Sunday, April 20, 2014

Large Cap vs Small Cap By Year

Based on the blog I just did, I added the element of Purchase Year to the table.  Instead of splitting stocks into deciles of market cap, I had just 2 splits: large and small, with large essentially being over $920m over market cap (the 4 largest deciles).

I was interested to see if this phenomena of larger cap stocks doing better was throughout all 7+ years or just for a specific stretch.

Purchase Year Largest Smallest Total
2006 23.4% 7.2% 13.9%
2007 -15.0% -23.1% -20.5%
2008 -2.8% -10.2% -8.2%
2009 32.2% 42.5% 39.3%
2010 15.9% 3.5% 8.0%
2011 -1.9% 0.2% -0.8%
2012 38.1% 18.8% 27.5%
2013 25.3% 13.0% 19.9%
2014 2.8% 2.3% 2.6%
Grand Total 15.1% 5.9% 9.6%

So you can see overall the 15% per year performance at the bottom. If you look at the 8 years, you see larger stocks have "won" 6 of the eight year (2009 and 2011 being the exceptions).  If you dig in, you see 2011 larger stocks were crushed by for profit education (think CECO - yes it was a larger cap stock at one time).

Now you can say that you have learned something new today.

Happy Easter!

2 comments:

Unknown said...

Hi Marsh,

If the larger market cap stocks outperform the smaller MC stocks, have you ever researched how buying the top 5 MC stocks would do? Do you think that's a viable strategy in the future?

Those stocks on the to 30 > 50mm MC
are

aapl
csco
coh
hlf
king

as of today.

Any thoughts?

-Brian

Marsh_Gerda said...

Brian, I have never researched that. I would be surprised if it worked - just thinking about the large cap stocks that have been out there.