Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Rumor Mill CBPO

Wow, CBPO got taken to the cleaners today... by a rumor. Checkout the chart for the day:

Basic ChartGet Basic Chart(s) for:


China Biologic Products, Inc. (NGM) Edit
Range:1d 5d 3m 6m 1y 2y Type:Bar | Line | CandleScale:Linear | LogSize:M | L
Compare:CBPO vs S&P Nasdaq Dow
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Chart for China Biologic Products, Inc. (CBPO)

Splits:none
Last Trade:8.71
Trade Time:4:00PM ET
Change:Down 3.05 (25.94%)
Prev Close:11.76
Open:11.56
Bid:8.61 x 500
Ask:8.85 x 100
1y Target Est:17.50
Day's Range:8.44 - 11.70
52wk Range:1.67 - 13.70
Volume:1,004,190
Avg Vol (3m):106,718
Market Cap:N/A
P/E (ttm):N/A
EPS (ttm):N/A
Div & Yield:N/A (N/A)
10x normal volume and an incredible 25% plunge. What caused it? A blog. China Biologic: There Will Be Blood

The author, who openly admitted he is short CBPO, essentially says that the people who seeded the company are felons and insinuated not all is as it seems with the company. I have seen this play out several times with these Chinese companies, LIWA and CSKI also had "scare" short articles. They have not yet born out to be correct and I'd suggest there is no reason to believe there is truth behind this one as well. It is troubling that people try to start these stampedes, I suspect it may be illegal, though if there are some facts behind the post it may be impossible to press charges. Good chance for the brave to buy CBPO. Here are my stats for them (if you believe the Compustat filings):



cbpo
+ Operating Income After Depreciation 45.31
- Minority Interest - Income Account 11.72
= Income for Calculation 33.59

Diluted Shares Outstanding 21.633

Share Price 8.71
+ Market Cap Calc 188.42
+ Preferred Capital -
+ Debt in Current Liabilities 18.58
+ Long-Term Debt 0.05

Cash and Short-Term Investments 50.35
- Excess Cash 50.35
= Enterprise Value 156.70






+ Property Plant and Equipment - Net 27.85
+ Receivables 2.44
+ Inventories 33.22
+ Other Current Assests 1.58
+ Working Cash -
- Accounts Payable 3.61
- Current Liabilities - Other 33.56
= Invested Capital 27.93
Earnings Yield 21%
ROIC 120%

1 comment:

MagicDiligence said...

Beat me to the punch, Marsh. I have a full CBPO review coming up, definitely an interesting stock.