Sunday, January 31, 2010

New Mechanical Stock - Jan 28 2010

Kind of weird, the MFI website wasn't updated this weekend. They seem to be a little less on the ball of late. Hope that isn't a trend. My "Cruncher" really isn't ready to go live. So I ended up using Thursday's run and closing pricing for my Mechanical portfolio. With that approach, there was one new stock added (and it probably will drop off this week): NATH. While I love their hot dogs and am a fan of the stock (I owned it in the past once), it is a very low volume stock and even buying a relatively small amount is difficult. So I'll take a pass.

I don't think I commented on the most excellent earnings last week by RTN (Raytheon Reports Strong Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2009 Results; Reaffirms Outlook for Continued Growth in 2010). I really like having some of these big cap stocks in my mix. Sure they're up "just" 17%, but it is (in my mind) a 17% that I am not likely to have to give back. They are super solid earnings, cash flows and dividends. A classic stock that MFI identified as the market going "nuts" on 10/30 when they hit the top 30 list at 45.28. Another one is Pfizer, which hit the top 50 list at 6/5/09 at 14.51 and is up about 30%.

I think that is why my mechanical portfolios are working better than other approaches as it identifies some really quality stocks when they bottom out... so you get them cheap. Here is the top 30 inforce list right now:

Symbol
Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
COH 2/14/09 13.97 35.27 - 82.76 2.18 152.5% 34.4% 118.1%
DELL 2/21/09 8.41 13.22 - 77.42 2.18 57.2% 43.7% 13.5%
SOLR 2/21/09 4.22 5.78 - 77.42 2.18 37.0% 43.7% -6.7%
DECK 2/28/09 41.27 99.50 - 73.93 2.18 141.1% 50.5% 90.6%
FWLT 2/28/09 15.04 28.89 - 73.93 2.18 92.1% 50.5% 41.6%
HCKT 2/28/09 2.56 2.65 - 73.93 2.18 3.5% 50.5% -46.9%
MWW 2/28/09 6.59 15.59 - 73.93 2.18 136.6% 50.5% 86.1%
PTIE 2/28/09 4.53 5.34 - 73.93 2.18 17.9% 50.5% -32.6%
TRLG 2/28/09 10.22 19.36 - 73.93 2.18 89.4% 50.5% 39.0%
qlti 3/6/09 1.41 4.64 - 68.92 2.18 229.1% 61.4% 167.7%
exbd 3/6/09 12.96 23.64 0.74 68.92 2.18 88.1% 61.4% 26.7%
FIX 3/13/09 9.73 11.86
76.09 2.18 21.9% 46.2% -24.3%
DBTK 3/13/09 6.65 10.39 - 76.09 2.18 56.2% 46.2% 10.1%
LOOP 3/13/09 5.77 9.41 - 76.09 2.18 63.1% 46.2% 16.9%
PRO 3/27/09 4.29 8.19 - 81.61 1.62 90.9% 35.6% 55.3%
ACN 4/9/09 27.71 41.19 - 85.81 1.62 48.6% 29.0% 19.7%
INFI 4/16/09 5.83 6.12 - 87.08 1.62 5.0% 27.1% -22.1%
TSRA 5/1/09 14.52 17.25 - 87.89 1.62 18.8% 25.9% -7.1%
RST 5/1/09 29.83 18.09 - 87.89 1.62 -39.4% 25.9% -65.3%
ulcm 5/1/09 8.72 10.00 - 87.89 1.62 14.7% 25.9% -11.2%
TYPE 5/1/09 3.80 9.12 - 87.89 1.62 140.0% 25.9% 114.1%
CRAY 5/1/09 3.98 4.71 - 87.89 1.62 18.3% 25.9% -7.6%
INT 5/8/09 41.90 48.78 - 92.98 1.62 16.4% 19.0% -2.6%
IPHS 5/15/09 15.03 20.18 - 88.71 1.62 34.3% 24.8% 9.5%
GNI 5/29/09 86.75 90.40 3.60 92.53 1.62 8.4% 19.6% -11.3%
UTA 5/29/09 7.90 9.27 - 92.53 1.62 17.3% 19.6% -2.3%
FRX 6/5/09 23.66 29.47 - 94.55 1.62 24.6% 17.1% 7.5%
ONTY 6/11/09 2.60 4.84 - 95.08 1.62 86.2% 16.4% 69.7%
VM 6/11/09 4.24 5.50 - 95.08 1.62 29.7% 16.4% 13.3%
BPI 6/19/09 16.74 14.65 - 92.04 0.51 -12.5% 19.0% -31.5%
MTXX 7/2/09 5.77 4.70 - 91.84 0.51 -18.5% 19.3% -37.8%
JTX 7/2/09 5.74 2.79 - 91.84 0.51 -51.4% 19.3% -70.7%
GIGM 7/24/09 4.98 2.76 - 98.06 0.51 -44.6% 11.7% -56.3%
CBI 7/31/09 13.95 20.72 - 98.81 0.51 48.5% 10.9% 37.6%
BR 7/31/09 17.27 21.86 0.28 98.81 0.51 28.2% 10.9% 17.3%
LO 7/31/09 73.72 76.73 - 98.81 0.51 4.1% 10.9% -6.8%
ITWO 8/7/09 14.36 19.73 - 101.20 0.51 37.4% 8.3% 29.1%
BKE 8/14/09 26.54 31.50 2.00 100.79 0.51 26.2% 8.7% 17.5%
GTLS 8/14/09 20.73 16.46 - 100.79 0.51 -20.6% 8.7% -29.3%
PRIM 8/14/09 6.95 8.11 0.05 100.79 0.51 17.4% 8.7% 8.7%
SEPR 8/14/09 18.12 23.00 - 100.79 0.51 26.9% 8.7% 18.2%
PVSW 8/14/09 5.00 5.15 - 100.79 0.51 3.0% 8.7% -5.7%
CEU 8/21/09 5.10 5.88 - 102.96 0.51 15.3% 6.4% 8.9%
cytk 8/28/09 3.04 3.04 - 103.38 0.51 0.0% 6.0% -6.0%
jcom 8/28/09 22.14 20.87 - 103.38 0.51 -5.7% 6.0% -11.7%
AMED 9/4/09 35.00 57.07 - 102.06 0.51 63.1% 7.4% 55.7%
MIPS 9/18/09 3.72 3.88 - 106.72 0.51 4.3% 2.7% 1.6%
MHP 9/25/09 23.67 35.44 0.23 104.45 0.59 50.7% 5.0% 45.7%
AGX 10/16/09 12.50 14.50 - 108.89 0.59 16.0% 0.7% 15.3%
BBND 10/30/09 3.70 3.04 - 103.56 0.59 -17.8% 5.9% -23.7%
FLR 10/30/09 44.42 45.96 - 103.56 0.59 3.5% 5.9% -2.4%
RGR 10/30/09 10.62 10.70 - 103.56 0.59 0.8% 5.9% -5.1%
RTN 10/30/09 45.28 52.96 0.31 103.56 0.59 17.6% 5.9% 11.8%
VRSK 10/30/09 27.43 28.41 - 103.56 0.59 3.6% 5.9% -2.3%
immu 11/6/09 3.61 3.28 - 107.13 0.59 -9.1% 2.4% -11.5%
cbst 11/6/09 17.60 20.61 - 107.13 0.59 17.1% 2.4% 14.7%
snta 11/6/09 3.20 4.34 - 107.13 0.59 35.6% 2.4% 33.3%
CNU 11/13/09 3.10 4.06 - 109.62 0.59 31.0% 0.0% 30.9%
IDCC 11/20/09 23.56 25.17 - 109.43 0.59 6.8% 0.2% 6.6%
PDLI 11/27/09 6.63 6.59 - 109.57 0.59 -0.6% 0.1% -0.7%
ARO 12/4/09 28.95 33.99 - 111.01 0.59 17.4% -1.2% 18.6%
CBPO 12/4/09 9.06 9.82 - 111.01 0.59 8.4% -1.2% 9.6%
SHE 12/31/09 5.15 6.80 - 111.44 - 32.0% -2.1% 34.2%
















Totals 22.2% 4.9% 17.3%
63.9% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed 11.8% -10.8% 22.5%
S&P C

109.06

Open 32.3% 20.0% 12.3%

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