Saturday, June 01, 2013

Heat Wave Weekend Update

Weekend Update

Definitely dragging this morning.  Our son went to the Prom last night, so stayed up until about 1 am.  Then was watching a lot of the tornado coverage as well.  Not a great night of sleep. But that is why man invented coffee!

Blazing hot here in New England.  I know mid nineties is the norm for much of the country, but these last two days have set records here for end of May.

Friday was a poor day for my portfolios, down 1.8%. But I still managed to eke a gain for the week (0.5%) and had a strong May (up 3.8%).  So glad I did not stay away.

Dividend Portfolio

Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AAPL             213        495.23        449.74        1,041.93 -8.2% 12.9% -21.1%
ABR         7,402            7.16             6.78        1,244.06 -2.9% 5.1% -8.0%
AOD       15,581            3.97             4.14        1,327.39 6.5% 7.2% -0.7%
CIM       20,000            2.77             3.05        1,800.00 13.2% 10.5% 2.7%
CSCO         4,328          17.24           24.12        2,743.60 43.5% 22.8% 20.7%
CSQ         5,629            8.34           10.72        7,160.13 43.9% 38.9% 4.9%
FCX         2,060          31.23           31.05            831.20 0.7% 11.5% -10.8%
INTC         1,996          20.99           24.28        2,891.61 22.6% 32.7% -10.2%
NEM         1,408          39.84           34.28            340.00 -13.4% 6.5% -19.9%
O             565          19.73           45.45        7,971.28 201.9% 90.1% 111.9%
OIBAX         3,998            4.96             6.37        7,233.39 64.9% 91.2% -26.3%
PGR         2,118          20.56           25.49        2,596.23 29.9% 20.8% 9.1%
PRE             540          67.59           90.65        1,974.05 39.5% 21.1% 18.5%
RIG         1,250          51.79           50.23            700.00 -1.9% 4.7% -6.6%
STO         1,640          23.70           22.52        3,024.82 2.8% 26.2% -23.3%
TC-PT         5,500          15.43           18.45        2,234.10 22.2% 4.5% 17.7%
           
           
           
           
Total Open            45,114 16.1% 17.3% -1.2%
Closed 15.2% 9.7% 5.5%
Combined 15.4% 11.6% 3.9%
Annualized IRR Since 12/31/10 17.7%
2013 Gain 12.6%

My divvy portfolio has been struggling a bit of late.  Makes sense if you believe the worry about "tapering" as  some dividend stocks act like bonds and their price should drop as interest rates rise.  OIBAX is a bond portfolio and you can see it is $6.37.  It was $6.60 just a few weeks ago.  That was why I sold BHK and JQC in mid April.  That was good timing as BHK has dropped from 14.69 to 13.87 and JQC has fallen from 10.55 to 10.12.  But I did not sell O, CIM or ABR and they have had similar drops, so it is definitely a drag.

MFI Portfolio

8/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
DLB $34.43 $35.00 $4.00 13.3% 18.9%
KFY $13.98 $17.50 $0.00 25.2% 18.9%
MSFT $30.19 $34.90 $0.69 17.9% 18.9%
NSU $3.62 $3.64 $0.05 2.1% 18.9%
UIS $19.96 $20.65 $0.00 3.4% 18.9%
Totals 12.4% 18.9%
11/15/12 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $449.74 $5.70 -15.3% 22.6%
ABC $40.21 $54.08 $0.42 35.5% 22.6%
LPS $23.89 $33.09 $0.30 39.8% 22.6%
VIAB $49.12 $65.89 $0.55 35.3% 22.6%
WU $12.77 $16.38 $0.25 30.2% 22.6%
Totals 25.1% 22.6%
2/1/13 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $450.60 $449.74 $5.70 1.1% 8.6%
GA $6.10 $8.46 $0.42 45.6% 8.6%
STRZA $16.06 $23.08 $0.00 43.7% 8.6%
CA $25.07 $27.32 $0.50 11.0% 8.6%
NUS $41.94 $58.80 $0.60 41.6% 8.6%
Totals 28.6% 8.6%
5/6/2013 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
KLIC $11.40 $12.40 $0.00 8.8% 1.3%
CYOU $29.24 $30.75 $0.00 5.2% 1.3%
RDA $9.74 $10.71 $0.00 10.0% 1.3%
NVDA $13.85 $14.47 $0.08 5.0% 1.3%
CF $183.97 $190.96 $0.40 4.0% 1.3%
Totals 6.6% 1.3%

As I mentioned earlier this week, this portfolio has really been doing well!  In aggregate, it is now beating the R3K by 5.3%.  The February tranche is especially strong, up almost 29% in 4 months.  The buyout of LPS this week helped, as did a decent up move by NSU.

For my tracking portfolios, all 12 open portfolios are leading the R3K by 3.7 points.  Even the most recent one set up last Friday has already pulled ahead up 0.3% versus -0.9% for R3K.

Discretionary Portfolio

Really just three stocks here.  I admittedly do not track them against an index or anything, but I think it is safe to say that it is doing very well as GTAT and GNW have been very strong performers in 2013.

Stock Gain Cost Price
GNW 52.2%           7.10         10.81
SD -3.0%           5.33           5.17
GTAT 31.3%           3.39           4.45
Grand Total 21.8%           5.06           6.16

I think I will pause here and finish my coffee.  Stay tuned to the same bat channel though this weekend, I do have some additional thoughts to share plus an "I told you so!".

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