Not going to soft pedal it, feels like I have been making the wrong moves a lot lately. I had a stretch last Spring (SD, NEM and NUGT come to mind) where I did the same thing. I think I have been too hasty.
Here are some of the missteps this week:
- I bought KLAC on Thursday at 67.22, essentially doubling my position. The rationale was that LRCX had had great earnings the night before and I felt KLAC was in same space and had a chance to have strong earnings as well. I was wrong. They had decent numbers, but gave poor guidance (KLA Swoons After Dismal Q4 Outlook). They dropped 7%.
- I had bought TZA earlier in the week and sold for a modest loss at 16.07. Yesterday they closed at 17.33.
- I sold my TWOU at the start of the week at 13.80. They closed week at 14.86.
- I did not sell my LMNS (sold the wrong IPO stock), as it crossed $10 at start of week, Now it is $8.83.
My only smart move was buying RIOM at 1.86. It is up 10% since that.
MFI Portfolio
While it felt like a terrible week with the big sell-off on Friday, it was not actually that bad. I was down 40 basis points. I am still up 4.6% on the year overall, which is beating the R3K (up 1%). So I just need to take a deep breath and start making some better decisions.
In my MFI portfolio, while KLAC had a bad earnings announcement, SYNA actually had very good numbers (Synaptics Raises Outlook On Fingerprint Sensor Sales). Then KLIC was up 6% on the week on some activist action (Lemelson Capital urges Kulicke & Soffa to repurchase at least $250M in shares).
And now my May 6th 2013 tranche just has a few trading days left. It looks like it will end as a strong winner.
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $11.40 | $12.88 | $0.00 | 13.0% | 17.9% | |
| CYOU | $29.24 | $26.65 | $0.00 | -8.9% | 17.9% |
| $9.74 | $17.50 | $0.10 | 80.8% | 17.9% | |
| $13.85 | $18.73 | $0.32 | 37.5% | 17.9% | |
| CF | $183.97 | $240.69 | $2.80 | 32.4% | 17.9% |
| Totals | 31.0% | 17.9% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| CF | $187.26 | $240.69 | $2.00 | 29.6% | 13.5% |
| $66.06 | $75.73 | $0.53 | 15.4% | 13.5% | |
| AGX | $15.60 | $27.17 | $0.75 | 79.0% | 13.5% |
| $11.29 | $12.88 | $0.00 | 14.1% | 13.5% | |
| RPXC | $15.92 | $16.62 | $0.00 | 4.4% | 13.5% |
| Totals | 28.5% | 13.5% | |||
| 11/15/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $17.22 | $18.50 | $0.00 | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| $17.71 | $19.46 | $0.20 | 11.0% | 4.3% | |
| GA | $9.04 | $11.74 | $0.23 | 32.5% | 4.3% |
| RPXC | $17.04 | $16.62 | $0.00 | -2.5% | 4.3% |
| $48.01 | $63.77 | $0.00 | 32.8% | 4.3% | |
| Totals | 16.3% | 4.3% | |||
| 2/1/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| $17.13 | $19.46 | $0.20 | 14.8% | 4.4% | |
| $61.47 | $62.91 | $0.45 | 3.1% | 4.4% | |
| RPXC | $16.22 | $16.62 | $0.00 | 2.5% | 4.4% |
| $69.55 | $84.35 | $0.00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | |
| WNR | $39.11 | $41.39 | $0.26 | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Totals | 9.6% | 4.4% |
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | 28.5% | 16.3% | 9.6% | 31.0% | 21.6% |
| Previous Tranche | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 0.0% | 31.6% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 46.6% | 67.1% | 95.4% | 31.0% | 60.0% |
| Current Balance | 36,641 | 41,776 | 48,849 | 32,741 | 160,007 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 13.5% | 42.6% | 4.4% | 17.9% | 19.6% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 38.7% | 42.6% | 26.4% | 17.9% | 31.4% |
| R3K Balance | 34,670 | 35,654 | 31,599 | 29,477 | 131,401 |
| Annualized IRR | 25.3% | 42.7% | 72.3% | 31.9% | 46.9% |
Discretionary Portfolio
This portfolio is never dull. RIOM did well, GNW had a strong week, but LMNS was a disaster.
| Stock | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Pct Change | R3K Change | Diff |
| BAC-WTA | 6,000 | 5.35 | 7.86 | 46.9% | 18.1% | 28.9% |
| EDV | 139 | 101.20 | 102.56 | 1.3% | 1.7% | -0.4% |
| GNW | 11,000 | 9.16 | 17.34 | 89.4% | 24.0% | 65.4% |
| 4,000 | 8.58 | 8.11 | -5.4% | -0.8% | -4.7% | |
| GTAT | 20,000 | 7.06 | 16.09 | 127.8% | 6.7% | 121.0% |
| HIG-WT | 1,650 | 21.24 | 26.38 | 24.2% | 13.5% | 10.7% |
| 7,000 | 11.48 | 12.88 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.1% | |
| LMNS | 16,000 | 12.71 | 8.83 | -30.6% | -1.2% | -29.3% |
| RIOM | 25,000 | 2.25 | 2.05 | -9.2% | -0.2% | -9.0% |
| Total Open | 33.7% | 7.0% | 26.7% | |||
| Closed | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | |||
| Combined | 8.6% | 2.6% | 6.0% | |||
Dividend Portfolio
I placed KLAC in here, they were not thrilled! But it pays a decent dividend. This portfolio seems to just keep trucking along.
| Stock | Shares | Avg Cost | Current Price | Dividends Received | Pct Change | R3K Change | Diff |
| AOD | 13,911 | 8.02 | 8.43 | 8,532.19 | 12.8% | 15.4% | -2.6% |
| BBEP | 5,713 | 16.74 | 20.34 | 6,840.21 | 28.7% | 9.0% | 19.7% |
| CSQ | 6,856 | 8.65 | 11.23 | 12,021.29 | 50.1% | 48.8% | 1.3% |
| FGL | 5,000 | 20.94 | 21.36 | 195.00 | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| FSC | 6,704 | 9.65 | 9.45 | 1,112.06 | -0.4% | 0.2% | -0.6% |
| 700 | 67.22 | 62.91 | - | -6.4% | -0.8% | -5.6% | |
| NTC | 6,692 | 12.01 | 12.40 | 1,135.35 | 4.7% | 0.6% | 4.1% |
| O | 593 | 20.73 | 42.89 | 9,024.78 | 180.3% | 107.2% | 73.0% |
| 4,125 | 5.00 | 6.12 | 8,001.62 | 61.3% | 114.7% | -53.4% | |
| PM | 1,000 | 78.60 | 84.11 | 940.00 | 8.2% | 0.0% | 8.3% |
| TGONF | 7,000 | 10.27 | 10.17 | 2,367.50 | 2.3% | 13.4% | -11.1% |
| TPVG | 5,000 | 15.55 | 15.23 | 450.00 | -1.5% | -1.9% | 0.4% |
| Total Open | 50,620 | 14.1% | 12.2% | 1.9% | |||
| Closed | 12.5% | 11.2% | 1.4% | ||||
| Combined | 12.8% | 11.3% | 1.4% | ||||
| Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 | 17.5% | ||||||
| 2014 Gain | 3.0% | ||||||
Really can't complain about being up 3% on the year. NTC and PM have been good buys in 2014.
Going to call it a wrap. I will be writing more this weekend as The April 2013 Tracking Portfolio hit one year yesterday.
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