%

Category/Tranche October January April July Total
Initial Investment    249,820     249,939   250,000    250,000      999,759
Current Tranche 4.9% -0.3% 1.1%
Previous Tranche 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tranche -2 0.0%              -              -               -   0.0%
MFI Overall Gain 4.9% -0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1%
Current Balance    261,966     249,093   250,000    250,000   1,011,059
R3K Current Tranche 4.5% -1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
R3K Overall Gain 4.5% -1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7%
R3K Balance    260,989     245,372   250,000    250,000   1,006,361

The slightest of leads, up 0.4%. So not blowing anyone away, but nor are wheels falling off.

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