Wednesday, July 23, 2014

Lack Of Patience?

Impatient?

Not sure what the most difficult thing about investing is, but I would suggest patience is one of them.  I have been really, really guilty of that this year. I was impatient on INTC and CSCO earlier in the year and missed out on some very sizable gains.

Walter Schloss
Now the most recent example is TLM.  I bought this stock on June 17th as they had very unusual options activity that day. I then sold on July 10th as I was in the midst of that 7% July swoon and wanted to be more in cash.

My entry price was $10.66 and I sold at $10.14 (a five % loss).  Well today they are trading up 15% on rumors that they may be about to sell a division (Repsol Said to Explore Bid for Canada’s Talisman Energy).

MFI Straggling?

I showed a graphic yesterday that illustrated how my MFI portfolio, while still doing well, has given up some ground in July.  That is also true for the broader MFI universe. Of my 12 open tracking portfolios, 11 are losing to the benchmark (by an average of 2.6%). If you look at the tracking portfolio commenced on June 28th, MFI is down 0.8% and R3K is up a smidgen (technical term).

Here is my MFI Index, up 5.8% on the year and trailing R3K by about 1.6 points:

Index Stock Start Last Month Current YTD Change Monthly Change Shares
1   ATVI      17.83         22.50         23.14 29.8% 2.8%         13.07
2   MO      38.39         42.42         42.89 11.7% 1.1%           6.07
3   APOL      27.32         31.25         29.15 6.7% -6.7%           8.53
4   AAPL    561.02      656.85       669.38 19.3% 1.9%           0.42
5   AGX      27.56         37.29         36.11 31.0% -3.2%           8.46
6   BAH      19.15         21.45         21.11 10.2% -1.6%         12.17
7   BKE      52.56         44.80         43.44 -17.4% -3.0%           4.44
8   CA      33.65         29.24         28.90 -14.1% -1.2%           6.93
9   CACI      73.22         70.21         69.05 -5.7% -1.7%           3.18
10   CHE      76.62         94.12         97.19 26.8% 3.3%           3.04
11   CRUS      20.43         22.74         24.65 20.7% 8.4%         11.41
12   CSCO      22.43         25.21         26.31 17.3% 4.4%         10.39
13   COH      56.13         34.87         35.28 -37.2% 1.2%           4.15
14   CRTX         9.49           9.50            9.50 0.1% 0.0%         24.56
15   DLX      52.19         59.13         57.77 10.7% -2.3%           4.47
16   DHX         7.25           7.61            7.88 8.7% 3.5%         32.15
17   EBIX      14.71         14.46         12.96 -11.9% -10.4%         15.85
18   EGL      33.40         38.26         36.18 8.3% -5.4%           6.98
19   GME      49.26         41.13         44.75 -9.2% 8.8%           4.73
20   GTIV      12.41         15.06         18.23 46.9% 21.0%         18.78
21   GNI      68.10         22.09         22.61 -66.8% 2.4%           3.42
22   HLF      78.70         64.84         68.07 -13.5% 5.0%           2.96
23   IQNT      11.41         14.02         14.26 25.0% 1.7%         20.43
24   ESI      33.58         16.69         15.30 -54.4% -8.3%           6.94
25   LPS      37.38         37.30         37.30 -0.2% 0.0%           6.24
26   LQDT      22.66         15.76         13.65 -39.8% -13.4%         10.29
27   LO      50.68         62.20         62.28 22.9% 0.1%           4.60
28   MSFT      37.41         42.26         45.39 21.3% 7.4%           6.23
29   MYGN      20.98         38.92         37.17 77.2% -4.5%         11.11
30   NATR      17.32         17.17         16.25 -6.2% -5.4%         13.46
31   NOC    114.61      120.94       127.84 11.5% 5.7%           2.03
32   PDLI         8.44           9.98            9.90 17.3% 0.0%         27.62
33   PFMT      10.30         10.10         10.25 -0.5% 1.5%         22.63
34   PETS      16.63         13.82         14.53 -12.6% 5.1%         14.02
35   PRSC      25.72         36.59         38.87 51.1% 6.2%           9.06
36   QCOR      54.45         92.79         95.60 75.6% 3.0%           4.28
37   RTN      90.70         92.86         98.07 8.1% 5.6%           2.57
38   RAI      49.99         61.69         59.50 19.0% -3.6%           4.66
39   RPXC      16.90         17.75         16.45 -2.7% -7.3%         13.79
40   SAIC      33.07         45.28         44.10 33.4% -2.6%           7.05
41   SWHC      13.49         14.54         13.72 1.7% -5.6%         17.28
42   STRA      34.47         52.51         50.41 46.2% -4.0%           6.76
43   RGR      73.09         60.04         59.27 -18.9% -1.3%           3.19
44   UIS      33.57         24.74         25.36 -24.5% 2.5%           6.94
45   UNTD      13.76         10.40         10.00 -27.3% -3.8%         16.94
46   SPOK      14.28         15.65         15.08 5.6% -3.6%         16.32
47   USNA      75.58         78.14         72.66 -3.9% -7.0%           3.08
48   VCI      34.25         34.02         34.02 -0.7% 0.0%           6.81
49   VGR      16.37         21.08         21.67 32.4% 2.8%         14.24
50   WTW      32.93         20.17         20.59 -37.5% 2.1%           7.08
Total    17,682      18,688       18,714 5.8% 0.1%

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